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Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

58matches today 2high confidence 8positive edges 4strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

Today, we cover 58 fixtures across 13 competitions, with a published pick for each match. Notably, the widest-edge match is Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise, where we publish Union St. Gilloise at 39% compared to the market's 32%, resulting in an edge of +7.9 percentage points. Additionally, there are 8 value picks identified, with 4 of them classified as strong, and 2 high-confidence picks available.

First kick-offs: Ntugasaze v Entebbe UPPC NAPSA Stars v Power Dynamos Konkola Blades v Trident

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability
8positive edges ≥ 2%
4strong edges ≥ 5%
+5.1%avg positive edge
1.85avg best price on picks
58fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability FK Crvena Zvezda v Inter Club d'Escaldes FK Crvena Zvezda · 86% Highest BTTS probability FC Thun v Heart Of Midlothian 81% both teams score Most goals expected Bayer Leverkusen v Marseille 84% over 2.5 Top value pick Celta Vigo v Union St. Gilloise +7.9% edge Biggest market move Tarancón v Levante home 14.19 ▼ -38.95

All matches today

69 fixtures · 11 already played
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
Uganda Premier League NtugasazevEntebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League 2 65.8% 67% -1.4% Low 1.38
Zambia Super League NAPSA StarsvPower Dynamos Zambia Super League 2 39.7% 44% -3.9% Low 2.45
Zambia Super League Konkola BladesvTrident Zambia Super League 1 58.4% — — Low —
Zambia Super League Green BuffaloesvZESCO United Zambia Super League 2 38.2% 39% -0.7% Low 2.38
Zambia Super League Nchanga RangersvMakeni All Stars Zambia Super League 1 53.7% — — Low —
Zambia Super League Mutondo StarsvMufulira Wanderers Zambia Super League 2 35.1% 40% -5.3% Low 2.26
Zambia Super League Chirundu UtdvGreen Eagles Zambia Super League X 44.4% — — Low —
Postponed Saudi Arabia Pro League Al KholoodvAl Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League 1 40.2% 43% -2.8% Low 2.65
Liga II Chindia TargovistevPopești-Leordeni Liga II 1 58.5% 60% -1.2% Low 1.56
Postponed Saudi Arabia Pro League AbhavAl Shabab Saudi Arabia Pro League 2 58.0% 57% +1.2% Low 2.03
Uganda Premier League ExpressvBlacks Power Uganda Premier League 1 45.0% — — Low —
Uganda Premier League VipersvLugazi Uganda Premier League 1 77.2% 79% -2.2% Low 1.17
Postponed Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-Qadisiyah FCvAl-Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League 1 80.0% 82% -1.6% Low 1.47
UEFA Europa League Crystal PalacevHoffenheim UEFA Europa League 1 44.9% 51% -5.9% Medium 1.91
UEFA Europa League LillestromvPlzen UEFA Europa League 2 40.9% 43% -2.4% Low 2.25
UEFA Europa League NEC NijmegenvOmonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League 1 46.8% 54% -6.8% Low 1.83
UEFA Europa League AC MilanvFerencvarosi TC UEFA Europa League 1 58.3% 71% -12.9% Medium 1.37
UEFA Europa League Real SociedadvLyon UEFA Europa League 1 53.7% 56% -2.1% Medium 1.85
UEFA Europa League AnderlechtvRed Bull Salzburg UEFA Europa League 1 43.7% 48% -4.5% Low 2.02
UEFA Europa League Sparta PrahavBournemouth UEFA Europa League 2 57.0% 63% -6.4% Medium 1.52
UEFA Europa League Levski SofiavJagiellonia UEFA Europa League 1 47.2% 47% +0.3% Low 2.08
UEFA Europa Conference League FC MidtjyllandvAjax UEFA Europa Conference League 1 39.1% 36% +3.3% Low 2.78
UEFA Europa Conference League AarhusvSC Braga UEFA Europa Conference League 2 43.0% 48% -5.3% Low 2.03
UEFA Europa Conference League AtalantavKairat Almaty UEFA Europa Conference League 1 71.4% 82% -10.7% Medium 1.17
UEFA Europa Conference League FK Crvena ZvezdavInter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Europa Conference League 1 85.9% 89% -3.5% Low 1.08
UEFA Europa Conference League Lincoln Red Imps FCvHNK Hajduk Split UEFA Europa Conference League 2 67.8% 69% -1.6% Low 1.40
UEFA Europa Conference League TrabzonsporvFreiburg UEFA Europa Conference League 1 46.2% 39% +7.0% Low 2.48
UEFA Europa Conference League FC ThunvHeart Of Midlothian UEFA Europa Conference League 1 42.2% 42% +0.5% Low 2.33
UEFA Europa Conference League KuPSvGent UEFA Europa Conference League 2 53.8% 57% -3.2% Low 1.70
UEFA Europa Conference League Mjallby AIFvBorac Banja Luka UEFA Europa Conference League 2 36.1% 30% +6.4% Low 3.40
Liga Profesional Argentina AldosivivRiver Plate Liga Profesional Argentina 2 62.9% 67% -3.9% Low 1.45
Postponed Copa del Rey TarancónvLevante Copa del Rey 2 73.1% 81% -8.0% Medium 1.17
UEFA Europa League Bayer LeverkusenvMarseille UEFA Europa League 1 72.6% 73% +0.0% High 1.34
UEFA Europa League AZ AlkmaarvJuventus UEFA Europa League 2 46.0% 48% -1.6% Medium 2.04
UEFA Europa League BenficavLech Poznan UEFA Europa League 1 79.6% 83% -3.7% Low 1.17
UEFA Europa League CelticvBeşiktaş UEFA Europa League 2 42.0% 43% -1.1% Low 2.23
UEFA Europa League Celta VigovUnion St. Gilloise UEFA Europa League 2 39.4% 32% +7.9% Medium 3.14
UEFA Europa League Hapoel Beer ShevavOFI UEFA Europa League 1 47.8% 45% +2.5% Low 2.16
UEFA Europa League Sturm GrazvCelje UEFA Europa League 1 58.3% 63% -4.2% Low 1.55
UEFA Europa League SunderlandvDinamo Zagreb UEFA Europa League 1 59.4% 65% -5.3% Medium 1.52
UEFA Europa League TorreensevArarat-Armenia UEFA Europa League 1 47.8% 53% -5.7% Low 1.83
UEFA Europa Conference League MonacovFC Nordsjaelland UEFA Europa Conference League 1 62.5% 67% -4.2% Medium 1.47
UEFA Europa Conference League FC CopenhagenvFC Iberia 1999 UEFA Europa Conference League 1 81.3% 81% +0.2% Low 1.19
UEFA Europa Conference League TwentevPafos UEFA Europa Conference League 1 73.5% 73% +0.4% Low 1.32
UEFA Europa Conference League GetafevBrighton UEFA Europa Conference League 2 57.1% 61% -3.4% High 1.62
UEFA Europa Conference League FC LuganovKauno Žalgiris UEFA Europa Conference League 1 79.8% 81% -1.2% Low 1.19
UEFA Europa Conference League PanathinaikosvCSKA Sofia UEFA Europa Conference League 1 65.9% 66% +0.1% Low 1.48
UEFA Europa Conference League Universitatea CraiovavEgnatia Rrogozhinë UEFA Europa Conference League 1 65.9% 67% -1.0% Low 1.45
UEFA Europa Conference League St. TruidenvBrann UEFA Europa Conference League 1 53.6% 56% -2.6% Low 1.73
UEFA Europa Conference League RigavFK Jablonec UEFA Europa Conference League 1 47.5% 40% +7.3% Low 2.45
Postponed Copa del Rey AlcoyanovMallorca Copa del Rey 2 60.1% 60% +0.0% Low 1.57
Honduras Liga Nacional GénesisvReal Espana Honduras Liga Nacional 2 45.7% 44% +1.6% Low 2.08
Liga Profesional Argentina Gimnasia L.P.vBelgrano Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina 1 44.4% 42% +2.9% Low 2.33
Brazil Serie A PalmeirasvRemo Brazil Serie A 1 73.7% 77% -3.8% Low 1.25
Brazil Serie B Botafogo SPvLondrina Brazil Serie B 1 54.7% 54% +0.5% Low 1.78
Chile Primera División Universidad de ConcepcionvO'Higgins Chile Primera División 2 39.4% 39% +0.1% Low 2.43
Costa Rica Primera División Inter San CarlosvCS Cartagines Costa Rica Primera División 2 43.0% 39% +3.6% Low 2.43
Honduras Liga Nacional Atlético CholomavAtletico Independiente Honduras Liga Nacional 1 47.5% 46% +1.8% Low 2.04
0-1 FT Costa Rica Primera División Puntarenas FCvSan Carlos Costa Rica Primera División 1 44.0% 43% +0.5% Low 2.22
0-1 FT Coupe de France Sporting Baie-MahaultvSiroco Les Abymes Coupe de France 2 52.6% — — Low —
1-0 FT Brazil Serie A BotafogovAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A 1 51.2% 57% -5.9% Low 1.70
0-0 FT Brazil Serie A Sao PaulovCorinthians Brazil Serie A 1 43.7% 40% +4.0% Low 2.49
2-0 FT Primera Division FirpovAlianza Primera Division 1 52.9% 54% -0.6% Low 1.73
1-1 FT Primera Division Municipal LimeñovFuerte San Francisco Primera Division 1 56.1% 57% -0.8% Low 1.65
0-1 FT Liga de Expansión MX TlaxcalavCA La Paz Liga de Expansión MX 2 37.9% 39% -0.8% Low 2.47
0-0 FT Primera A MillonariosvAmerica de Cali Primera A 1 48.5% 50% -1.2% Low 1.92
2-2 FT Peru Primera División UniversitariovSport Boys Peru Primera División 1 61.6% 62% -0.3% Low 1.53
8-0 FT Honduras Liga Nacional CD OlimpiavJuticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional 1 79.6% 78% +1.3% Low 1.22
1-4 FT Costa Rica Primera División Escorpiones BelénvLD Alajuelense Costa Rica Primera División 2 46.3% — — Low —

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 111 fixtures on 6 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
Brazil · Serie A 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
CruzeirovBahia 1 Low 1.78 4.39 4.75
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
CancúnvPiratas 1 Low 2.86 3.58 2.69
DurangovLeones Negros UDG 1 Low — — —
Honduras · Liga Nacional 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
CD MarathonvPlatense FC 1 Low 1.42 5.08 9.93
Costa Rica · Primera División 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
CS HeredianovDeportivo Saprissa 2 Low 2.74 3.48 2.88
Australia · A-League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
SydneyvCentral Coast Mariners 1 Low 1.57 4.73 6.62
Ukraine · Persha Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
InhuletsvKulykiv 2 Low
Ukraine · Premier League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Obolon'-BrovarvLivyi Bereh 2 Low 3.59 3.23 2.43
PolessyavVeres Rivne 1 Low 1.35 5.99 10.84
Armenia · Premier League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
VanvPyunik Yerevan 2 Low
BKMAvAlashkert 2 Low
Israel · Ligat Ha'al 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Maccabi Tel AvivvMaccabi Petah Tikva 1 Low 1.31 6.52 11.63
Kenya · Kenyan Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
KCBvAPS Bomet 2 Low
Uganda · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Kigezi HomeBoyzvMbarara City 2 Low
Azerbaijan · Premyer Liqa 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
QarabagvTuran 1 Low 1.68 4.13 6.08
Neftchi BakuvKapaz 1 Low 1.52 4.76 7.64
Qatar · Stars League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Al-Arabi SCvAl Ahli Doha 1 Low 2.10 4.23 3.47
Al WakrahvAl Shahaniya 1 Low — — —
Saudi Arabia · Pro League 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Postponed Al-FatehvAl Riyadh 1 Low 2.33 3.64 3.38
Postponed Al-HazmvAl-Nassr 2 Low 10.97 6.37 1.33
Postponed Al-Ittihad FCvNEOM 1 Low 2.13 3.84 3.70
Bulgaria · First League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Septemvri SofiavLokomotiv Sofia 2 Low 3.28 3.58 2.41
Botev PlovdivvDunav Ruse 1 Low 1.52 4.83 7.39
Ghana · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
KarelavVision 1 Low
Romania · Liga I 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Uta AradvPetrolul Ploiesti 1 Low 1.87 4.08 4.55
Arges PitestivDinamo Bucuresti 2 Low — — —
Montenegro · First League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
BokeljvMornar 1 Low
Kosovo · Superliga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
DukagjinivLlapi 1 Low
Slovenia · 1. SNL 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
NaftavOlimpija Ljubljana 2 Low 4.41 3.92 1.93
Turkey · Süper Lig 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Gaziantep FKvKasımpaşa 2 Low 2.69 3.56 2.89
Poland · Ekstraklasa 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Motor LublinvWisla Plock 1 Low 2.09 3.93 3.74
Croatia · HNL 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
NK Lokomotiva ZagrebvRudes 1 Low 1.94 3.95 4.30
Cyprus · 1. Division 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
AEK LarnacavKarmiotissa 1 Low 1.29 6.66 12.99
Nea SalamisvOmonia Aradippou 1 Low 2.06 3.67 4.13
Turkey · 1. Lig 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
AntalyasporvBursaspor 2 Low 4.35 3.97 1.93
SarıyervIğdır FK 2 Low 2.63 3.40 3.07
Denmark · 1. Division 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
VejlevFC Fredericia 2 Low 2.75 3.82 2.67
AB CopenhagenvVendsyssel FF 1 Low 2.01 4.06 3.91
HB KogevAalborg 1 Low 2.78 3.90 2.61
Poland · I Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Puszcza NiepołomicevMiedz Legnica 2 Low 3.02 3.80 2.47
Czech Republic · FNL 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Dukla PrahavPříbram 1 Low 1.89 3.85 4.76
OpavavVlašim 1 Low 2.39 3.62 3.26
Vysočina JihlavavKarviná 1 Low 2.70 3.78 2.74
Ústí nad LabemvViktoria Žižkov 1 Low 2.01 3.95 4.01
Germany · 2. Bundesliga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Dynamo DresdenvSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 Low 2.00 4.09 3.90
Eintracht BraunschweigvEnergie Cottbus 1 Low 1.99 4.29 3.77
Austria · 2. Liga 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FC LieferingvAustria Salzburg 2 Low — — —
SKU AmstettenvWacker Innsbruck 1 Low 2.22 3.94 3.37
Austria Vienna (Am)vFirst Vienna 1 Low — — —
Denmark · Superliga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
SilkeborgvLyngby 1 Low 2.53 3.98 2.83
Sweden · Allsvenskan 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Hammarby FFvIF Elfsborg 1 Low 1.50 5.10 7.22
Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Barracas CentralvRacing Club 1 Low 2.32 3.32 3.73
Germany · 3. Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FC Viktoria KölnvFC Saarbrücken 1 Low 1.91 4.30 4.11
Morocco · Botola Pro 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Hassania AgadirvRenaissance Berkane 2 Low
Austria · Bundesliga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Rapid ViennavWolfsberger AC 1 Low 1.35 6.49 9.69
Switzerland · Challenge League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
SC KriensvRapperswil 1 Low 2.28 4.19 3.10
Stade NyonnaisvStade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 Low 6.75 5.03 1.53
Portugal · Segunda Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
AVSvVizela 2 Low 3.46 3.53 2.33
Netherlands · Eredivisie 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Willem IIvPEC Zwolle 2 Low 2.96 3.94 2.45
France · Ligue 2 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
MontpelliervMetz 1 Low 2.14 3.63 3.89

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

TAR 14.19 ▼ -38.95
FK 1.12 ▼ -0.02
AL- 1.38 ▲ +0.18
BEN 1.20 ▼ -0.07
ATA 1.22 ▼ -0.05

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual
Costa Rica · Primera División 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Escorpiones BelénvLD Alajuelense 1–4 2✓ Low →
Honduras · Liga Nacional 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
CD OlimpiavJuticalpa 8–0 1✓ Low →
Peru · Primera División 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
UniversitariovSport Boys 2–2 1✗ Low →
Colombia · Primera A 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
MillonariosvAmerica de Cali 0–0 1✗ Low →
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
TlaxcalavCA La Paz 0–1 2✓ Low →
El Salvador · Primera Division 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Municipal LimeñovFuerte San Francisco 1–1 1✗ Low →

Competitions

Premier Leaguepredictions →
La Ligapredictions →
Bundesligapredictions →
Serie Apredictions →
Ligue 1predictions →
UEFA Champions Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Conference Leaguepredictions →
All competitions →predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions→
Over/Under Predictions→
BTTS Predictions→
Correct Score Predictions→
Double Chance Predictions→
Draw Predictions→
Goals Predictions→
Accumulator Predictions→
Handicap Predictions→
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