Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

51matches today 3high confidence 11positive edges 3strong edges updated 2026-11-03T16:10:02Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 51 of today's 51 fixtures across 21 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 11 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus, where we publish Olympiakos Piraeus at 39% against the market's 31%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: 12:00 Drita v Prishtina 13:00 Kataka v URA 13:00 Kabwe Warriors v Roan United

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

UEFA Europa League 15:30

Rennesv

Olympiakos Piraeus

2 Pick: Olympiakos Piraeus Medium

Ours: 39%
Market: 31%
Edge: +8.0%
Best odds: 3.18

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UEFA Champions League 20:00

FC Portov

Napoli

1 Pick: FC Porto Medium

Ours: 53%
Market: 49%
Edge: +3.7%
Best odds: 2.05

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Copa del Rey 18:00

PortugaletevReal Unión

2 Pick: Real Unión Low

Ours: 46%
Market: 40%
Edge: +5.1%
Best odds: 2.35

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Copa del Rey 19:30

Deportiva Minerav

FC Cartagena

2 Pick: FC Cartagena Low

Ours: 45%
Market: 41%
Edge: +4.2%
Best odds: 2.37

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability

11positive edges ≥ 2%

3strong edges ≥ 5%

+3.8%avg positive edge

2.07avg best price on picks

51fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Siwelele v Orlando Pirates Orlando Pirates · 82% Highest BTTS probability RasenBallsport Leipzig v Manchester City 80% both teams score Most goals expected RasenBallsport Leipzig v Manchester City 82% over 2.5 Top value pick Rennes v Olympiakos Piraeus +8.0% edge Biggest market move AEK Athens FC v Real Madrid home 11.01 ▲ +2.60

All matches today

54 fixtures · 3 already played

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
12:00	Kosovo Superliga	DritavPrishtina Kosovo Superliga	1	45.8%	45%	+0.8%	Low	2.05
13:00	Uganda Premier League	KatakavURA Uganda Premier League	2	47.2%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Zambia Super League	Kabwe WarriorsvRoan United Zambia Super League	1	55.1%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Zambia Super League	NkanavKansanshi Dynamos Zambia Super League	1	58.8%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Zambia Super League	Red ArrowsvNkwazi Zambia Super League	X	46.0%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Zambia Super League	ZanacovMan Utd Zambia Academy Zambia Super League	2	38.3%	—	—	Low	—
15:00	Nigeria Premier Football League	Enugu RangersvBendel Insurance Nigeria Premier Football League	1	65.6%	—	—	Low	—
15:30	UEFA Europa League	RennesvOlympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League	2	38.9%	31%	+8.0%	Medium	3.18
16:00	Algeria Ligue 1	MC AlgervMC Oran Algeria Ligue 1	1	47.6%	—	—	Low	—
17:00	Czech Liga	ArtisvBohemians 1905 Czech Liga	2	38.1%	36%	+2.0%	Low	2.68
17:00	Uganda Premier League	KCCAvMaroons Uganda Premier League	1	55.0%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	Golden ArrowsvMarumo Gallants Premier Soccer League	1	46.5%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	Kaizer ChiefsvAmazulu Premier Soccer League	2	34.0%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	Polokwane CityvKruger United Premier Soccer League	1	41.6%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	Chippa UnitedvSekhukhune United Premier Soccer League	2	36.6%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	TS GalaxyvDurban City Premier Soccer League	2	50.4%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	Richards BayvStellenbosch Premier Soccer League	2	50.8%	—	—	Low	—
17:30Postponed	Premier Soccer League	SiwelelevOrlando Pirates Premier Soccer League	2	82.0%	—	—	Low	—
17:45	UEFA Champions League	AEK Athens FCvReal Madrid UEFA Champions League	2	66.4%	77%	-10.4%	Medium	1.28
17:45	UEFA Champions League	FenerbahçevLiverpool UEFA Champions League	2	53.9%	63%	-8.8%	Low	1.56
18:00	Copa del Rey	PortugaletevReal Unión Copa del Rey	2	45.5%	40%	+5.1%	Low	2.35
19:00	Challenger Pro League	Francs BorainsvDender Challenger Pro League	2	45.8%	43%	+3.0%	Low	2.18
19:00	Challenger Pro League	RSC Anderlecht IIvK. Lierse S.K. Challenger Pro League	2	39.1%	38%	+1.1%	Low	2.48
19:00	Copa del Rey	AmorebietavUD Logroñés Copa del Rey	2	50.6%	48%	+2.8%	Low	2.02
19:30	Jupiler Pro League	KortrijkvKV Mechelen Jupiler Pro League	2	39.5%	37%	+2.9%	Low	2.65
19:30	Copa del Rey	UtebovSabadell Copa del Rey	2	61.9%	60%	+1.6%	Low	1.56
19:30	Copa del Rey	Deportiva MineravFC Cartagena Copa del Rey	2	45.1%	41%	+4.2%	Low	2.37
19:30	Copa del Rey	ReddisvBarakaldo Copa del Rey	2	52.5%	49%	+3.5%	Low	1.97
19:45	England Championship	CardiffvWest Ham England Championship	2	47.7%	47%	+0.4%	Low	2.06
19:45	England Championship	WrexhamvMiddlesbrough England Championship	2	55.0%	54%	+0.6%	Low	1.80
19:45	League One	Oxford UnitedvReading League One	2	36.2%	38%	-1.6%	Low	2.55
19:45	Copa del Rey	Calvo SotelovAlbacete Copa del Rey	2	55.0%	60%	-5.1%	Low	1.57
20:00	England Championship	Bristol CityvWolverhampton Wanderers England Championship	2	44.3%	46%	-1.3%	Low	2.13
20:00	UEFA Champions League	LensvComo UEFA Champions League	2	44.4%	44%	+0.5%	High	2.27
20:00	UEFA Champions League	Borussia DortmundvReal Betis UEFA Champions League	1	55.2%	55%	+0.2%	High	1.80
20:00	UEFA Champions League	RasenBallsport LeipzigvManchester City UEFA Champions League	2	54.8%	62%	-7.0%	High	1.58
20:00	UEFA Champions League	PSV EindhovenvClub Brugge KV UEFA Champions League	1	48.3%	46%	+1.9%	Low	2.13
20:00	UEFA Champions League	FC PortovNapoli UEFA Champions League	1	52.8%	49%	+3.7%	Medium	2.05
20:00	UEFA Champions League	Slavia PrahavArsenal UEFA Champions League	2	62.9%	76%	-13.3%	Low	1.28
20:00	UEFA Champions League	VikingvSabah FA UEFA Champions League	1	48.5%	—	—	Low	—
20:00	Botola Pro	FAR RabatvRaja Casablanca Botola Pro	1	41.4%	—	—	Low	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	BadajozvTenerife Copa del Rey	2	54.0%	55%	-1.2%	Low	1.74
21:00	Honduras Liga Nacional	OlanchovLobos Upnfm Honduras Liga Nacional	1	42.2%	—	—	Low	—
21:30	Venezuela Primera División	Portuguesa FCvDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera División	1	37.2%	34%	+3.0%	Low	2.65
22:00	Coupe de France	Sporting Baie-MahaultvSiroco Les Abymes Coupe de France	2	52.6%	—	—	Low	—
22:30	Brazil Serie A	FlamengovGremio Brazil Serie A	1	76.1%	81%	-4.6%	Low	1.20
22:30	Brazil Serie A	Atletico ParanaensevVasco DA Gama Brazil Serie A	1	45.4%	45%	+0.4%	Low	2.18
23:00	Liga de Expansión MX	Venados FCvMonarcas Liga de Expansión MX	1	44.6%	41%	+3.5%	Low	2.37
23:15	Honduras Liga Nacional	Estrella RojavCD Motagua Honduras Liga Nacional	2	50.7%	—	—	Low	—
23:30	Primera A	CucutavSanta Fe Primera A	2	37.7%	40%	-2.7%	Low	2.37
23:30	Venezuela Primera División	Metropolitanos FCvCarabobo FC Venezuela Primera División	2	40.1%	45%	-5.1%	Low	2.05
1-0 FT	Brazil Serie A	InternacionalvCoritiba Brazil Serie A	1	58.1%	59%	-0.5%	Low	1.67
1-0 FT	Peru Primera División	Alianza LimavCienciano Peru Primera División	1	63.2%	66%	-3.1%	Low	1.45
3-1 FT	Costa Rica Primera División	Sporting San JosevPerez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera División	1	69.6%	68%	+1.2%	Low	1.38

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 72 fixtures on 5 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Costa Rica · Primera División 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:00	Puntarenas FCvSan Carlos	1	Low	2.41	3.56	3.29
02:00	Escorpiones BelénvLD Alajuelense	2	Low	—	—	—

Brazil · Serie A 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:30	BotafogovAtletico-MG	1	Low	2.06	3.94	3.84
00:30	Sao PaulovCorinthians	1	Low	2.41	3.37	3.47

El Salvador · Primera Division 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
01:00	FirpovAlianza	1	Low
01:00	Municipal LimeñovFuerte San Francisco	1	Low

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:05	TlaxcalavCA La Paz	1	Low	2.67	3.94	2.69

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:30	MillonariosvAmerica de Cali	1	Low	2.00	3.67	4.42

Peru · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:30	UniversitariovSport Boys	1	Low	1.43	5.20	9.21

Honduras · Liga Nacional 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
01:30	CD OlimpiavJuticalpa	1	Low

Uganda · Premier League 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	ExpressvBlacks Power	1	Low
13:00	NtugasazevEntebbe UPPC	2	Low
17:00	VipersvLugazi	1	Low

Zambia · Super League 6 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	NAPSA StarsvPower Dynamos	X	Low
13:00	Konkola BladesvTrident	1	Low
13:00	Green BuffaloesvZESCO United	X	Low
13:00	Nchanga RangersvMakeni All Stars	1	Low
13:00	Mutondo StarsvMufulira Wanderers	1	Low
13:00	Chirundu UtdvGreen Eagles	X	Low

Saudi Arabia · Pro League 9 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
13:25 Postponed	Al KholoodvAl Khaleej Saihat	1	Low	2.54	3.41	3.19
15:10 Postponed	AbhavAl Shabab	2	Low	4.11	3.96	1.98
17:00 Postponed	Al-Ahli JeddahvAl Taawon	1	Low	—	—	—
17:00 Postponed	Al-Faisaly FCvAl Diriyah	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00 Postponed	Al-FatehvAl Riyadh	1	Low	—	—	—
17:00 Postponed	Al-EttifaqvAl-Hilal Saudi FC	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00 Postponed	Al-Ittihad FCvNEOM	1	Low	2.06	4.03	3.74
17:00 Postponed	Al-HazmvAl-Nassr	2	Low	11.68	7.44	1.28
17:30 Postponed	Al-Qadisiyah FCvAl-Fayha	1	Low	1.38	5.66	10.30

Romania · Liga II 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
15:00	Chindia TargovistevPopești-Leordeni	1	Low	1.72	4.26	5.39

World · UEFA Europa League 17 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:45	Crystal PalacevHoffenheim	1	Medium	2.05	4.04	3.78
17:45	LillestromvPlzen	2	Low	3.02	3.94	2.41
17:45	NEC NijmegenvOmonia Nicosia	1	Low	1.88	4.22	4.33
17:45	AC MilanvFerencvarosi TC	1	Medium	1.39	5.74	9.50
17:45	Real SociedadvLyon	1	Medium	1.91	4.09	4.32
17:45	AnderlechtvRed Bull Salzburg	1	Low	2.02	4.03	3.88
17:45	Sparta PrahavBournemouth	2	Medium	6.32	4.79	1.58
17:45	Levski SofiavJagiellonia	1	Low	2.10	3.79	3.84
20:00	Bayer LeverkusenvMarseille	1	High	1.47	5.49	7.36
20:00	AZ AlkmaarvJuventus	2	Medium	3.92	3.86	2.06
20:00	BenficavLech Poznan	1	Low	1.24	8.06	13.93
20:00	CelticvBeşiktaş	2	Low	3.26	3.96	2.27
20:00	Celta VigovUnion St. Gilloise	2	Medium	2.32	3.80	3.27
20:00	Hapoel Beer ShevavOFI	1	Low	2.22	3.83	3.46
20:00	Sturm GrazvCelje	1	Low	1.63	4.66	5.79
20:00	SunderlandvDinamo Zagreb	1	Medium	1.56	4.90	6.51
20:00	TorreensevArarat-Armenia	1	Low	1.86	3.95	4.75

World · UEFA Europa Conference League 13 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:45	FC MidtjyllandvAjax	1	Low	2.87	3.94	2.52
17:45	AarhusvSC Braga	2	Low	3.94	3.61	2.13
17:45	AtalantavKairat Almaty	1	Medium	1.24	7.60	15.51
17:45	FK Crvena ZvezdavInter Club d'Escaldes	1	Low	1.13	11.87	32.00
17:45	Lincoln Red Imps FCvHNK Hajduk Split	2	Low	9.04	5.21	1.43
17:45	TrabzonsporvFreiburg	1	Low	2.61	3.91	2.77
17:45	FC ThunvHeart Of Midlothian	1	Low	2.51	3.78	2.97
17:45	KuPSvGent	2	Low	5.24	4.16	1.76
17:45	Mjallby AIFvBorac Banja Luka	1	Low	2.36	3.46	3.49
20:00	MonacovFC Nordsjaelland	1	Medium	1.54	5.12	6.42
20:00	FC CopenhagenvFC Iberia 1999	1	Low	1.27	6.99	14.52
20:00	TwentevPafos	1	Low	1.40	5.82	8.87
20:00	GetafevBrighton	2	High	6.22	4.16	1.67

Spain · Copa del Rey 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
18:00	TarancónvLevante	2	Medium	14.20	8.47	1.23

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

FLA 1.24 ▼ -0.08

AEK 11.01 ▲ +2.60

SLA 11.01 ▲ +1.69

FEN 5.79 ▲ +0.83

RSC 2.71 ▲ +0.48

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual

Costa Rica · Primera División 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
01:00	Sporting San JosevPerez Zeledon	3–1	1✓	Low	→

Peru · Primera División 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
01:00	Alianza LimavCienciano	1–0	1✓	Low	→

Brazil · Serie A 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
00:30	InternacionalvCoritiba	1–0	1✓	Low	→

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→