Copa del Rey
2
Pick: UD Logroñés
Low
- Ours
- 47%
- Market
- 43%
- Edge
- +4.1%
- Best odds
- 2.24
Football Predictions Today
Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.
9matches today
0high confidence
2positive edges
1strong edges
updated · kickoffs in your local time
On 10 November 2026, our analysis covers 9 fixtures across 4 competitions, with published picks for each match. The most notable gap today is in the Copa del Rey, where we project UD Logroñés at 47%, surpassing the market's 43%, resulting in an edge of +4.1 percentage points. Additionally, Metalul Buzău is forecasted at 50% against a market of 47%, yielding an edge of +2.6 percentage points.
Top model opportunities today
Liga II
1
Pick: Metalul Buzău
Low
- Ours
- 50%
- Market
- 47%
- Edge
- +2.6%
- Best odds
- 2.00
The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.
Model vs market — value signals today
2positive edges ≥ 2%
1strong edges ≥ 5%
+3.3%avg positive edge
1.57avg best price on picks
9fixtures with a model pick
Today at a glance
Highest win probability
Tavernes v Valencia
Valencia · 82%
Highest BTTS probability
Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén
65% both teams score
Most goals expected
Mijas Las Lagunas v Real Jaén
62% over 2.5
Top value pick
Amorebieta v UD Logroñés
+4.1% edge
Biggest market move
Anaitasuna v Alaves
home 30.75 ▼ -22.68
All matches today
| Time | League | Match | Pick | Prob | Market | Edge | Conf | Best odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria Premier Football League |  Sporting Lagosv Rivers United
Nigeria Premier Football League |
1 | 46.2% | — | — | Low | — | |
| Liga II |  Metalul Buzăuv CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Liga II |
1 | 49.5% | 47% | +2.6% | Low | 2.00 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Pamplonav Eibar
Copa del Rey |
2 | 74.8% | 80% | -5.3% | Low | 1.18 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Anaitasunav Alaves
Copa del Rey |
2 | 75.9% | 90% | -14.4% | Medium | 1.05 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Amorebietav UD Logroñés
Copa del Rey |
2 | 46.6% | 43% | +4.1% | Low | 2.24 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Trival Valderasv Leganes
Copa del Rey |
2 | 70.2% | 82% | -12.1% | Low | 1.17 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Mijas Las Lagunasv Real Jaén
Copa del Rey |
2 | 47.2% | 49% | -2.3% | Low | 1.95 | |
| Copa del Rey |  Tavernesv Valencia
Copa del Rey |
2 | 82.0% | 96% | -13.8% | Medium | 1.01 | |
| Primera Division |  Cacahuatiquev Firpo
Primera Division |
2 | 49.2% | 47% | +1.8% | Low | 1.94 | |
| 2-0 FT | Primera A |  Juniorv Cucuta
Primera A |
1 | 52.5% | 55% | -2.4% | Low | 1.75 |
| 1-1 FT | Bolivia Primera División |  Aurorav Universitario de Vinto
Bolivia Primera División |
1 | 57.4% | 55% | +2.0% | Low | 1.70 |
Upcoming fixtures
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX
1 match
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monarcasv Leones Negros UDG
|
1 | Low |
El Salvador · Primera Division
2 matches
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Isidro Metapánv Platense
|
1 | Low | 2.04 | 3.64 | 4.25 | ||
 Fuerte San Franciscov Alianza
|
2 | Low | 4.19 | 3.68 | 2.04 |
Ukraine · Persha Liga
1 match
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chernihivv Inhulets
|
1 | Low |
Brazil · Serie B
1 match
| Time | Match | Pick | Conf. | 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Londrinav Nautico Recife
|
1 | Low | 1.69 | 4.47 | 5.40 |
Where to bet
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Odds movement
Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.
ANA
30.75 ▼ -22.68
TAV
69.31 ▲ +16.88
TRI
19.62 ▲ +5.72
PAM
16.01 ▼ -1.87
AMO
3.34 ▼ -1.09
5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.
The model
See the full backtest — including where it falls short.
Why can you trust us?
- xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
- Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
- Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
- No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market
Recent results
Bolivia · Primera División
1 match
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AuroravUniversitario de Vinto
|
1–1 | 1✗ | Low | → |
Colombia · Primera A
1 match
| Date | Match | Result | Pick | Conf. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JuniorvCucuta
|
2–0 | 1✓ | Low | → |
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| All competitions → | predictions → |