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Today

Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

3matches today 0high confidence 0positive edges 0strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

On 11 November 2026, today's slate features 3 fixtures across 3 competitions, with the model providing a published pick for each match. Notably, the widest-edge match is highlighted, with a probability of 0% for one team and 0% for the other. There are no value picks or high-confidence selections available today, as the analysis indicates no strong edges exceeding 4 percentage points.

First kick-offs: Chernihiv v Inhulets Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza Londrina v Nautico Recife

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability
0positive edges ≥ 2%
0strong edges ≥ 5%
—avg positive edge
1.91avg best price on picks
3fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Londrina v Nautico Recife Londrina · 53% Highest BTTS probability Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza 64% both teams score Most goals expected Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza 62% over 2.5 Biggest market move Londrina v Nautico Recife home 1.85 ▲ +0.31

All matches today

4 fixtures · 1 already played
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
Persha Liga ChernihivvInhulets Persha Liga 1 45.6% 48% -2.8% Low 2.00
Primera Division Fuerte San FranciscovAlianza Primera Division 2 48.3% 49% -0.8% Low 1.90
Brazil Serie B LondrinavNautico Recife Brazil Serie B 1 53.3% 54% -0.8% Low 1.83
2-1 FT Primera Division Isidro MetapánvPlatense Primera Division 1 46.4% 49% -2.6% Low 1.91

Upcoming fixtures

43 fixtures on 12 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
PiratasvCA La Paz 1 Low 1.90 4.15 4.31
El Salvador · Primera Division 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FASvInter 1 Low 2.03 3.72 4.17
ÁguilavMunicipal Limeño 1 Low 1.78 4.00 5.30
Atletico BalboavInca Aruba 1 Low 1.87 4.00 4.63
Uganda · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Kigezi HomeBoyzvVipers 2 Low
World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 9 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
GhanavSomalia 1 Low 1.15 10.73 27.90
Congo DRvSierra Leone 1 Low 1.30 5.93 15.43
Equatorial GuineavZimbabwe 1 Low 2.21 3.19 4.27
GuineavEritrea 1 Low 1.25 7.00 17.14
MadagascarvGuinea-Bissau 2 Low 3.35 3.30 2.51
BeninvCentral African Republic 1 Low 1.72 3.83 6.35
CameroonvNamibia 1 Low 1.35 5.42 13.00
Ivory CoastvGambia 1 Low 1.30 6.18 13.97
SenegalvSudan 1 Low 1.18 9.50 22.46
World · UEFA Nations League 8 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
TürkiyevBelgium 2 Low 4.02 4.23 1.94
ArmeniavCyprus 2 Low 2.48 3.45 3.26
EnglandvCroatia 1 Low 1.31 6.53 11.70
ItalyvFrance 2 Low 4.62 4.11 1.85
CzechiavSpain 2 Low 12.77 7.77 1.26
AlbaniavFinland 1 Low 2.05 3.54 4.37
MontenegrovLatvia 1 Low 1.38 5.55 10.49
San MarinovBelarus 2 Low 19.03 8.51 1.20
Spain · Copa del Rey 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Calvo SotelovAlbacete 2 Low 5.62 4.51 1.67
TarancónvLevante 2 Medium 21.50 10.00 1.17
NavalcarnerovReal Betis 2 Low 15.07 8.67 1.22
France · Coupe de France 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
ChambéryvGrenoble 2 Low
World · CONCACAF Nations League 5 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
BarbadosvGuadeloupe 1 Low 2.98 3.72 2.52
Cayman IslandsvGuyana 2 Low 34.75 13.90 1.11
BonairevCuba 2 Low 22.63 9.97 1.17
ArubavMartinique 2 Low — — —
Antigua and BarbudavTrinidad and Tobago 1 Low — — —
Colombia · Primera A 10 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
MillonariosvAlianza Valledupar 1 Low 1.35 5.68 11.90
Deportivo CalivDeportes Tolima 1 Low 2.38 3.35 3.56
BucaramangavFortaleza FC 1 Low — — —
Internacional de BogotavSanta Fe 2 Low 3.12 3.48 2.55
Atletico NacionalvOnce Caldas 1 Low 2.31 3.66 3.40
Águilas DoradasvIndependiente Medellin 1 Low 2.66 3.44 3.00
Deportivo PereiravAmerica de Cali 2 Low 4.73 3.80 1.90
LlanerosvChico 1 Low 1.79 3.92 5.39
CucutavJaguares 1 Low 1.76 4.14 5.23
Deportivo PastovJunior 2 Low — — —
Guatemala · Liga Nacional 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
AuroravMixco 1 Low 2.11 3.64 3.99
Uruguay · Primera División 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Cerro LargovProgreso 1 Low 1.97 3.77 4.42

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

LON 1.85 ▲ +0.31
FUE 4.19 ▼ -0.09

2 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual
El Salvador · Primera Division 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Isidro MetapánvPlatense 2–1 1✓ Low →

Competitions

Premier Leaguepredictions →
La Ligapredictions →
Bundesligapredictions →
Serie Apredictions →
Ligue 1predictions →
UEFA Champions Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Conference Leaguepredictions →
All competitions →predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions→
Over/Under Predictions→
BTTS Predictions→
Correct Score Predictions→
Double Chance Predictions→
Draw Predictions→
Goals Predictions→
Accumulator Predictions→
Handicap Predictions→
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