Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

92matches today 6high confidence 10positive edges 5strong edges updated 2026-10-26T16:16:43Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 92 of today's 92 fixtures across 31 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 10 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt, where we publish Eintracht Frankfurt at 52% against the market's 42%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: 11:30 Olimpia Grudziądz v Nieciecza 11:30 Górnik Łęczna v GKS Katowice 12:40 Abha v Al-Faisaly FC

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

DFB Pokal 17:00

Hamburger SVv

Eintracht Frankfurt

2 Pick: Eintracht Frankfurt High

Ours: 52%
Market: 42%
Edge: +10.2%
Best odds: 2.30

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DFB Pokal 17:00

Bochumv

Mainz 05

2 Pick: Mainz 05 Medium

Ours: 62%
Market: 56%
Edge: +6.2%
Best odds: 1.73

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DFB Pokal 17:00

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspachv

Augsburg

2 Pick: Augsburg Medium

Ours: 76%
Market: 71%
Edge: +4.8%
Best odds: 1.36

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Italy Serie B 19:00

Ascoliv

Sampdoria

1 Pick: Ascoli Low

Ours: 51%
Market: 43%
Edge: +8.0%
Best odds: 2.25

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability

10positive edges ≥ 2%

5strong edges ≥ 5%

+4.9%avg positive edge

1.92avg best price on picks

92fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Young Africans v Mashujaa Young Africans · 88% Highest BTTS probability Kloetinge v Cambuur 80% both teams score Most goals expected SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Augsburg 88% over 2.5 Top value pick Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt +10.2% edge Biggest market move Fleetwood Town v Arsenal home 24.96 ▼ -5.81

All matches today

94 fixtures · 2 already played

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
11:30	Poland Cup	Olimpia GrudziądzvNieciecza Poland Cup	2	39.9%	—	—	Low	—
11:30	Poland Cup	Górnik ŁęcznavGKS Katowice Poland Cup	2	49.9%	—	—	Low	—
12:40	Saudi Arabia Pro League	AbhavAl-Faisaly FC Saudi Arabia Pro League	2	40.4%	—	—	Low	3.40
13:00	Uganda Premier League	SC VillavBlacks Power Uganda Premier League	1	85.9%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Uganda Premier League	PolicevKigezi HomeBoyz Uganda Premier League	1	50.5%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Uganda Premier League	UPDFvURA Uganda Premier League	1	43.4%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Uganda Premier League	NECvNtugasaze Uganda Premier League	1	76.7%	—	—	Low	—
14:00	Greece Cup	PanserraikosvNiki Volos Greece Cup	1	42.6%	47%	-4.0%	Low	2.03
14:00	Algeria Ligue 1	US BiskravMC Alger Algeria Ligue 1	2	63.2%	—	—	Low	—
15:00	Bulgaria First League	Cherno More VarnavSeptemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League	1	52.2%	55%	-3.1%	Low	1.70
15:30	Greece Cup	Asteras TripolisvKifisia Greece Cup	1	38.6%	40%	-1.6%	Low	2.36
15:30	Tanzania Premier League	Young AfricansvMashujaa Tanzania Premier League	1	87.6%	—	—	Low	—
16:00	1. SNL	RadomljevMura 1. SNL	2	38.3%	41%	-2.9%	Low	2.25
16:00	Meistriliiga	FC Levadia TallinnvTammeka Meistriliiga	1	77.6%	77%	+0.7%	Low	1.21
16:00	Meistriliiga	Trans NarvavNõmme United Meistriliiga	2	49.5%	52%	-2.4%	Low	1.77
16:00	Uganda Premier League	ExpressvKataka Uganda Premier League	1	62.7%	—	—	Low	—
16:30	Poland Cup	Motor LublinvRaków Częstochowa Poland Cup	1	48.7%	—	—	Low	—
17:00	HNL	Dinamo ZagrebvHNK Rijeka HNL	1	55.0%	56%	-0.5%	Low	1.72
17:00	Montenegro First League	Buducnost PodgoricavMornar Montenegro First League	1	47.4%	—	—	Low	—
17:00	DFB Pokal	Hamburger SVvEintracht Frankfurt DFB Pokal	2	51.8%	42%	+10.2%	High	2.30
17:00	DFB Pokal	BochumvMainz 05 DFB Pokal	2	62.1%	56%	+6.2%	Medium	1.73
17:00	DFB Pokal	SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvAugsburg DFB Pokal	2	75.7%	71%	+4.8%	Medium	1.36
17:00	DFB Pokal	Rot-Weiß EssenvRasenBallsport Leipzig DFB Pokal	2	74.4%	79%	-4.6%	Medium	1.21
17:00	Austria Cup	Austria ViennavTSV Hartberg Austria Cup	2	73.4%	—	—	Low	—
17:00	Austria Cup	First ViennavRapid Vienna Austria Cup	2	65.1%	—	—	Low	—
17:30	Serie A	SassuolovLazio Serie A	2	42.8%	45%	-1.8%	High	2.24
17:30	Bulgaria First League	Arda KardzhalivLevski Sofia Bulgaria First League	2	54.2%	54%	-0.2%	Low	1.75
17:30	Austria Cup	WSPG WelsvWolfsberger AC Austria Cup	2	58.1%	—	—	Low	—
17:30	Copa del Rey	CuartevGirona Copa del Rey	2	74.9%	—	—	Low	—
17:45	KNVB Beker	Excelsior '31vADO Den Haag KNVB Beker	1	49.5%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	Allsvenskan	AIK StockholmvIF Elfsborg Allsvenskan	2	44.8%	42%	+2.5%	Low	2.26
18:00	1. SNL	KopervMaribor 1. SNL	1	36.4%	36%	+0.5%	Low	2.65
18:00	Italy Serie B	BeneventovCatanzaro Italy Serie B	1	60.8%	55%	+5.5%	Low	1.73
18:00	Superettan	Landskrona BoISvVarbergs BoIS FC Superettan	1	46.6%	46%	+0.3%	Low	2.02
18:00	Austria Cup	Grazer AKvSCR Altach Austria Cup	2	71.0%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	Tanzania Premier League	Dodoma JijivJKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League	1	45.5%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	Copa del Rey	Sestao RivervEspanyol Copa del Rey	2	40.9%	—	—	Medium	—
18:00	Copa del Rey	CalamochavEuropa Fc Copa del Rey	2	50.0%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	Copa del Rey	PinatarvElche Copa del Rey	1	62.4%	—	—	Medium	—
18:30	DBU Pokalen	AB CopenhagenvBrondby DBU Pokalen	2	52.6%	—	—	Low	—
18:45	Copa del Rey	CastellonensevAlmeria Copa del Rey	2	68.1%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Italy Serie B	AscolivSampdoria Italy Serie B	1	51.3%	43%	+8.0%	Low	2.25
19:00	Italy Serie B	CesenavEmpoli Italy Serie B	1	44.8%	46%	-1.7%	Low	2.10
19:00	Italy Serie B	Virtus EntellavAvellino Italy Serie B	1	44.7%	45%	-0.6%	Low	2.12
19:00	Italy Serie B	PadovavSudtirol Italy Serie B	1	38.5%	39%	-0.9%	Low	2.49
19:00	Italy Serie B	Vicenza VirtusvModena Italy Serie B	2	45.3%	46%	-0.8%	Low	2.10
19:00	Italy Serie B	MantovavCremonese Italy Serie B	1	45.5%	42%	+3.4%	Low	2.28
19:00	KNVB Beker	RodavDe Graafschap KNVB Beker	1	47.3%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	KNVB Beker	FC EindhovenvFC Volendam KNVB Beker	2	63.2%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	KNVB Beker	Helmond SportvWillem II KNVB Beker	1	54.5%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	KNVB Beker	TelstarvAlmere City FC KNVB Beker	2	55.4%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	KNVB Beker	Rijnsburgse BoysvDen Bosch KNVB Beker	1	38.9%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	KNVB Beker	BarendrechtvWaalwijk KNVB Beker	1	37.4%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	KNVB Beker	KloetingevCambuur KNVB Beker	1	61.4%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Copa del Rey	Gimnástica SegovianavCultural Leonesa Copa del Rey	2	38.1%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Copa del Rey	LlaneravPonferradina Copa del Rey	2	53.0%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Copa del Rey	RSD AlcalávLas Palmas Copa del Rey	2	54.4%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Copa del Rey	Atlético TordesillasvMirandes Copa del Rey	2	49.2%	—	—	Low	—
19:00	Copa del Rey	Ciudad de LucenavRayo Majadahonda Copa del Rey	2	65.1%	—	—	Low	—
19:30	Poland Cup	Piast GliwicevGornik Zabrze Poland Cup	1	37.8%	—	—	Low	—
19:30	Copa del Rey	ManresavSant Andreu Copa del Rey	2	49.5%	—	—	Low	—
19:30	Copa del Rey	Don BenitovExtremadura 1924 Copa del Rey	2	48.3%	—	—	Low	—
19:45	Serie A	RomavCagliari Serie A	1	70.2%	71%	-0.4%	High	1.38
19:45	Serie A	TorinovComo Serie A	2	53.0%	54%	-1.2%	High	1.82
19:45	Northern Ireland Premiership	LarnevLimavady United Northern Ireland Premiership	1	70.8%	76%	-5.0%	Low	1.34
19:45	League One	LeicestervWigan League One	1	64.8%	67%	-2.0%	Low	1.42
19:45	League One	Milton Keynes DonsvBromley League One	1	56.9%	57%	+0.1%	Low	1.67
19:45	League One	Sheffield WednesdayvCambridge United League One	1	46.7%	47%	+0.1%	Low	2.05
19:45	League One	Oxford UnitedvStockport County League One	2	43.3%	47%	-3.2%	Low	2.03
19:45	League One	LutonvDoncaster League One	1	58.1%	61%	-2.8%	Low	1.57
19:45Postponed	League Two	BarnetvYork League Two	1	53.9%	—	—	Low	2.08
19:45	Scotland Championship	StenhousemuirvDunfermline Scotland Championship	2	41.3%	46%	-4.4%	Low	2.06
19:45	DFB Pokal	Borussia M.GladbachvKarlsruher SC DFB Pokal	1	55.5%	69%	-13.2%	Medium	1.39
19:45	DFB Pokal	Borussia DortmundvWerder Bremen DFB Pokal	1	57.2%	68%	-11.2%	High	1.41
19:45	DFB Pokal	FC ColognevUnion Berlin DFB Pokal	1	43.5%	52%	-8.5%	High	1.87
19:45	DFB Pokal	SV ElversbergvDarmstadt DFB Pokal	1	54.1%	66%	-11.7%	Medium	1.44
19:45	League Cup	BradfordvPeterborough League Cup	1	53.2%	55%	-1.7%	Low	1.79
19:45	Scotland FA Cup	Penicuik AthleticvClyde Scotland FA Cup	2	60.3%	70%	-10.1%	Low	1.35
20:00	Peru Primera División	Juan Pablo II CollegevSport Huancayo Peru Primera División	1	37.6%	35%	+2.5%	Low	2.73
20:00	League Cup	Fleetwood TownvArsenal League Cup	2	80.2%	88%	-7.4%	Medium	1.11
20:00	KNVB Beker	Koninklijke HFCvGO Ahead Eagles KNVB Beker	1	60.4%	—	—	Low	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	Atlético PasovCordoba Copa del Rey	2	50.7%	—	—	Low	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	TudelanovZaragoza Copa del Rey	2	46.9%	—	—	Low	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	Recreativo HuelvavRayo Vallecano Copa del Rey	2	47.6%	—	—	Medium	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	ArosavPontevedra Copa del Rey	2	51.5%	—	—	Low	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	ManacorvVillarreal Copa del Rey	2	64.7%	—	—	Medium	—
20:00	Copa del Rey	AlcazarvMalaga Copa del Rey	1	40.7%	—	—	Medium	—
21:30	Venezuela Primera División	Puerto CabellovCaracas FC Venezuela Primera División	1	53.7%	—	—	Low	—
22:00	Liga Profesional Argentina	Argentinos JRSvIndepend. Rivadavia Liga Profesional Argentina	1	49.7%	47%	+3.2%	Low	2.10
23:00	Primera A	CucutavÁguilas Doradas Primera A	1	39.6%	37%	+2.9%	Low	2.64
23:00	Brazil Serie B	CearavGoias Brazil Serie B	1	44.7%	45%	-0.1%	Low	2.10
23:30	Venezuela Primera División	Deportivo Tachira FCvMonagas SC Venezuela Primera División	1	61.1%	—	—	Low	—
1-0 FT	Liga Profesional Argentina	Instituto CordobavDeportivo Riestra Liga Profesional Argentina	1	54.7%	52%	+3.2%	Low	1.93
2-1 FT	Primera A	Santa FevBucaramanga Primera A	1	47.0%	49%	-2.1%	Low	1.93

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 148 fixtures on 28 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:05	ChicovJunior	2	Low	3.46	3.52	2.34

Poland · Cup 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
11:30	Siarka TarnobrzegvLech Poznan	2	Low
11:30	Sokół KleczewvPodhale Nowy Targ	2	Low
16:30	Puszcza NiepołomicevWisla Plock	1	Low
16:30	Znicz PruszkówvRuch Chorzów	2	Low

Montenegro · First League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
12:00	Arsenal TivatvBokelj	2	Low
16:00	PetrovacvMladost DG	1	Low

Kenya · Kenyan Premier League 7 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
12:00	BandarivPosta Rangers FC	X	Low
12:00	HomeboyzvGOR Mahia	1	Low
12:00	KCBvMombasa Elite	1	Low
12:00	APS Bometv3K	1	Low
12:00	Mara SugarvAFC Leopards	X	Low
12:00	Murang'a SEALvNairobi United	2	Low
12:00	ShabanavMigori Youth	X	Low

Albania · Superliga 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
12:30	VoravVllaznia Shkodër	1	Low
16:00	TiranavDinamo Tirana	1	Low

Denmark · DBU Pokalen 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
12:30	BrabrandvAC Horsens	2	Low
16:00	EsbjergvFC Nordsjaelland	2	Low

Greece · Cup 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
13:00	Nestos ChrisoupolisvKalamata	2	Low	6.84	4.08	1.64
13:00	MarkovOlympiakos Piraeus	2	Low	19.94	7.31	1.23
15:30	PanathinaikosvAris Thessalonikis	1	Low	1.83	3.83	5.20
16:00	LevadiakosvKifisia	2	Low	—	—	—

Tanzania · Premier League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	Fountain GatevSimba	2	Low
15:30	AzamvMbeya City	1	Low

Uganda · Premier League 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	Mbarara CityvVipers	2	Low
13:00	KitaravBUL	2	Low
13:00	Entebbe UPPCvMaroons	1	Low
17:00	KCCAvLugazi	1	Low

Serbia · Super Liga 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
14:00	Radnicki 1923vŽelezničar Pančevo	1	Low	—	—	—
16:00	Radnicki NISvFK Partizan	2	Low	4.31	4.09	1.91

Egypt · Premier League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
14:00	National Bank of EgyptvAL Masry	1	Low	2.80	3.29	2.94
17:00	Zamalek SCvEl Mokawloon	1	Low	2.10	3.35	4.45

Slovenia · 1. SNL 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	NaftavAluminij	1	Low	2.57	3.76	2.89

Estonia · Meistriliiga 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	VaprusvKuressaare	1	Low	2.50	3.85	2.94
17:00	PaidevKalju Nomme	1	Low	2.52	3.86	2.91

Peru · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	ADTvUCV Moquegua	1	Low	1.83	3.99	4.90

Finland · Veikkausliiga 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	AC OuluvVPS	1	Low	2.52	3.56	3.10

Norway · NM Cupen 14 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	Tromsdalen UilvLyn	1	Low	—	—	—
17:00	Asanevhodd	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	EgersundvBryne	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	Kristiansund BKvAalesund	2	Low	2.33	4.12	3.04
17:00	MoldevStromsgodset	1	Low	1.39	6.21	8.21
17:00	Pors GrenlandvKongsvinger	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	RanheimvFredrikstad	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	RosenborgvHam-Kam	1	Low	1.32	6.56	10.85
17:00	GrorudvBrann	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	ODD BallklubbvSandefjord	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	Sarpsborg 08 FFvValerenga	2	Low	2.26	4.05	3.21
17:00	LillestromvSogndal	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	Sandnes ULFvBodo/Glimt	2	Low	—	—	—
17:00	VikingvKFUM Oslo	2	Low	—	—	—

Slovakia · Super Liga 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	AS TrencinvSlovan Bratislava	2	Low	5.96	5.10	1.57
17:00	FK KošicevDunajska Streda	2	Low	3.60	4.14	2.08

Germany · DFB Pokal 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	FreiburgvWolfsburg	1	Medium	1.56	5.03	6.32
17:00	Dynamo DresdenvFC Schalke 04	2	Medium	3.59	3.89	2.15
17:00	SC Paderborn 07vVfB Stuttgart	2	High	5.77	4.63	1.64
17:00	SSV JeddelohvHertha BSC	2	Low	26.66	14.40	1.12

Austria · Cup 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:00	Wacker InnsbruckvWSG Wattens	2	Low
17:00	Schwarz-Weiß BregenzvRed Bull Salzburg	2	Low

Italy · Serie A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:30	AC MilanvBologna	1	High	1.71	4.11	5.79

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

FLE 24.96 ▼ -5.81

LAR 1.32 ▼ -0.14

LEI 1.50 ▼ -0.23

TRA 4.11 ▲ +1.79

PEN 8.15 ▼ -1.62

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
01:05	Santa FevBucaramanga	2–1	1✓	Low	→

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
00:15	Instituto CordobavDeportivo Riestra	1–0	1✓	Low	→

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→