Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

36matches today 4high confidence 10positive edges 2strong edges updated 2026-11-03T16:10:02Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

On November 3, 2026, our analysis covers 36 fixtures across 15 competitions, with published picks for each match. Among the notable matchups, Galatasaray faces VfB Stuttgart in the UEFA Champions League, where we assign a probability of 50% to Galatasaray, compared to the market's 47%, resulting in an edge of +3.4 percentage points. Additionally, there are 10 value picks identified, including 2 strong selections, and 4 high-confidence picks to consider.

First kick-offs: 16:00 Jezero v Dečić 17:00 Chrobry Głogów v Arka Gdynia 17:00 Pogoń Siedlce v Ruch Chorzów

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

UEFA Champions League 17:45

Galatasarayv

VfB Stuttgart

1 Pick: Galatasaray Medium

Ours: 50%
Market: 47%
Edge: +3.4%
Best odds: 2.24

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UEFA Champions League 20:00

Bodo/Glimtv

Lille

1 Pick: Bodo/Glimt Medium

Ours: 59%
Market: 56%
Edge: +3.3%
Best odds: 1.79

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UEFA Champions League 20:00

Atletico Madridv

Bayern Munich

2 Pick: Bayern Munich High

Ours: 43%
Market: 41%
Edge: +2.3%
Best odds: 2.50

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DBU Pokalen 17:00

Lyngbyv

Randers FC

2 Pick: Randers FC Low

Ours: 42%
Market: 34%
Edge: +7.7%
Best odds: 2.75

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability

10positive edges ≥ 2%

2strong edges ≥ 5%

+3.4%avg positive edge

2.04avg best price on picks

36fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Anaitasuna v Alaves Alaves · 77% Highest BTTS probability Villarreal v Paris Saint Germain 78% both teams score Most goals expected Barcelona v Aston Villa 90% over 2.5 Top value pick Galatasaray v VfB Stuttgart +3.4% edge Biggest market move Anaitasuna v Alaves home 37.53 ▼ -15.90

All matches today

45 fixtures · 9 already played

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
16:00	Montenegro First League	JezerovDečić Montenegro First League	2	37.5%	41%	-3.1%	Low	2.34
17:00	I Liga	Chrobry GłogówvArka Gdynia I Liga	1	35.4%	34%	+0.9%	Low	2.83
17:00	I Liga	Pogoń SiedlcevRuch Chorzów I Liga	2	52.6%	52%	+0.4%	Low	1.83
17:00	DBU Pokalen	LyngbyvRanders FC DBU Pokalen	2	41.9%	34%	+7.7%	Low	2.75
17:45	UEFA Champions League	Shakhtar DonetskvSporting CP UEFA Champions League	2	39.7%	47%	-7.1%	Low	2.10
17:45	UEFA Champions League	GalatasarayvVfB Stuttgart UEFA Champions League	1	50.1%	47%	+3.4%	Medium	2.24
18:00	Allsvenskan	SiriusvHalmstad Allsvenskan	1	68.6%	72%	-3.3%	Low	1.32
18:00Postponed	Copa del Rey	PamplonavEibar Copa del Rey	2	71.3%	75%	-4.1%	Low	1.23
18:00Postponed	Copa del Rey	AnaitasunavAlaves Copa del Rey	2	76.7%	91%	-14.4%	Medium	1.04
19:45	England Championship	WatfordvLincoln England Championship	1	36.4%	36%	+0.3%	Low	2.71
19:45	England Championship	PrestonvSheffield Utd England Championship	2	51.2%	49%	+2.6%	Low	1.98
19:45	England Championship	BlackburnvStoke City England Championship	2	38.0%	36%	+2.3%	Low	2.71
19:45	England Championship	DerbyvNorwich England Championship	2	47.8%	47%	+1.1%	Low	2.11
19:45	England Championship	QPRvBurnley England Championship	1	49.9%	48%	+2.2%	Low	2.04
19:45	England Championship	CharltonvBolton England Championship	1	38.2%	41%	-2.5%	Low	2.42
19:45	England Championship	PortsmouthvSwansea England Championship	2	36.2%	37%	-0.9%	Low	2.60
19:45	League One	HuddersfieldvLuton League One	1	49.6%	46%	+3.4%	Low	2.06
19:45	League One	WiganvMansfield Town League One	2	45.1%	44%	+0.7%	Low	2.18
19:45	League Two	NorthamptonvOldham League Two	1	41.8%	41%	+1.2%	Low	2.39
20:00	Peru Primera División	Comerciantes UnidosvADT Peru Primera División	1	49.3%	45%	+4.2%	Low	2.10
20:00	England Championship	BirminghamvMillwall England Championship	1	50.4%	49%	+1.5%	Low	1.97
20:00	England Championship	West BromvSouthampton England Championship	1	38.9%	41%	-1.9%	Low	2.36
20:00	UEFA Champions League	Manchester UnitedvRoma UEFA Champions League	1	40.6%	44%	-3.9%	High	2.33
20:00	UEFA Champions League	FeyenoordvInter UEFA Champions League	2	44.3%	50%	-5.9%	Medium	1.97
20:00	UEFA Champions League	Bodo/GlimtvLille UEFA Champions League	1	59.1%	56%	+3.3%	Medium	1.79
20:00	UEFA Champions League	BarcelonavAston Villa UEFA Champions League	1	76.3%	75%	+1.3%	High	1.32
20:00	UEFA Champions League	Atletico MadridvBayern Munich UEFA Champions League	2	43.3%	41%	+2.3%	High	2.50
20:00	UEFA Champions League	VillarrealvParis Saint Germain UEFA Champions League	2	48.0%	56%	-7.6%	High	1.78
20:00	UEFA Champions League	Lask LinzvSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League	1	68.7%	70%	-0.9%	Low	1.43
20:30	Primera A	Deportivo PereiravDeportes Tolima Primera A	2	47.9%	57%	-9.1%	Low	1.68
20:30	Liga Pro	Mushuc Runa SCvManta FC Liga Pro	1	56.4%	60%	-3.5%	Low	1.60
21:00	Guatemala Liga Nacional	XelajúvMarquense Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	63.5%	65%	-1.7%	Low	1.44
21:30	Venezuela Primera División	Monagas SCvCaracas FC Venezuela Primera División	1	41.6%	41%	+0.7%	Low	2.30
22:30	Brazil Serie A	Chapecoense-scvMirassol Brazil Serie A	2	43.7%	46%	-2.0%	Low	2.13
23:20	Primera A	Deportivo PastovJaguares Primera A	1	52.1%	57%	-4.5%	Low	1.72
23:30	Venezuela Primera División	Deportivo Tachira FCvPuerto Cabello Venezuela Primera División	1	47.1%	44%	+2.9%	Low	2.10
1-2 FT	Liga Profesional Argentina	Atletico TucumanvArgentinos JRS Liga Profesional Argentina	2	36.6%	37%	-0.1%	Low	2.65
3-1 FT	Liga Profesional Argentina	Independ. RivadaviavBanfield Liga Profesional Argentina	1	55.4%	60%	-4.8%	Low	1.62
1-1 FT	Primera A	BucaramangavAtletico Nacional Primera A	2	41.1%	42%	-0.9%	Low	2.33
1-0 FT	Guatemala Liga Nacional	SuchitepéquezvMalacateco Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	47.4%	47%	+0.7%	Low	2.00
3-1 FT	Montenegro First League	Otrant-OlympicvArsenal Tivat Montenegro First League	1	58.8%	56%	+2.3%	Low	1.65
2-1 FT	Uganda Premier League	BULvSC Villa Uganda Premier League	2	35.3%	33%	+2.4%	Low	2.93
1-1 FT	Uganda Premier League	PolicevKitara Uganda Premier League	2	35.5%	37%	-2.0%	Low	2.55
1-0 FT	Uganda Premier League	NECvUPDF Uganda Premier League	1	64.9%	63%	+1.6%	Low	1.48
2-1 FT	Tunisia Ligue 1	Stade TunisienvClub Africain Tunisia Ligue 1	1	34.5%	34%	+0.7%	Low	2.80

Upcoming fixtures

54 fixtures on 4 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Brazil · Serie A 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:30	InternacionalvCoritiba	1	Low	1.71	4.24	5.61
22:30	FlamengovGremio	1	Low	1.24	7.95	14.83
22:30	Atletico ParanaensevVasco DA Gama	1	Low	2.23	3.75	3.52

Peru · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:00	Alianza LimavCienciano	1	Low	1.51	4.81	7.73

Costa Rica · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:00	Sporting San JosevPerez Zeledon	1	Low	1.46	5.24	8.02

Kosovo · Superliga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
12:00	DritavPrishtina	1	Low	2.22	3.63	3.63

Uganda · Premier League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	KatakavURA	2	Low
17:00	KCCAvMaroons	1	Low

Zambia · Super League 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	Kabwe WarriorsvRoan United	1	Low
13:00	NkanavKansanshi Dynamos	1	Low
13:00	Red ArrowsvNkwazi	X	Low
13:00	ZanacovMan Utd Zambia Academy	2	Low

Nigeria · Premier Football League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
15:00	Enugu RangersvBendel Insurance	1	Low

World · UEFA Europa League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
15:30	RennesvOlympiakos Piraeus	2	Medium	2.34	3.78	3.24

Algeria · Ligue 1 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
16:00	MC AlgervMC Oran	1	Low

Czech Republic · Czech Liga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	ArtisvBohemians 1905	2	Low	2.72	3.69	2.77

South Africa · Premier Soccer League 7 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:30 Postponed	Golden ArrowsvMarumo Gallants	1	Low
17:30 Postponed	Kaizer ChiefsvAmazulu	2	Low
17:30 Postponed	Polokwane CityvKruger United	1	Low
17:30 Postponed	Chippa UnitedvSekhukhune United	2	Low
17:30 Postponed	TS GalaxyvDurban City	2	Low
17:30 Postponed	Richards BayvStellenbosch	2	Low
17:30 Postponed	SiwelelevOrlando Pirates	2	Low

World · UEFA Champions League 9 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:45	AEK Athens FCvReal Madrid	2	Medium	11.01	7.13	1.30
17:45	FenerbahçevLiverpool	2	Low	5.79	5.00	1.59
20:00	LensvComo	2	High	3.19	4.06	2.28
20:00	Borussia DortmundvReal Betis	1	High	1.82	4.34	4.57
20:00	RasenBallsport LeipzigvManchester City	2	High	5.51	4.99	1.62
20:00	PSV EindhovenvClub Brugge KV	1	Low	2.16	4.45	3.20
20:00	FC PortovNapoli	1	Medium	2.04	3.94	3.91
20:00	Slavia PrahavArsenal	2	Low	11.01	6.81	1.31
20:00	VikingvSabah FA	1	Low	—	—	—

Spain · Copa del Rey 7 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
18:00	PortugaletevReal Unión	2	Low	3.28	3.44	2.47
19:00	AmorebietavUD Logroñés	2	Low	3.97	3.70	2.09
19:30	UtebovSabadell	2	Low	6.50	4.12	1.66
19:30	Deportiva MineravFC Cartagena	2	Low	3.31	3.46	2.45
19:30	ReddisvBarakaldo	2	Low	4.28	3.62	2.04
19:45	Calvo SotelovAlbacete	2	Low	5.80	4.40	1.67
20:00	BadajozvTenerife	2	Low	5.04	4.01	1.81

Belgium · Challenger Pro League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:00	Francs BorainsvDender	2	Low	3.23	3.81	2.34
19:00	RSC Anderlecht IIvK. Lierse S.K.	2	Low	2.71	3.98	2.63

Belgium · Jupiler Pro League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:30	KortrijkvKV Mechelen	2	Low	2.77	3.65	2.74

England · Championship 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:45	CardiffvWest Ham	2	Low	3.43	4.25	2.11
19:45	WrexhamvMiddlesbrough	2	Low	4.54	4.24	1.84
20:00	Bristol CityvWolverhampton Wanderers	2	Low	3.65	3.71	2.19

England · League One 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:45	Oxford UnitedvReading	2	Low	2.80	3.77	2.65

Morocco · Botola Pro 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
20:00	FAR RabatvRaja Casablanca	1	Low

Honduras · Liga Nacional 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
21:00	OlanchovLobos Upnfm	1	Low
23:15	Estrella RojavCD Motagua	2	Low

Venezuela · Primera División 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
21:30	Portuguesa FCvDeportivo La Guaira	1	Low	2.92	3.48	2.70
23:30	Metropolitanos FCvCarabobo FC	2	Low	3.61	3.69	2.21

France · Coupe de France 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
22:00	Sporting Baie-MahaultvSiroco Les Abymes	2	Low

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
23:00	Venados FCvMonarcas	1	Low	2.43	3.65	3.17

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
23:30	CucutavSanta Fe	2	Low	3.18	3.55	2.48

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

ANA 37.53 ▼ -15.90

PAM 13.45 ▼ -4.43

BAR 1.33 ▲ +0.03

SIR 1.39 ▲ +0.04

WIG 3.43 ▲ +0.97

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual

Tunisia · Ligue 1 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
13:30	Stade TunisienvClub Africain	2–1	1✓	Low	→

Uganda · Premier League 3 matches

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
13:00	NECvUPDF	1–0	1✓	Low	→
13:00	PolicevKitara	1–1	2✗	Low	→
13:00	BULvSC Villa	2–1	2✗	Low	→

Montenegro · First League 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
12:00	Otrant-OlympicvArsenal Tivat	3–1	1✓	Low	→

Guatemala · Liga Nacional 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
02:00	SuchitepéquezvMalacateco	1–0	1✓	Low	→

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→