Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

1matches today 0high confidence 0positive edges 0strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 1 of today's 1 fixtures across 1 competitions. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: Cacahuatique v Firpo

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability
0positive edges ≥ 2%
0strong edges ≥ 5%
—avg positive edge
1.94avg best price on picks
1fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

All matches today

10 fixtures · 9 already played
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
Primera Division CacahuatiquevFirpo Primera Division 2 49.2% 47% +1.8% Low 1.94
2-0 FT Primera A JuniorvCucuta Primera A 1 52.5% 55% -2.4% Low 1.75
1-1 FT Bolivia Primera División AuroravUniversitario de Vinto Bolivia Primera División 1 57.4% 55% +2.0% Low 1.70
2-1 FT Liga II Metalul BuzăuvCSA Steaua Bucureşti Liga II 1 49.5% 47% +2.6% Low 2.00
0-3 FT Copa del Rey PamplonavEibar Copa del Rey 2 74.8% 80% -5.3% Low 1.18
1-6 FT Copa del Rey AnaitasunavAlaves Copa del Rey 2 75.9% 90% -14.4% Medium 1.05
1-0 FT Copa del Rey AmorebietavUD Logroñés Copa del Rey 2 46.6% 43% +4.1% Low 2.24
0-1 FT Copa del Rey Trival ValderasvLeganes Copa del Rey 2 70.2% 82% -12.1% Low 1.17
1-2 FT Copa del Rey Mijas Las LagunasvReal Jaén Copa del Rey 2 47.2% 49% -2.3% Low 1.95
0-6 FT Copa del Rey TavernesvValencia Copa del Rey 2 82.0% 96% -13.8% Medium 1.01

Upcoming fixtures

5 fixtures on 11 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
MonarcasvLeones Negros UDG 1 Low
El Salvador · Primera Division 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Isidro MetapánvPlatense 1 Low 2.04 3.64 4.25
Fuerte San FranciscovAlianza 2 Low 4.19 3.68 2.04
Ukraine · Persha Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
ChernihivvInhulets 1 Low
Brazil · Serie B 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
LondrinavNautico Recife 1 Low 1.69 4.47 5.40

Where to bet

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

CAC 4.03 ▼ -0.15

1 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual
Spain · Copa del Rey 6 matches
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
TavernesvValencia 0–6 2✓ Medium →
Mijas Las LagunasvReal Jaén 1–2 2✓ Low →
Trival ValderasvLeganes 0–1 2✓ Low →
AmorebietavUD Logroñés 1–0 2✗ Low →
AnaitasunavAlaves 1–6 2✓ Medium →
PamplonavEibar 0–3 2✓ Low →

Competitions

Premier Leaguepredictions →
La Ligapredictions →
Bundesligapredictions →
Serie Apredictions →
Ligue 1predictions →
UEFA Champions Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Conference Leaguepredictions →
All competitions →predictions →

Prediction types

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