Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

40matches today 1high confidence 7positive edges 2strong edges updated 2026-10-25T16:16:05Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 40 of today's 40 fixtures across 31 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 7 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva, where we publish Maccabi Haifa at 46% against the market's 40%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: 12:45 Zakynthos v Pyrgos 1968 15:00 Lokomotiv Plovdiv v Slavia Sofia 15:00 Ararat-Armenia v FC Noah

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

Ligat Ha'al 17:00

Maccabi Haifav

Hapoel Beer Sheva

1 Pick: Maccabi Haifa Low

Ours: 46%
Market: 40%
Edge: +5.4%
Best odds: 2.40

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Armenia Premier League 15:00

Ararat-Armeniav

FC Noah

2 Pick: FC Noah Low

Ours: 50%
Market: 46%
Edge: +4.5%
Best odds: 2.10

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Süper Lig 16:00

Rizesporv

Trabzonspor

2 Pick: Trabzonspor Low

Ours: 52%
Market: 49%
Edge: +2.8%
Best odds: 1.98

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Primera A 23:00

Jaguaresv

Llaneros

1 Pick: Jaguares Low

Ours: 38%
Market: 36%
Edge: +2.7%
Best odds: 2.69

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability

7positive edges ≥ 2%

2strong edges ≥ 5%

+3.2%avg positive edge

2.01avg best price on picks

40fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Grobiņa v Riga Riga · 70% Highest BTTS probability Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe 78% both teams score Most goals expected Galatasaray v Fenerbahçe 80% over 2.5 Top value pick Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva +5.4% edge Biggest market move Nea Salamis v Pafos home 5.22 ▼ -2.50

All matches today

48 fixtures · 8 already played

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
12:45	Super League 2	ZakynthosvPyrgos 1968 Super League 2	1	44.1%	47%	-3.1%	Low	2.01
15:00	Bulgaria First League	Lokomotiv PlovdivvSlavia Sofia Bulgaria First League	1	40.1%	45%	-4.8%	Low	2.10
15:00	Armenia Premier League	Ararat-ArmeniavFC Noah Armenia Premier League	2	50.3%	46%	+4.5%	Low	2.10
15:00	Liga II	MetaloglobusvCSM Ramnicu Valcea Liga II	1	43.9%	43%	+0.9%	Low	2.15
16:00	Süper Lig	BeşiktaşvBaşakşehir Süper Lig	1	64.9%	68%	-3.6%	Low	1.38
16:00	Süper Lig	RizesporvTrabzonspor Süper Lig	2	51.5%	49%	+2.8%	Low	1.98
16:00	Virsliga	GrobiņavRiga Virsliga	2	70.2%	77%	-6.8%	Low	1.22
16:00	Cyprus 1. Division	Nea SalamisvPafos Cyprus 1. Division	2	53.4%	57%	-3.7%	Low	1.67
16:00	Primera Nacional	Nueva ChicagovSan Martin S.J. Primera Nacional	X	34.1%	33%	+1.2%	Low	2.88
16:00	Tanzania Premier League	Geita GoldvFountain Gate Tanzania Premier League	1	47.1%	—	—	Low	—
16:45	A Lyga	Kauno ŽalgirisvFK Zalgiris Vilnius A Lyga	1	47.5%	52%	-4.1%	Low	1.81
17:00	HNL	Istra 1961vHNK Hajduk Split HNL	2	51.9%	53%	-1.0%	Low	1.81
17:00	Cyprus 1. Division	AEK LarnacavOmonia Nicosia Cyprus 1. Division	2	42.3%	46%	-3.4%	Low	2.05
17:00	Ligat Ha'al	Maccabi HaifavHapoel Beer Sheva Ligat Ha'al	1	45.6%	40%	+5.4%	Low	2.40
17:00	Malta Premier League	FlorianavZabbar St. Patrick Malta Premier League	1	59.3%	59%	-0.0%	Low	1.57
17:00	1. Lig	Mardin 1969vManisa F.K. 1. Lig	1	54.7%	56%	-1.7%	Low	1.73
17:00	I Liga	Warta PoznańvŁKS Łódź I Liga	1	37.7%	36%	+1.4%	Low	2.75
17:30	Bulgaria First League	CSKA SofiavLudogorets Bulgaria First League	1	37.3%	39%	-1.9%	Low	2.44
18:00	Denmark Superliga	FC CopenhagenvOdense Denmark Superliga	1	64.1%	64%	-0.3%	Low	1.50
18:00	Liga I	Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorghevUniversitatea Craiova Liga I	2	60.0%	61%	-1.4%	Low	1.55
18:05	Superettan	Orebro SKvFalkenbergs FF Superettan	2	37.4%	35%	+2.2%	Low	2.65
18:30	Süper Lig	GalatasarayvFenerbahçe Süper Lig	1	41.1%	44%	-2.4%	Low	2.23
18:30	Primera Nacional	Defensores De BelgranovSan Miguel Primera Nacional	1	54.6%	—	—	Low	—
18:45	Primeira Liga	Santa ClaravBenfica Primeira Liga	2	63.9%	68%	-4.2%	Low	1.42
19:30	Malta Premier League	MostavHibernians Malta Premier League	2	41.0%	46%	-4.5%	Low	2.02
19:30	Segunda División	FC AndorravBurgos Segunda División	2	42.2%	—	—	Low	—
19:45	Ligue 2	MontpelliervRED Star FC 93 Ligue 2	1	41.5%	39%	+2.3%	Low	2.52
19:45	Ligue 2	BoulognevReims Ligue 2	2	42.8%	40%	+2.3%	Low	2.34
20:00	La Liga	SevillavOsasuna La Liga	1	48.5%	49%	-0.9%	High	2.02
20:00	League Two	WalsallvSalford City League Two	2	40.8%	45%	-4.3%	Low	2.12
20:30	Liga Pro	Tecnico UniversitariovMushuc Runa SC Liga Pro	2	36.5%	35%	+1.2%	Low	2.75
20:45	Segunda Liga	TorreensevAmarante Segunda Liga	1	47.1%	52%	-4.6%	Low	1.85
21:00	Chile Primera División	Universidad de ChilevEverton de Vina Chile Primera División	1	58.0%	56%	+1.6%	Low	1.70
22:00	Liga Profesional Argentina	Union Santa FevEstudiantes L.P. Liga Profesional Argentina	1	36.8%	39%	-2.4%	Low	2.49
22:00	Bolivia Primera División	Nacional PotosívGuabirá Bolivia Primera División	1	64.3%	66%	-1.8%	Low	1.40
22:30	Brazil Serie A	CoritibavGremio Brazil Serie A	1	42.3%	44%	-1.8%	Low	2.18
22:30	Brazil Serie B	America MineirovCuiaba Brazil Serie B	2	45.3%	46%	-0.9%	Low	2.07
23:00	Brazil Serie A	FlamengovAtletico-MG Brazil Serie A	1	67.9%	72%	-3.7%	Low	1.35
23:00	Primera A	JaguaresvLlaneros Primera A	1	38.3%	36%	+2.7%	Low	2.69
23:30	Brazil Serie B	JuventudevNautico Recife Brazil Serie B	1	62.0%	62%	+0.2%	Low	1.53
1-0 FT	Costa Rica Primera División	LD AlajuelensevPerez Zeledon Costa Rica Primera División	1	72.0%	71%	+1.1%	Low	1.33
0-5 FT	Liga Profesional Argentina	Central Cordoba de SantiagovVelez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina	2	48.8%	51%	-2.4%	Low	2.18
2-1 FT	Liga Profesional Argentina	Barracas CentralvEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto Liga Profesional Argentina	1	57.6%	58%	-0.9%	Low	1.65
2-2 FT	Major League Soccer	Los Angeles FCvLos Angeles Galaxy Major League Soccer	1	58.4%	61%	-2.9%	Low	1.57
1-3 FT	Liga MX	Club QueretarovCruz Azul Liga MX	2	47.3%	48%	-0.6%	Low	2.05
1-2 FT	Liga MX	Club AmericavCF Pachuca Liga MX	1	62.1%	60%	+2.4%	Low	1.67
0-1 FT	Primera A	Deportes TolimavDeportivo Pasto Primera A	1	63.9%	67%	-2.6%	Low	1.45
4-1 FT	Liga MX	Club TijuanavSantos Laguna Liga MX	1	41.5%	47%	-5.2%	Low	2.04

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 95 fixtures on 27 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

Bolivia · Primera División 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
00:00	BolívarvUniversitario de Vinto	1	Low

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:15	Instituto CordobavDeportivo Riestra	1	Low	2.00	3.27	5.14

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:05	Santa FevBucaramanga	1	Low	2.05	3.58	4.31

Poland · Cup 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
11:30	Olimpia GrudziądzvNieciecza	2	Low
11:30	Górnik ŁęcznavGKS Katowice	2	Low
16:30	Motor LublinvRaków Częstochowa	1	Low

Saudi Arabia · Pro League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
12:40	AbhavAl-Faisaly FC	2	Low	2.22	3.69	3.58

Uganda · Premier League 5 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	SC VillavBlacks Power	1	Low
13:00	PolicevKigezi HomeBoyz	1	Low
13:00	UPDFvURA	1	Low
13:00	NECvNtugasaze	1	Low
16:00	ExpressvKataka	1	Low

Greece · Cup 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
14:00	PanserraikosvNiki Volos	1	Low	2.15	3.64	3.86
15:30	Asteras TripolisvKifisia	1	Low	2.47	3.40	3.32

Algeria · Ligue 1 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
14:00	US BiskravMC Alger	2	Low

Bulgaria · First League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
15:00	Cherno More VarnavSeptemvri Sofia	1	Low	1.81	3.93	5.18
17:30	Arda KardzhalivLevski Sofia	2	Low	5.67	3.79	1.79

Tanzania · Premier League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
15:30	Young AfricansvMashujaa	1	Low
18:00	Dodoma JijivJKT Tanzania	1	Low

Slovenia · 1. SNL 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	RadomljevMura	2	Low	3.14	3.71	2.43
18:00	KopervMaribor	1	Low	2.78	3.67	2.72

Estonia · Meistriliiga 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	FC Levadia TallinnvTammeka	1	Low	1.29	7.06	12.44
16:00	Trans NarvavNõmme United	2	Low	3.54	4.10	2.11

Croatia · HNL 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	Dinamo ZagrebvHNK Rijeka	1	Low	1.80	4.11	5.01

Montenegro · First League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:00	Buducnost PodgoricavMornar	1	Low

Germany · DFB Pokal 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:00	Hamburger SVvEintracht Frankfurt	2	High	3.09	3.85	2.40
17:00	BochumvMainz 05	2	Medium	4.83	4.25	1.79
17:00	SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachvAugsburg	2	Medium	8.42	5.40	1.44
17:00	Rot-Weiß EssenvRasenBallsport Leipzig	2	Medium	12.53	7.17	1.28

Austria · Cup 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:00	Austria ViennavTSV Hartberg	2	Low
17:00	First ViennavRapid Vienna	2	Low
17:30	WSPG WelsvWolfsberger AC	2	Low
18:00	Grazer AKvSCR Altach	2	Low

Italy · Serie A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
17:30	SassuolovLazio	2	High	3.27	3.74	2.34

Spain · Copa del Rey 8 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:30	CuartevGirona	2	Low
18:00	Sestao RivervEspanyol	2	Medium
18:00	CalamochavEuropa Fc	2	Low
18:00	PinatarvElche	1	Medium
18:45	CastellonensevAlmeria	2	Low
19:00	Gimnástica SegovianavCultural Leonesa	2	Low
19:00	LlaneravPonferradina	2	Low
19:00	RSD AlcalávLas Palmas	2	Low

Netherlands · KNVB Beker 8 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
17:45	Excelsior '31vADO Den Haag	1	Low
19:00	RodavDe Graafschap	1	Low
19:00	FC EindhovenvFC Volendam	2	Low
19:00	Helmond SportvWillem II	1	Low
19:00	TelstarvAlmere City FC	2	Low
19:00	Rijnsburgse BoysvDen Bosch	1	Low
19:00	BarendrechtvWaalwijk	1	Low
19:00	KloetingevCambuur	1	Low

Sweden · Allsvenskan 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
18:00	AIK StockholmvIF Elfsborg	2	Low	3.22	3.79	2.35

Italy · Serie B 7 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
18:00	BeneventovCatanzaro	1	Low	1.79	4.44	4.64
19:00	AscolivSampdoria	1	Low	2.36	3.45	3.49
19:00	CesenavEmpoli	1	Low	2.15	3.75	3.73
19:00	Virtus EntellavAvellino	1	Low	2.15	3.49	4.03
19:00	PadovavSudtirol	1	Low	2.51	3.46	3.20
19:00	Vicenza VirtusvModena	2	Low	3.51	3.83	2.20
19:00	MantovavCremonese	1	Low	2.44	3.53	3.26

Sweden · Superettan 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
18:00	Landskrona BoISvVarbergs BoIS FC	1	Low	2.17	3.91	3.53

Denmark · DBU Pokalen 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
18:30	AB CopenhagenvBrondby	2	Low

Where to bet

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

NEA 5.22 ▼ -2.50

FC 1.55 ▲ +0.15

SEP 6.30 ▲ +1.77

AEK 3.71 ▲ +0.93

SAN 9.01 ▲ +0.75

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual

Mexico · Liga MX 3 matches

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
03:10	Club TijuanavSantos Laguna	4–1	1✓	Low	→
01:05	Club AmericavCF Pachuca	1–2	1✗	Low	→
01:00	Club QueretarovCruz Azul	1–3	2✓	Low	→

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
01:15	Deportes TolimavDeportivo Pasto	0–1	1✗	Low	→

USA · Major League Soccer 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
01:00	Los Angeles FCvLos Angeles Galaxy	2–2	1✗	Low	→

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina 1 match

Date	Match	Result	Pick	Conf.
00:30	Barracas CentralvEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto	2–1	1✓	Low	→

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→