Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

49matches today 3high confidence 13positive edges 9strong edges updated 2026-10-20T16:16:48Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 49 of today's 49 fixtures across 10 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 13 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona, where the model rates Barcelona 44% against the market's 40%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: 18:45 Larne v Linfield 18:45 Wolverhampton Wanderers v Portsmouth 18:45 Huddersfield v Peterborough

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick

UEFA Champions League 19:00

Paris Saint Germainv

Barcelona

2 Pick: Barcelona High

Model: 44%
Market: 40%
Edge: +4.6%
Best odds: 2.52

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League One 18:45

Cambridge Unitedv

Wycombe

1 Pick: Cambridge United Low

Model: 59%
Market: 39%
Edge: +19.8%
Best odds: 2.43

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England FA Cup 18:45

Cray Wanderersv

Bedford Town

1 Pick: Cray Wanderers Low

Model: 55%
Market: 36%
Edge: +19.4%
Best odds: 2.70

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League Two 18:45

Bristol Roversv

Salford City

2 Pick: Salford City Low

Model: 50%
Market: 36%
Edge: +13.2%
Best odds: 2.64

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = model probability minus de-vigged market probability

13positive edges ≥ 2%

9strong edges ≥ 5%

+9.5%avg positive edge

2.03avg best price on picks

49fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Roma v Slovan Bratislava Roma · 81% Highest BTTS probability Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona 82% both teams score Most goals expected Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona 84% over 2.5 Top value pick Paris Saint Germain v Barcelona +4.6% edge Biggest market move Burton Albion v Bradford home 4.71 ▲ +1.18

All matches today

68 fixtures · 19 already played

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
18:45	Northern Ireland Premiership	LarnevLinfield Northern Ireland Premiership	1	44.7%	48%	-12.8%	Low	1.98
18:45	England Championship	Wolverhampton WanderersvPortsmouth England Championship	1	56.0%	60%	-14.5%	Low	1.65
18:45	League One	HuddersfieldvPeterborough League One	1	62.4%	62%	+0.2%	Low	1.54
18:45	League One	Burton AlbionvBradford League One	2	50.6%	52%	-7.7%	Low	1.91
18:45	League One	AFC WimbledonvMansfield Town League One	2	45.7%	45%	+4.3%	Low	2.17
18:45	League One	Oxford UnitedvWigan League One	1	50.6%	48%	+10.8%	Low	2.02
18:45	League One	DoncastervStockport County League One	2	52.2%	55%	-10.2%	Low	1.77
18:45	League One	BlackpoolvMilton Keynes Dons League One	1	40.6%	39%	+6.6%	Low	2.47
18:45	League One	LutonvBarnsley League One	1	65.2%	66%	-1.1%	Low	1.46
18:45	League One	StevenagevPlymouth League One	2	36.3%	36%	-0.2%	Low	2.65
18:45	League One	Cambridge UnitedvWycombe League One	1	44.4%	39%	+19.8%	Low	2.43
18:45	League One	Notts CountyvSheffield Wednesday League One	2	45.4%	44%	+7.3%	Low	2.20
18:45	League One	BromleyvLeicester League One	2	51.9%	56%	-15.2%	Low	1.76
18:45	League Two	RotherhamvNewport County League Two	1	38.6%	43%	-19.6%	Low	2.24
18:45	League Two	Bristol RoversvSalford City League Two	2	39.6%	36%	+13.2%	Low	2.64
18:45	League Two	NorthamptonvTranmere League Two	1	40.0%	41%	-5.3%	Low	2.33
18:45	League Two	RochdalevGrimsby League Two	2	39.7%	44%	-16.3%	Low	2.20
18:45	League Two	WalsallvOldham League Two	1	41.7%	39%	+11.2%	Low	2.45
18:45	League Two	ChesterfieldvColchester League Two	1	56.5%	59%	-10.6%	Low	1.62
18:45	League Two	Crawley TownvShrewsbury League Two	2	37.6%	39%	-4.5%	Low	2.42
18:45	League Two	Exeter CityvCrewe League Two	1	35.1%	38%	-10.5%	Low	2.55
18:45	League Two	BarnetvSwindon Town League Two	1	66.6%	64%	+11.8%	Low	1.50
18:45	League Two	CheltenhamvFleetwood Town League Two	2	44.5%	42%	+8.6%	Low	2.25
18:45	League Two	YorkvAccrington ST League Two	1	53.1%	55%	-6.9%	Low	1.78
18:45	Scotland Championship	DunfermlinevPartick Scotland Championship	2	37.3%	38%	-4.9%	Low	2.51
18:45	England FA Cup	Yeovil TownvLeatherhead England FA Cup	1	55.9%	66%	-38.7%	Low	1.49
18:45	England FA Cup	Forest GreenvChesham United England FA Cup	1	68.9%	77%	-34.0%	Low	1.25
18:45	England FA Cup	Harrogate TownvBury England FA Cup	1	46.1%	55%	-36.1%	Low	1.73
18:45	England FA Cup	AlvechurchvSpalding United England FA Cup	2	38.8%	41%	-9.4%	Low	2.26
18:45	England FA Cup	Cray WanderersvBedford Town England FA Cup	1	40.6%	36%	+19.4%	Low	2.70
18:45	England FA Cup	Stafford RangersvGateshead England FA Cup	1	46.1%	—	—	Low	—
18:45	England FA Cup	United of ManchestervAltrincham England FA Cup	2	38.4%	46%	-29.0%	Low	2.05
18:45	England FA Cup	Gloucester CityvBarrow England FA Cup	2	40.5%	51%	-41.7%	Low	1.85
18:45	England FA Cup	Anstey NomadsvMacclesfield England FA Cup	2	45.5%	49%	-14.6%	Low	1.94
18:45	England FA Cup	Tadley CallevavAldershot Town England FA Cup	1	61.3%	—	—	Low	—
18:45	England FA Cup	Worcester CityvChorley England FA Cup	1	37.7%	37%	+2.9%	Low	2.65
19:00	League Two	GillinghamvPort Vale League Two	2	36.7%	42%	-22.1%	Low	2.29
19:00	UEFA Champions League	LiverpoolvVillarreal UEFA Champions League	1	60.5%	65%	-16.2%	High	1.55
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Manchester CityvAEK Athens FC UEFA Champions League	1	73.3%	86%	-49.0%	Medium	1.16
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Paris Saint GermainvBarcelona UEFA Champions League	2	40.7%	40%	+4.6%	High	2.52
19:00	UEFA Champions League	VfB StuttgartvAtletico Madrid UEFA Champions League	2	43.2%	46%	-12.1%	High	2.13
19:00	UEFA Champions League	FC PortovPSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League	1	59.1%	63%	-13.6%	Low	1.57
19:00	UEFA Champions League	NapolivBodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League	1	51.0%	54%	-13.3%	Medium	1.83
19:00	UEFA Champions League	RomavSlovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League	1	81.1%	86%	-18.1%	Medium	1.15
19:00Not played	CAF Confederation Cup	PanthersvUSM Alger CAF Confederation Cup	1	42.4%	—	—	Low	—
21:30	Primera A	Deportivo PereiravChico Primera A	1	41.9%	43%	-3.0%	Low	2.22
22:30	Brazil Serie B	LondrinavCuiaba Brazil Serie B	2	37.1%	37%	+1.3%	Low	2.60
23:15	Primera A	Internacional de BogotavFortaleza FC Primera A	1	44.8%	44%	+2.9%	Low	2.16
23:30	Primera A	CucutavAtletico Nacional Primera A	2	53.9%	58%	-15.7%	Low	1.64
3-3 FT	Costa Rica Primera División	Sporting San JosevSan Carlos Costa Rica Primera División	1	51.3%	56%	-17.0%	Low	1.70
1-1 FT	Liga Profesional Argentina	Deportivo RiestravUnion Santa Fe Liga Profesional Argentina	1	42.3%	43%	-0.8%	Low	2.30
3-0 FT	Guatemala Liga Nacional	Antigua GFCvXelajú Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	52.1%	53%	-4.5%	Low	1.75
0-1 FT	Primera A	Deportivo PastovAlianza Valledupar Primera A	1	51.4%	54%	-9.9%	Low	1.78
1-2 FT	Costa Rica Primera División	Escorpiones BelénvPuntarenas FC Costa Rica Primera División	1	44.1%	—	—	Low	—
1-2 FT	Kenyan Premier League	PolicevAFC Leopards Kenyan Premier League	1	38.4%	38%	+3.2%	Low	2.44
4-1 FT	Uganda Premier League	MaroonsvKataka Uganda Premier League	1	62.4%	59%	+14.8%	Low	1.57
0-1 FT	Egypt Premier League	Asyut PetrolvZamalek SC Egypt Premier League	2	64.1%	67%	-12.2%	Low	1.39
3-2 FT	Egypt Premier League	MasrvFuture FC Egypt Premier League	1	37.7%	38%	-1.2%	Low	2.53
2-4 FT	Liga II	ASA Targu MuresvChindia Targoviste Liga II	2	42.4%	42%	+1.0%	Low	2.23
1-0 FT	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al DiriyahvAl Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League	1	55.6%	60%	-16.8%	Low	1.60
0-1 FT	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al TaawonvAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2	69.2%	65%	+15.2%	Low	1.47
2-2 FT	UEFA Champions League	FenerbahçevSlavia Praha UEFA Champions League	1	57.3%	61%	-13.8%	Low	1.69
1-2 FT	UEFA Champions League	Sabah FAvBorussia Dortmund UEFA Champions League	2	59.6%	74%	-57.9%	Medium	1.33
1-1 FT	Egypt Premier League	Wadi DeglavNational Bank of Egypt Egypt Premier League	2	42.1%	44%	-8.2%	Low	2.15
1-4 FT	Egypt Premier League	El GeishvPyramids FC Egypt Premier League	2	68.3%	65%	+11.6%	Low	1.42
2-2 FT	Superettan	IFK NorrkopingvOrebro SK Superettan	1	62.4%	58%	+16.7%	Low	1.64
1-4 FT	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-EttifaqvAl-Ittihad FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2	43.1%	46%	-11.6%	Low	2.10
1-0 FT	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-NassrvNEOM Saudi Arabia Pro League	1	61.7%	65%	-12.9%	Low	1.47

Upcoming fixtures

50 fixtures on 21 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Mexico · Liga MX 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:07	Guadalajara ChivasvNecaxa	1	Low	1.47	5.32	7.45
01:00	FC JuarezvAtlante FC	2	Low	3.10	3.66	2.47
01:00	Atletico San LuisvClub Queretaro	1	Low	2.40	3.71	3.19
03:00	Tigres UANLvLeon	1	Low	2.02	3.87	4.07

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:30	Vasco DA GamavBoca Juniors	1	Low	2.77	3.44	2.88
22:00	Atletico TorquevAtletico-MG	2	Low	3.21	3.45	2.51

Colombia · Primera A 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:30	MillonariosvOnce Caldas	1	Low	1.80	4.02	5.11
23:15	LlanerosvDeportivo Cali	2	Low	2.92	3.29	2.83

Guatemala · Liga Nacional 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
02:00	MalacatecovComunicaciones	1	Low	2.64	3.24	3.19
21:00	MixcovMunicipal	1	Low	—	—	—

Japan · J1 League 10 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
10:00	Avispa FukuokavGamba Osaka	2	Low	2.70	3.59	2.85
10:00	FC TokyovKashiwa Reysol	1	Low	2.26	3.75	3.43
10:00	Kawasaki FrontalevVissel Kobe	1	Low	2.44	3.86	3.02
10:00	Kyoto SangavKashima	2	Low	3.93	3.81	2.07
10:00	Nagoya GrampusvCerezo Osaka	1	Low	2.47	3.79	3.02
10:00	Fagiano OkayamavMito Hollyhock	1	Low	1.87	3.84	4.89
10:00	Shimizu S-pulsevMachida Zelvia	2	Low	3.61	3.51	2.28
10:00	V-varen NagasakivSanfrecce Hiroshima	2	Low	6.41	4.88	1.57
10:00	Yokohama F. MarinosvTokyo Verdy	1	Low	1.98	3.70	4.45
10:30	UrawavJEF United Chiba	1	Low	1.78	4.15	5.11

World · CAF Champions League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
12:00	15 de AgostovSimba	2	Low	18.57	7.76	1.22
16:00	Young AfricansvCFFA	1	Low	1.16	11.59	19.70

Uganda · Premier League 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	BULvNEC	1	Low
13:00	KitaravNtugasaze	1	Low
13:00	LugazivExpress	X	Low

Egypt · Premier League 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
14:00	Ghazl El MehallavAl Ittihad	2	Low	3.26	2.83	2.94
17:00	Al AhlyvOlympic El Qanah	1	Low	1.33	5.88	13.06
17:00	Ceramica CleopatravPetrojet	1	Low	2.14	3.38	4.22

Estonia · Meistriliiga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
15:00	LaagrivFlora Tallinn	1	Low

Finland · Veikkausliiga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
15:30	PK-35vFF Jaro	1	Low	2.92	3.24	2.87

Malta · Premier League 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	Hamrun SpartansvBalzan FC	1	Low	1.75	4.13	5.37
16:00	BirzebbugavMarsaxlokk	2	Low	6.06	4.44	1.64
18:30	Zabbar St. PatrickvSliema Wanderers	2	Low	4.98	3.87	1.85
18:30	MostavValletta FC	2	Low	5.65	4.15	1.72

World · UEFA Champions League 9 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:45	LillevGalatasaray	1	Medium	2.29	3.93	3.25
16:45	ComovManchester United	1	High	2.35	3.92	3.13
19:00	Aston VillavViking	1	Medium	1.28	7.09	12.62
19:00	Bayern MunichvArsenal	1	High	2.15	3.98	3.53
19:00	Sporting CPvLask Linz	1	Low	1.26	7.88	12.60
19:00	IntervShakhtar Donetsk	1	Medium	1.25	7.83	13.57
19:00	Real MadridvRasenBallsport Leipzig	1	High	1.31	7.33	10.02
19:00	Real BetisvFeyenoord	1	Medium	1.65	4.91	5.25
19:00	Club Brugge KVvLens	1	Medium	2.13	4.21	3.42

Norway · 1. Division 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	SogndalvRaufoss	1	Low	1.55	5.15	6.20

Denmark · DBU Pokalen 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:00	VanløsevNykobing FC	2	Low

Spain · La Liga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
18:00	LevantevAthletic Club	2	High	3.58	3.52	2.29

England · League One 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
19:00	ReadingvLeyton Orient	1	Low	1.64	4.50	5.99

USA · USL Championship 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
22:30	BrooklynvBirmingham Legion	2	Low	2.78	3.86	2.62
23:30	Sporting JAXvLouisville City	2	Low	7.06	5.29	1.49

USA · Major League Soccer 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
23:00	FC CincinnativDC United	1	Low	1.78	4.62	4.48

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

MAN 1.17 ▲ +0.05

ROM 1.17 ▼ -0.01

FOR 1.29 ▼ -0.06

FC 1.60 ▼ -0.23

BAR 1.57 ▼ -0.19

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual

Saudi Arabia · Pro League 2 matches

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
18:00	Al-NassrvNEOM	1–0	1✓	Low	→
18:00	Al-EttifaqvAl-Ittihad FC	1–4	2✓	Low	→

Sweden · Superettan 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
17:00	IFK NorrkopingvOrebro SK	2–2	1✗	Low	→

Egypt · Premier League 2 matches

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
17:00	El GeishvPyramids FC	1–4	2✓	Low	→
17:00	Wadi DeglavNational Bank of Egypt	1–1	2✗	Low	→

World · UEFA Champions League 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
16:45	Sabah FAvBorussia Dortmund	1–2	2✓	Medium	→

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→