Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

118matches today 2high confidence 38positive edges 26strong edges updated 2026-10-15T16:23:06Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 118 of today's 118 fixtures across 64 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 38 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Frosinone v Sassuolo, where the model rates Frosinone 54% against the market's 38%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: 00:30 Estudiantes L.P. v Flamengo 01:00 Suchitepéquez v Deportivo San Pedro 01:00 Firpo v Inca Aruba

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick

Serie A 18:45

Frosinonev

Sassuolo

1 Pick: Frosinone Medium

Model: 54%
Market: 38%
Edge: +16.4%
Best odds: 2.62

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La Liga 19:00

Deportivo La Corunav

Levante

1 Pick: Deportivo La Coruna High

Model: 60%
Market: 45%
Edge: +14.7%
Best odds: 2.17

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United Arab Emirates Pro League 13:05

Al-Dhafrav

Dubai United

2 Pick: Dubai United Low

Model: 62%
Market: 34%
Edge: +27.6%
Best odds: 2.75

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Süper Lig 17:00

Çorum FKv

Rizespor

1 Pick: Çorum FK Low

Model: 68%
Market: 46%
Edge: +21.7%
Best odds: 2.13

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = model probability minus de-vigged market probability

38positive edges ≥ 2%

26strong edges ≥ 5%

+9.7%avg positive edge

1.97avg best price on picks

118fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Stade Nyonnais v FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 · 88% Highest BTTS probability Eintracht Frankfurt v FC Cologne 82% both teams score Most goals expected Rapid Vienna v TSV Hartberg 88% over 2.5 Top value pick Frosinone v Sassuolo +16.4% edge Biggest market move Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane home 17.97 ▲ +1.64

All matches today

118 fixtures

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
00:30	CONMEBOL Libertadores	Estudiantes L.P.vFlamengo CONMEBOL Libertadores	2	41.0%	44%	-10.0%	Low	2.26
01:00	Guatemala Liga Nacional	SuchitepéquezvDeportivo San Pedro Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	47.0%	50%	-11.2%	Low	1.91
01:00	Primera Division	FirpovInca Aruba Primera Division	1	68.9%	—	—	Low	—
01:05Postponed	Primera A	Santa FevJaguares Primera A	1	67.5%	68%	-3.9%	Low	1.40
01:30	Honduras Liga Nacional	CD OlimpiavReal Espana Honduras Liga Nacional	1	46.1%	47%	-5.5%	Low	1.95
02:00	Costa Rica Primera División	Deportivo SaprissavSporting San Jose Costa Rica Primera División	1	47.1%	50%	-10.7%	Low	1.88
09:00	A-League	SydneyvWestern Sydney Wanderers A-League	1	45.2%	43%	+9.2%	Low	2.28
10:00	Ukraine Premier League	Obolon'-BrovarvVeres Rivne Ukraine Premier League	2	38.8%	38%	+3.6%	Low	2.49
10:00	Persha Liga	Ahrobiznes VolochyskvMetal Kharkiv Persha Liga	1	46.9%	46%	+2.0%	Low	1.96
11:00	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FKvSafa Baku Premyer Liqa	1	53.7%	52%	+5.6%	Low	2.05
11:35	China Super League	Henan JianyevTianjin Teda China Super League	1	47.7%	53%	-20.2%	Low	1.83
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	HomeboyzvKCB Kenyan Premier League	1	36.8%	—	—	Low	—
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	AFC LeopardsvMombasa Elite Kenyan Premier League	1	58.3%	65%	-28.3%	Low	1.40
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	Ulinzi StarsvMigori Youth Kenyan Premier League	1	35.3%	35%	+0.6%	Low	2.53
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	TuskervShabana Kenyan Premier League	1	39.4%	—	—	Low	—
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	PolicevPosta Rangers FC Kenyan Premier League	1	50.2%	52%	-7.9%	Low	1.75
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	APS BometvBandari Kenyan Premier League	1	50.0%	—	—	Low	—
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	Murang'a SEALvMathare United Kenyan Premier League	2	42.1%	—	—	Low	—
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	Nairobi UnitedvMara Sugar Kenyan Premier League	1	40.7%	41%	-0.5%	Low	2.21
12:00	Kenyan Premier League	3KvGOR Mahia Kenyan Premier League	2	54.6%	62%	-30.2%	Low	1.50
13:00	Armenia Premier League	AlashkertvSyunik Armenia Premier League	1	73.7%	74%	-1.8%	Low	1.27
13:00	FNL	Baník Ostrava IIvSlavia Praha II FNL	1	47.5%	45%	+11.0%	Low	2.12
13:00	Tanzania Premier League	Fountain GatevPamba Jiji Tanzania Premier League	1	38.1%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	CAF Champions League	EL Merriekh BentiuvPyramids FC CAF Champions League	2	44.6%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	CAF Confederation Cup	Welwalo Adigrat UnivAl Ahli Tripoli CAF Confederation Cup	2	41.1%	—	—	Low	—
13:05	United Arab Emirates Pro League	Al-DhafravDubai United United Arab Emirates Pro League	2	41.4%	34%	+27.6%	Low	2.75
13:15	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-Qadisiyah FCvAbha Saudi Arabia Pro League	1	82.2%	83%	-2.7%	Low	1.16
14:30	Stars League	Al Ahli DohavAl Wakrah Stars League	1	47.7%	—	—	Low	—
14:30	Algeria Ligue 1	Olympique AkbouvBen Aknoun Algeria Ligue 1	1	47.5%	50%	-10.6%	Low	1.86
15:00	Serbia Super Liga	Radnik SurdulicavRadnicki NIS Serbia Super Liga	1	44.9%	43%	+6.4%	Low	2.19
15:00	Liga I	OţelulvCsikszereda Liga I	1	58.8%	57%	+8.5%	Low	1.67
15:00	Armenia Premier League	GandzasarvSardarapat Armenia Premier League	2	42.8%	40%	+13.2%	Low	2.33
15:00	Premyer Liqa	SumqayıtvAraz Premyer Liqa	1	45.9%	42%	+16.7%	Low	2.20
15:00	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al RiyadhvAl-Hilal Saudi FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2	81.2%	82%	-3.9%	Low	1.18
15:00	FNL	VlašimvHanácká FNL	1	60.1%	57%	+12.0%	Low	1.65
15:00Postponed	Algeria Ligue 1	CR BelouizdadvOlympique Akbou Algeria Ligue 1	1	66.2%	—	—	Low	—
15:00Postponed	Algeria Ligue 1	MC AlgervES Setif Algeria Ligue 1	1	63.5%	—	—	Low	—
15:00Postponed	Algeria Ligue 1	Ben AknounvUSM Alger Algeria Ligue 1	1	45.7%	—	—	Low	—
15:30	1. SNL	AluminijvOlimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL	2	45.3%	49%	-15.6%	Low	1.92
15:30	FNL	KarvinávDukla Praha FNL	1	49.4%	49%	-0.0%	Low	1.87
15:45	United Arab Emirates Pro League	Baniyas SCvAl-Wasl FC United Arab Emirates Pro League	2	63.5%	63%	+2.5%	Low	1.50
16:00	Ekstraklasa	Wieczysta KrakówvRaków Częstochowa Ekstraklasa	1	49.6%	46%	+16.1%	Low	2.10
16:00	HNL	RudesvHNK Rijeka HNL	2	63.3%	69%	-23.0%	Low	1.39
16:00	I Liga	Warta PoznańvUnia Skierniewice I Liga	1	45.7%	44%	+6.0%	Low	2.12
16:00	FNL	OpavavVysočina Jihlava FNL	1	38.5%	40%	-7.5%	Low	2.33
16:00	FNL	PříbramvTřinec FNL	1	57.0%	55%	+9.7%	Low	1.73
16:00	FNL	ProstějovvÚstí nad Labem FNL	2	41.7%	43%	-7.0%	Low	2.12
16:00	Premijer Liga	Sloga DobojvSiroki Brijeg Premijer Liga	1	43.2%	47%	-14.1%	Low	1.98
16:00	Tanzania Premier League	Geita GoldvDodoma Jiji Tanzania Premier League	1	44.2%	—	—	Low	—
16:00	CAF Champions League	APRvZamalek SC CAF Champions League	2	55.8%	61%	-19.9%	Low	1.52
16:00	CAF Champions League	Star Sport AcademyvRenaissance Berkane CAF Champions League	2	66.8%	80%	-53.6%	Low	1.11
16:30	Albania Superliga	Dinamo TiranavTeuta Durrës Albania Superliga	1	36.8%	38%	-4.4%	Low	2.40
16:30	2. Bundesliga	Holstein KielvHertha BSC 2. Bundesliga	2	42.1%	42%	-1.6%	Low	2.27
16:30	2. Bundesliga	Energie Cottbusv1. FC Nürnberg 2. Bundesliga	2	46.4%	47%	-1.0%	Low	2.04
16:30	2. Liga	SKN ST. PoltenvRapid Wien II 2. Liga	1	60.4%	62%	-4.9%	Low	1.52
16:30	2. Liga	Austria Vienna (Am)vWSPG Wels 2. Liga	1	52.8%	—	—	Low	—
16:30	2. Liga	VoitsbergvFirst Vienna 2. Liga	2	49.2%	44%	+20.8%	Low	2.12
16:45	Stars League	Al ShahaniyavAl-Arabi SC Stars League	2	47.8%	51%	-12.2%	Low	1.85
17:00	Süper Lig	Çorum FKvRizespor Süper Lig	1	51.3%	46%	+21.7%	Low	2.13
17:00	Denmark Superliga	AC HorsensvRanders FC Denmark Superliga	1	39.0%	34%	+20.2%	Low	2.85
17:00	Allsvenskan	IF BrommapojkarnavDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan	2	65.8%	64%	+8.8%	Low	1.51
17:00	3. Liga	Fortuna KölnvStuttgart II 3. Liga	1	42.0%	43%	-4.2%	Low	2.20
17:00	Denmark 1. Division	HB KogevAB Copenhagen Denmark 1. Division	2	39.7%	38%	+7.9%	Low	2.55
17:00	Denmark 1. Division	Kolding IFvVendsyssel FF Denmark 1. Division	1	50.2%	49%	+6.5%	Low	1.98
17:00	Denmark 1. Division	Aarhus FremadvEsbjerg Denmark 1. Division	1	42.2%	44%	-7.8%	Low	2.18
17:00	Schweizer Cup	Stade Lausanne-OuchyvÉtoile Carouge Schweizer Cup	X	37.3%	—	—	Low	—
17:00	Úrvalsdeild	IBV VestmannaeyjarvFH hafnarfjordur Úrvalsdeild	2	41.2%	37%	+16.7%	Low	2.50
17:00	CAF Confederation Cup	MasrvAzam CAF Confederation Cup	1	60.8%	69%	-32.3%	Low	1.36
17:30	Austria Bundesliga	Rapid ViennavTSV Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	1	74.5%	74%	+2.1%	Low	1.28
18:00	Eredivisie	HeerenveenvExcelsior Eredivisie	1	53.0%	57%	-15.3%	Low	1.71
18:00	Liga I	Dinamo BucurestivFC Botosani Liga I	1	68.7%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	NB I	MTK BudapestvVasas NB I	1	38.3%	41%	-12.1%	Low	2.25
18:00	Saudi Arabia Pro League	Al-Ittihad FCvAl Shabab Saudi Arabia Pro League	1	52.1%	52%	-1.4%	Low	1.84
18:00	Peru Primera División	Sport HuancayovCusco Peru Primera División	1	52.6%	52%	+3.2%	Low	1.85
18:00	Malta Premier League	MarsaxlokkvBirkirkara Malta Premier League	1	40.0%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	Ligue 2	GuingampvPAU Ligue 2	1	41.9%	45%	-12.6%	Low	2.13
18:00	Ligue 2	ReimsvDijon Ligue 2	1	52.0%	54%	-8.8%	Low	1.77
18:00	Ligue 2	GrenoblevBoulogne Ligue 2	1	35.9%	35%	+3.4%	Low	2.73
18:00	Ligue 2	LavalvClermont Foot Ligue 2	1	41.3%	44%	-11.1%	Low	2.20
18:00	Ligue 2	AnnecyvNancy Ligue 2	1	36.7%	36%	+4.3%	Low	2.72
18:00	Eerste Divisie	VVV VenlovJong AZ Eerste Divisie	1	49.0%	44%	+18.4%	Low	2.15
18:00	Eerste Divisie	Den BoschvFC OSS Eerste Divisie	1	48.3%	56%	-29.2%	Low	1.73
18:00	Eerste Divisie	FC EindhovenvVitesse Eerste Divisie	2	47.4%	48%	-2.7%	Low	1.97
18:00	Eerste Divisie	Helmond SportvNAC Breda Eerste Divisie	2	56.5%	62%	-23.3%	Low	1.52
18:00	Schweizer Cup	RapperswilvFC ST. Gallen Schweizer Cup	2	75.3%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	Schweizer Cup	RotkreuzvServette FC Schweizer Cup	2	82.3%	—	—	Low	—
18:15	Schweizer Cup	Stade NyonnaisvFC Basel 1893 Schweizer Cup	2	88.4%	—	—	Low	—
18:30	Bundesliga	Eintracht FrankfurtvFC Cologne Bundesliga	1	47.8%	49%	-4.0%	High	1.99
18:30	Ekstraklasa	Widzew ŁódźvWisla Krakow Ekstraklasa	1	40.1%	42%	-6.5%	Low	2.30
18:30	Segunda División	LeganesvCordoba Segunda División	1	37.6%	41%	-15.4%	Low	2.33
18:30	Italy Serie B	VeronavCatanzaro Italy Serie B	1	53.7%	52%	+5.3%	Low	1.83
18:30	Scotland Championship	Ayr UtdvPartick Scotland Championship	2	50.6%	53%	-10.0%	Low	1.78
18:30	2. Liga	Wacker InnsbruckvAustria Salzburg 2. Liga	1	49.8%	—	—	Low	—
18:30	I Liga	Ruch ChorzówvOdra Opole I Liga	1	48.7%	50%	-6.0%	Low	1.85
18:30	Belgium Cup	KVC WesterlovPatro Eisden Belgium Cup	1	61.4%	63%	-6.7%	Low	1.49
18:30	Belgium Cup	SK BeverenvHabay-la-Neuve Belgium Cup	1	70.7%	81%	-40.8%	Low	1.20
18:30	Belgium Cup	Sporting HasseltvCercle Brugge Belgium Cup	2	42.2%	51%	-33.6%	Low	1.88
18:45	Ligue 1	Le MansvToulouse Ligue 1	2	37.9%	41%	-13.0%	Medium	2.39
18:45	Serie A	FrosinonevSassuolo Serie A	1	41.8%	38%	+16.4%	Medium	2.62
18:45	Premier Division	BohemiansvWaterford Premier Division	1	56.9%	61%	-17.1%	Low	1.53
18:45	Premier Division	Drogheda UnitedvDerry City Premier Division	2	41.2%	42%	-3.8%	Low	2.26
18:45	Premier Division	Galway UnitedvShamrock Rovers Premier Division	2	48.2%	53%	-18.1%	Low	1.79
18:45	Northern Ireland Premiership	LarnevColeraine FC Northern Ireland Premiership	1	40.9%	40%	+4.6%	Low	2.42
19:00	La Liga	Deportivo La CorunavLevante La Liga	1	49.1%	45%	+14.7%	High	2.17
19:00	Premier Division	St Patrick's Athl.vShelbourne Premier Division	1	58.8%	59%	+0.0%	Low	1.61
19:00	Bolivia Primera División	ABBvReal Potosí Bolivia Primera División	2	40.1%	37%	+11.3%	Low	2.50
19:00	England Championship	BurnleyvWolverhampton Wanderers England Championship	2	38.9%	41%	-7.1%	Low	2.35
19:00	Taça de Portugal	ChavesvOs Marialvas Taça de Portugal	2	56.8%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Belgium Cup	Standard LiegevDender Belgium Cup	1	46.0%	54%	-32.9%	Low	1.74
19:15	Úrvalsdeild	BreidablikvVikingur Reykjavik Úrvalsdeild	2	51.8%	56%	-16.2%	Low	1.67
20:30	Peru Primera División	Club Deportivo Los ChankasvADT Peru Primera División	1	46.2%	45%	+3.7%	Low	2.11
20:30	Liga Pro	Deportivo CuencavTecnico Universitario Liga Pro	1	47.4%	50%	-9.4%	Low	1.91
22:00	Liga Profesional Argentina	Defensa Y JusticiavInstituto Cordoba Liga Profesional Argentina	1	36.9%	36%	+3.4%	Low	2.70
22:00	Uruguay Primera División	CerrovCerro Largo Uruguay Primera División	1	41.6%	38%	+13.6%	Low	2.47
22:30	Brazil Serie B	Ponte PretavAtletico Goianiense Brazil Serie B	2	75.1%	74%	+2.8%	Low	1.28
23:00	Brazil Serie A	MirassolvInternacional Brazil Serie A	1	42.5%	42%	+1.7%	Low	2.32
23:00	Canadian Premier League	Supra du QuebecvYork United Canadian Premier League	1	60.2%	58%	+7.7%	Low	1.67
23:30	Brazil Serie B	Sport RecifevFortaleza EC Brazil Serie B	1	40.5%	40%	+2.2%	Low	2.40

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 389 fixtures on 17 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Bolivia · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:00	Real TomayapovGualberto Villarroel SJ	1	Low	2.02	4.04	3.87

Argentina · Primera Nacional 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:00	Atletico DE RafaelavQuilmes	1	Low	2.62	3.12	3.36
01:00	Gimnasia Y TirovAtlanta	1	Low	2.39	3.04	3.97

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:30	Boca JuniorsvTalleres Cordoba	1	Low	1.81	3.82	5.34

Mexico · Liga MX 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:00	NecaxavAtlas	1	Low	2.66	3.73	2.81
03:00	Club TijuanavPuebla	1	Low	1.96	3.94	4.23
03:00	Atlante FCvU.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	Low	2.64	3.68	2.86

El Salvador · Primera Division 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
01:00	IntervMunicipal Limeño	1	Low

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:00	Correcaminos UatvDorados	1	Low	1.79	4.45	4.61
03:00	CA La PazvTlaxcala	1	Low	1.63	4.95	5.41

Canada · Canadian Premier League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
02:00	Vancouver FCvHFX Wanderers FC	1	Low

Japan · J1 League 8 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
04:00	Shimizu S-pulsevGamba Osaka	1	Low	2.37	3.64	3.30
05:00	JEF United ChibavYokohama F. Marinos	2	Low	3.82	3.77	2.11
05:00	Sanfrecce HiroshimavKyoto Sanga	1	Low	1.45	5.41	7.93
05:00	Tokyo VerdyvFC Tokyo	2	Low	5.34	3.84	1.81
06:00	Cerezo OsakavKawasaki Frontale	2	Low	2.91	3.86	2.51
06:00	KashimavV-varen Nagasaki	1	Low	1.61	4.55	6.36
07:00	Mito HollyhockvUrawa	2	Low	3.68	3.60	2.22
10:00	Kashiwa ReysolvNagoya Grampus	1	Low	1.71	4.48	5.25

Australia · A-League 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
04:00	AucklandvMelbourne City	1	Low	2.65	3.50	2.97
06:00	MacarthurvPerth Glory	1	Low	2.08	3.96	3.77
08:40	Central Coast MarinersvNewcastle Jets	2	Low	4.21	4.46	1.86

South Korea · K League 1 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
07:30	Ulsan Hyundai FCvBucheon FC 1995	1	Low	1.77	4.18	5.08

Romania · Liga II 9 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
08:00	ConcordiavViitorul Şelimbăr	1	Low	1.53	4.83	7.25
08:00	CSM ReşiţavCetatea Suceava	1	Low	1.83	3.96	4.94
08:00	Popești-LeordenivCS Afumati	1	Low	2.64	3.66	2.88
08:00	SlatinavUnirea Slobozia	1	Low	1.76	4.27	5.09
08:00	CSA Steaua BucureştivMetaloglobus	1	Low	2.11	3.61	4.00
08:00	DumbrăviţavBihor Oradea	2	Low	3.97	3.70	2.09
08:00	CSM Satu MarevMetalul Buzău	2	Low	3.86	3.81	2.09
08:00	ŞtefăneştivCS Dinamo București	1	Low	—	—	—
09:30	CSM Ramnicu ValceavFC Politehnica Timisoara	2	Low	12.91	4.72	1.41

Ukraine · Persha Liga 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
08:00	Viktoriya MykolaivkavChernihiv	1	Low
09:00	Kolos Kovalivka IIvUCSA	1	Low
10:00	Yarud Mariupol'vInhulets	1	Low
11:00	SK PoltavavPrykarpattia	1	Low

Estonia · Meistriliiga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
09:30	Nõmme UnitedvKalju Nomme	2	Low	5.33	4.77	1.66

Ukraine · Premier League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
10:00	Zorya LuhanskvChornomorets	1	Low	1.74	4.05	5.62

Kazakhstan · Premier League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
10:00	OkzhetpesvKyzyl-Zhar	1	Low	2.03	3.77	4.14
11:00	ZhetysuvKaisar	1	Low	2.70	3.32	3.05

Turkey · Süper Lig 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
10:30	Erzurumspor FKvEyüpspor	1	Low	1.72	4.02	5.93

Latvia · Virsliga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:00	GrobiņavOgre United	1	Low	1.92	4.00	4.34

China · Super League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:00	Dalian ZhixingvSichuan Jiuniu	1	Low	1.82	4.24	4.66

Germany · 2. Bundesliga 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:00	WolfsburgvFC Heidenheim	1	Low	1.82	4.32	4.55
11:00	SpVgg Greuther FürthvEintracht Braunschweig	1	Low	2.29	3.99	3.20
11:00	1. FC KaiserslauternvBochum	1	Low	2.34	3.80	3.23

Sweden · Superettan 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:00	Ljungskile SKvIK brage	1	Low	2.29	3.90	3.27

Bosnia · Premijer Liga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:00	BSK Banja LukavZeljeznicar Sarajevo	1	Low	2.53	3.51	3.13

Finland · Veikkausliiga 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:00	IlvesvSJK	1	Low	2.00	4.04	3.97
11:00	LahtivTurku PS	1	Low	1.81	4.21	4.77
11:00	FF JarovMariehamn	1	Low	2.39	3.66	3.25

Lithuania · A Lyga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:15	PanevėžysvBanga	1	Low	2.76	3.44	2.88

England · Premier League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:30	EvertonvChelsea	2	High	3.33	3.88	2.26

Albania · Superliga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:30	TiranavLaci	1	Low	2.12	3.60	3.99

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
11:30	Merani MartvilivShturmi	2	Low
11:30	GarejivTelavi	2	Low

England · Championship 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:30	WatfordvCharlton	2	Low	2.56	3.55	3.05
11:30	MillwallvLincoln	1	Low	1.78	4.10	5.14
11:30	MiddlesbroughvCardiff	1	Low	1.62	5.04	5.40

England · League One 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
11:30	Milton Keynes DonsvLuton	2	Low	3.18	3.93	2.32

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

VLA 1.75 ▲ +0.19

STA 17.97 ▲ +1.64

AL 16.38 ▼ -1.53

PON 12.39 ▲ +1.49

RUD 8.52 ▼ -1.43

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

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