Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

5matches today 0high confidence 0positive edges 0strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 5 of today's 5 fixtures across 4 competitions. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability
0positive edges ≥ 2%
0strong edges ≥ 5%
—avg positive edge
1.81avg best price on picks
5fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

All matches today

5 fixtures
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
Liga de Expansión MX MonarcasvLeones Negros UDG Liga de Expansión MX 1 45.7% — — Low —
Primera Division Isidro MetapánvPlatense Primera Division 1 46.4% 49% -2.6% Low 1.91
Persha Liga ChernihivvInhulets Persha Liga 1 37.1% — — Low —
Primera Division Fuerte San FranciscovAlianza Primera Division 2 48.2% 49% -0.8% Low 1.90
Brazil Serie B LondrinavNautico Recife Brazil Serie B 1 57.0% 59% -2.1% Low 1.62

Upcoming fixtures

42 fixtures on 12 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
PiratasvCA La Paz 1 Low 1.82 4.26 4.61
El Salvador · Primera Division 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FASvInter 1 Low — — —
ÁguilavMunicipal Limeño 1 Low 2.12 3.72 3.86
Atletico BalboavInca Aruba 1 Low 1.90 3.97 4.51
World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 9 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
GhanavSomalia 1 Low 1.15 10.72 28.93
Congo DRvSierra Leone 1 Low 1.30 5.93 15.43
Equatorial GuineavZimbabwe 1 Low 2.22 3.19 4.23
GuineavEritrea 1 Low 1.25 7.00 17.14
MadagascarvGuinea-Bissau 2 Low 3.35 3.30 2.51
BeninvCentral African Republic 1 Low 1.72 3.83 6.35
CameroonvNamibia 1 Low 1.37 5.17 13.05
Ivory CoastvGambia 1 Low 1.30 6.18 13.97
SenegalvSudan 1 Low 1.17 9.69 22.60
World · UEFA Nations League 8 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
TürkiyevBelgium 2 Low 3.90 4.17 1.98
ArmeniavCyprus 2 Low 2.45 3.46 3.30
EnglandvCroatia 1 Low 1.32 6.47 11.59
ItalyvFrance 2 Low 4.71 4.09 1.84
CzechiavSpain 2 Low 12.73 7.53 1.27
AlbaniavFinland 1 Low 2.03 3.53 4.47
MontenegrovLatvia 1 Low 1.39 5.53 10.28
San MarinovBelarus 2 Low 19.10 8.28 1.21
Spain · Copa del Rey 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Calvo SotelovAlbacete 2 Low 5.48 4.15 1.74
TarancónvLevante 2 Medium 16.37 9.36 1.20
NavalcarnerovReal Betis 2 Low 17.53 8.68 1.21
France · Coupe de France 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
ChambéryvGrenoble 2 Low
World · CONCACAF Nations League 5 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
BarbadosvGuadeloupe 2 Low 3.37 3.91 2.24
Cayman IslandsvGuyana 2 Low 45.89 12.27 1.12
BonairevCuba 2 Low 21.65 9.42 1.18
ArubavMartinique 2 Low — — —
Antigua and BarbudavTrinidad and Tobago 1 Low — — —
Colombia · Primera A 10 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
MillonariosvAlianza Valledupar 1 Low 1.35 5.68 11.90
Deportivo PastovJunior 2 Low — — —
Deportivo CalivDeportes Tolima 1 Low 2.38 3.35 3.56
BucaramangavFortaleza FC 1 Low — — —
Internacional de BogotavSanta Fe 2 Low 3.12 3.48 2.55
Atletico NacionalvOnce Caldas 1 Low 2.31 3.66 3.40
Águilas DoradasvIndependiente Medellin 1 Low 2.66 3.44 3.00
Deportivo PereiravAmerica de Cali 2 Low 4.73 3.80 1.90
LlanerosvChico 1 Low 1.79 3.92 5.39
CucutavJaguares 1 Low 1.76 4.14 5.23
Guatemala · Liga Nacional 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
AuroravMixco 1 Low 2.10 3.65 4.01
Uruguay · Primera División 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Cerro LargovProgreso 1 Low 2.10 3.68 3.96

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

LON 1.69 ▲ +0.16
ISI 2.04 ▲ +0.16
FUE 4.19 ▼ -0.09

3 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

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