Copa del Rey
2
Pick: UD Logroñés
Low
- Ours
- 48%
- Market
- 45%
- Edge
- +3.6%
- Best odds
- 2.10
Football Predictions Today
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
9matches today
0high confidence
2positive edges
0strong edges
updated · kickoffs in your local time
Today, we cover 9 fixtures across 4 competitions, with our model providing predictions for each match. The widest-edge match is Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés, where we publish UD Logroñés at 48% compared to the market's 45%, resulting in an edge of +3.6 percentage points. Additionally, we have identified 2 value picks, including Metalul Buzău at 50% against the market's 47% in their Liga II matchup.
Top model opportunities today
Liga II
1
Pick: Metalul Buzău
Low
- Ours
- 50%
- Market
- 47%
- Edge
- +2.6%
- Best odds
- 2.00
The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Model vs market — value signals today
2positive edges ≥ 2%
0strong edges ≥ 5%
+3.1%avg positive edge
1.54avg best price on picks
9fixtures with a model pick
Today at a glance
Highest win probability
Tavernes v Valencia
Valencia · 81%
Highest BTTS probability
Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén
65% both teams score
Most goals expected
Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén
62% over 2.5
Top value pick
Amorebieta v UD Logroñés
+3.6% edge
Biggest market move
Tavernes v Valencia
home 69.21 ▲ +16.78
All matches today
| Time | League | Match | Pick | Prob | Market | Edge | Conf | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria Premier Football League |  Sporting Lagosv Rivers United
Nigeria Premier Football League |
1 | 46.2% | — | — | Low | — | |
| Liga II |  Metalul Buzăuv CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Liga II |
1 | 49.5% | 47% | +2.6% | Low | 2.00 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Pamplonav Eibar
Copa del Rey |
2 | 74.8% | 80% | -5.3% | Low | 1.20 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Anaitasunav Alaves
Copa del Rey |
2 | 76.7% | 91% | -14.6% | Medium | 1.04 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Amorebietav UD Logroñés
Copa del Rey |
2 | 48.1% | 45% | +3.6% | Low | 2.10 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Trival Valderasv Leganes
Copa del Rey |
2 | 70.4% | 83% | -12.2% | Low | 1.15 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Mijas Las Lagunasv Real Jaén
Copa del Rey |
2 | 47.1% | 49% | -2.3% | Low | 1.92 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Tavernesv Valencia
Copa del Rey |
2 | 81.3% | 95% | -13.6% | Medium | 1.02 | |
| Primera Division |  Cacahuatiquev Firpo
Primera Division |
2 | 49.8% | 48% | +1.6% | Low | 1.92 | |
| 2-0 FT | Primera A |  Juniorv Cucuta
Primera A |
1 | 52.5% | 55% | -2.4% | Low | 1.75 |
| 1-1 FT | Bolivia Primera División |  Aurorav Universitario de Vinto
Bolivia Primera División |
1 | 57.4% | 55% | +2.0% | Low | 1.70 |
Upcoming fixtures
El Salvador · Primera Division
2 matches
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Isidro Metapánv Platense
|
1 | Low | 1.88 | 3.76 | 4.97 | ||
 Fuerte San Franciscov Alianza
|
2 | Low | 4.28 | 3.68 | 2.02 |
Ukraine · Persha Liga
1 match
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chernihivv Inhulets
|
1 | Low |
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX
2 matches
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monarcasv Leones Negros UDG
|
1 | Low | ||
 Piratasv CA La Paz
|
1 | Low |
Brazil · Serie B
1 match
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Londrinav Nautico Recife
|
1 | Low | 1.68 | 4.50 | 5.49 |
Where to bet
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Odds movement
Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.
TAV
69.21 ▲ +16.78
ANA
39.87 ▼ -13.56
TRI
20.35 ▲ +6.45
PAM
16.01 ▼ -1.87
AMO
3.52 ▼ -0.91
5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.
The model
See the full backtest — including where it falls short.
Why can you trust us?
- xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
- Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
- Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
- No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market
Recent results
Bolivia · Primera División
1 match
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AuroravUniversitario de Vinto
|
1–1 | 1✗ | Low | → |
Colombia · Primera A
1 match
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JuniorvCucuta
|
2–0 | 1✓ | Low | → |
Competitions
| Premier League | predictions → |
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| Ligue 1 | predictions → |
| UEFA Champions League | predictions → |
| UEFA Europa League | predictions → |
| UEFA Europa Conference League | predictions → |
| All competitions → | predictions → |