Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

50matches today 4high confidence 22positive edges 16strong edges updated 2026-10-20T16:16:48Z UTC · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 50 of today's 50 fixtures across 18 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 22 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Club Brugge KV v Lens, where the model rates Club Brugge KV 71% against the market's 47%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: 00:07 Guadalajara Chivas v Necaxa 00:30 Vasco DA Gama v Boca Juniors 01:00 FC Juarez v Atlante FC

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick

UEFA Champions League 19:00

Club Brugge KVv

Lens

1 Pick: Club Brugge KV Medium

Model: 71%
Market: 47%
Edge: +23.8%
Best odds: 2.10

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UEFA Champions League 16:45

Comov

Manchester United

1 Pick: Como High

Model: 59%
Market: 43%
Edge: +16.0%
Best odds: 2.35

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UEFA Champions League 19:00

Bayern Munichv

Arsenal

1 Pick: Bayern Munich High

Model: 62%
Market: 47%
Edge: +15.5%
Best odds: 2.13

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UEFA Champions League 16:45

Lillev

Galatasaray

1 Pick: Lille Medium

Model: 49%
Market: 44%
Edge: +5.2%
Best odds: 2.24

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The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = model probability minus de-vigged market probability

22positive edges ≥ 2%

16strong edges ≥ 5%

+11.4%avg positive edge

1.93avg best price on picks

50fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Young Africans v CFFA Young Africans · 87% Highest BTTS probability Real Betis v Feyenoord 83% both teams score Most goals expected Vanløse v Nykobing FC 87% over 2.5 Top value pick Club Brugge KV v Lens +23.8% edge Biggest market move 15 de Agosto v Simba home 18.57 ▲ +7.23

All matches today

50 fixtures

Time	League	Match	Pick	Prob	Market	Edge	Conf	Best odds
00:07	Liga MX	Guadalajara ChivasvNecaxa Liga MX	1	68.6%	68%	+3.2%	Low	1.42
00:30	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	Vasco DA GamavBoca Juniors CONMEBOL Sudamericana	1	38.7%	36%	+10.0%	Low	2.85
01:00	Liga MX	FC JuarezvAtlante FC Liga MX	2	40.2%	40%	-1.1%	Low	2.37
01:00	Liga MX	Atletico San LuisvClub Queretaro Liga MX	1	41.8%	42%	+0.4%	Low	2.30
01:30	Primera A	MillonariosvOnce Caldas Primera A	1	56.1%	56%	+2.1%	Low	1.78
02:00	Guatemala Liga Nacional	MalacatecovComunicaciones Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	42.0%	38%	+16.6%	Low	2.45
03:00	Liga MX	Tigres UANLvLeon Liga MX	1	47.4%	50%	-8.6%	Low	1.92
10:00	J1 League	Avispa FukuokavGamba Osaka J1 League	2	37.6%	35%	+10.0%	Low	2.75
10:00	J1 League	FC TokyovKashiwa Reysol J1 League	1	50.4%	44%	+24.6%	Low	2.20
10:00	J1 League	Kawasaki FrontalevVissel Kobe J1 League	1	39.0%	41%	-8.0%	Low	2.38
10:00	J1 League	Kyoto SangavKashima J1 League	2	50.8%	48%	+9.9%	Low	2.02
10:00	J1 League	Nagoya GrampusvCerezo Osaka J1 League	1	38.8%	40%	-6.4%	Low	2.42
10:00	J1 League	Fagiano OkayamavMito Hollyhock J1 League	1	51.9%	54%	-6.6%	Low	1.79
10:00	J1 League	Shimizu S-pulsevMachida Zelvia J1 League	2	46.3%	44%	+10.1%	Low	2.21
10:00	J1 League	V-varen NagasakivSanfrecce Hiroshima J1 League	2	67.5%	64%	+14.3%	Low	1.50
10:00	J1 League	Yokohama F. MarinosvTokyo Verdy J1 League	1	55.7%	51%	+20.7%	Low	1.93
10:30	J1 League	UrawavJEF United Chiba J1 League	1	55.6%	56%	-2.9%	Low	1.71
12:00	CAF Champions League	15 de AgostovSimba CAF Champions League	2	73.1%	82%	-34.3%	Low	1.13
13:00	Uganda Premier League	BULvNEC Uganda Premier League	1	36.2%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Uganda Premier League	KitaravNtugasaze Uganda Premier League	1	75.1%	—	—	Low	—
13:00	Uganda Premier League	LugazivExpress Uganda Premier League	X	39.4%	—	—	Low	—
14:00	Egypt Premier League	Ghazl El MehallavAl Ittihad Egypt Premier League	2	39.8%	34%	+23.0%	Low	2.82
15:00	Meistriliiga	LaagrivFlora Tallinn Meistriliiga	1	58.9%	—	—	Low	—
15:30	Veikkausliiga	PK-35vFF Jaro Veikkausliiga	1	38.3%	34%	+16.1%	Low	2.80
16:00	Malta Premier League	Hamrun SpartansvBalzan FC Malta Premier League	1	54.9%	57%	-9.2%	Low	1.62
16:00	Malta Premier League	BirzebbugavMarsaxlokk Malta Premier League	2	61.7%	61%	+3.0%	Low	1.55
16:00	CAF Champions League	Young AfricansvCFFA CAF Champions League	1	87.1%	86%	+3.0%	Low	1.00
16:45	UEFA Champions League	LillevGalatasaray UEFA Champions League	1	45.0%	44%	+5.2%	Medium	2.24
16:45	UEFA Champions League	ComovManchester United UEFA Champions League	1	46.6%	43%	+16.0%	High	2.35
17:00	Egypt Premier League	Al AhlyvOlympic El Qanah Egypt Premier League	1	71.1%	75%	-16.9%	Low	1.25
17:00	Egypt Premier League	Ceramica CleopatravPetrojet Egypt Premier League	1	45.4%	47%	-5.4%	Low	2.10
17:00	Norway 1. Division	SogndalvRaufoss Norway 1. Division	1	65.0%	64%	+2.1%	Low	1.44
17:00	DBU Pokalen	VanløsevNykobing FC DBU Pokalen	2	59.6%	—	—	Low	—
18:00	La Liga	LevantevAthletic Club La Liga	2	41.4%	44%	-9.3%	High	2.33
18:30	Malta Premier League	Zabbar St. PatrickvSliema Wanderers Malta Premier League	2	48.7%	54%	-21.6%	Low	1.71
18:30	Malta Premier League	MostavValletta FC Malta Premier League	2	53.8%	58%	-17.6%	Low	1.65
19:00	League One	ReadingvLeyton Orient League One	1	59.0%	61%	-8.3%	Low	1.55
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Aston VillavViking UEFA Champions League	1	70.3%	78%	-30.6%	Medium	1.26
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Bayern MunichvArsenal UEFA Champions League	1	50.4%	47%	+15.5%	High	2.13
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Sporting CPvLask Linz UEFA Champions League	1	76.5%	79%	-11.6%	Low	1.23
19:00	UEFA Champions League	IntervShakhtar Donetsk UEFA Champions League	1	69.0%	80%	-43.5%	Medium	1.23
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Real MadridvRasenBallsport Leipzig UEFA Champions League	1	74.7%	76%	-6.9%	High	1.29
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Real BetisvFeyenoord UEFA Champions League	1	53.7%	61%	-27.5%	Medium	1.61
19:00	UEFA Champions League	Club Brugge KVvLens UEFA Champions League	1	52.9%	47%	+23.8%	Medium	2.10
21:00	Guatemala Liga Nacional	MixcovMunicipal Guatemala Liga Nacional	1	48.2%	—	—	Low	—
22:00	CONMEBOL Sudamericana	Atletico TorquevAtletico-MG CONMEBOL Sudamericana	2	39.5%	40%	-1.2%	Low	2.45
22:30	USL Championship	BrooklynvBirmingham Legion USL Championship	2	40.5%	38%	+9.5%	Low	2.45
23:00	Major League Soccer	FC CincinnativDC United Major League Soccer	1	54.9%	56%	-4.6%	Low	1.71
23:15	Primera A	LlanerosvDeportivo Cali Primera A	2	37.5%	35%	+9.0%	Low	2.67
23:30	USL Championship	Sporting JAXvLouisville City USL Championship	2	67.6%	67%	+2.7%	Low	1.40

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 61 fixtures on 22 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals

USA · US Open Cup 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:00	Columbus CrewvSt. Louis City	1	Low	2.49	3.90	2.93

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
00:30	PalmeirasvFluminense	1	Low	2.04	3.65	4.23

Mexico · Liga MX 5 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:00	TolucavClub Tijuana	1	Low	1.46	5.48	7.54
01:00	AtlasvClub America	2	Low	3.59	3.80	2.18
01:00	PueblavMonterrey	2	Low	4.08	3.87	2.01
03:00	CF PachucavCruz Azul	2	Low	3.07	3.77	2.44
03:10	Santos LagunavU.N.A.M. - Pumas	1	Low	2.41	3.78	3.12

Colombia · Primera A 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:20	Santa FevJaguares	1	Low	1.40	5.40	9.72

El Salvador · Primera Division 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
01:30	FASvIsidro Metapán	1	Low	2.36	3.46	3.49

Montenegro · First League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	MornarvMladost DG	1	Low
16:00	Buducnost PodgoricavArsenal Tivat	1	Low

Romania · Liga II 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
13:00	Bihor OradeavCSM Reşiţa	1	Low	2.45	3.77	3.06

Uganda · Premier League 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
13:00	SC VillavMbarara City	1	Low
13:00	Kigezi HomeBoyzvEntebbe UPPC	2	Low
16:00	KCCAvUPDF	1	Low

Saudi Arabia · Pro League 3 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
13:40	Al-HazmvAl-Fayha	1	Low	2.41	3.52	3.33
14:45	Al-FatehvAl Shabab	2	Low	3.28	3.96	2.26
18:00	Al-Ahli JeddahvAl Khaleej Saihat	1	Low	1.38	6.02	9.22

Qatar · Stars League 4 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
14:30	Al ShahaniyavAl Sadd	2	Low	7.72	5.79	1.43
15:00	Al WakrahvAl-Arabi SC	2	Low	—	—	—
15:00	Al-Duhail SCvLusail City	1	Low	—	—	—
16:45	Al-GharafavAl Ahli Doha	2	Low	—	—	—

World · UEFA Europa Conference League 17 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
14:30	Kairat AlmatyvPanathinaikos	2	Low	5.30	4.16	1.75
16:45	FC NordsjaellandvCSKA Sofia	1	Low	1.53	4.97	6.90
16:45	GetafevFC Lugano	1	Medium	1.91	3.71	4.83
16:45	FK Crvena ZvezdavFC Copenhagen	1	Low	2.38	3.78	3.16
16:45	TrabzonsporvHeart Of Midlothian	1	Low	1.44	5.58	8.06
16:45	FK JablonecvBrighton	2	Medium	10.41	5.88	1.36
16:45	Inter Club d'EscaldesvUniversitatea Craiova	2	Low	5.77	4.17	1.70
16:45	PafosvRiga	1	Low	1.74	4.19	5.33
16:45	FC Iberia 1999vMjallby AIF	2	Low	3.36	3.55	2.37
16:45	Kauno ŽalgirisvBrann	2	Low	4.58	4.06	1.87
19:00	MonacovFreiburg	1	High	2.36	3.78	3.22
19:00	AjaxvAtalanta	1	Medium	2.28	3.89	3.29
19:00	SC BragavGent	1	Low	1.79	3.95	5.35
19:00	FC MidtjyllandvSt. Truiden	1	Low	1.74	4.36	5.14
19:00	AarhusvEgnatia Rrogozhinë	1	Low	1.63	4.46	6.11
19:00	Lincoln Red Imps FCvTwente	2	Low	12.48	6.76	1.30
19:00	FC ThunvHNK Hajduk Split	2	Low	2.90	3.80	2.55

Armenia · Premier League 1 match

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.
15:00	SardarapatvFC Urartu	2	Low

Malta · Premier League 2 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:00	BirkirkaravFloriana	2	Low	3.78	3.74	2.14
18:30	HiberniansvGzira United	1	Low	2.08	3.78	3.93

World · UEFA Europa League 18 matches

Time	Match	Pick	Conf.	1	X	2
16:45	Lech PoznanvSunderland	2	Medium	5.05	4.23	1.77
16:45	JuventusvRennes	1	High	1.67	4.37	5.77
16:45	Dinamo ZagrebvNEC Nijmegen	1	Low	1.75	4.44	4.95
16:45	Sturm GrazvMarseille	2	Medium	3.61	3.83	2.16
16:45	Ferencvarosi TCvTorreense	1	Low	1.44	5.30	8.48
16:45	OFIvBayer Leverkusen	2	Medium	11.78	7.09	1.29
16:45	Union St. GilloisevHapoel Beer Sheva	1	Low	1.38	5.89	9.51
16:45	Ararat-ArmeniavAZ Alkmaar	2	Low	6.03	4.69	1.61
19:00	BournemouthvAC Milan	1	High	2.27	3.81	3.36
19:00	HoffenheimvLyon	1	High	2.12	4.13	3.50
19:00	CelticvCelta Vigo	1	Medium	2.80	3.68	2.70
19:00	LillestromvReal Sociedad	2	Medium	6.11	4.76	1.60
19:00	JagielloniavAnderlecht	2	Low	3.24	3.72	2.37
19:00	BeşiktaşvCrystal Palace	1	Medium	2.21	3.98	3.37
19:00	Olympiakos PiraeusvSparta Praha	1	Low	1.59	4.59	6.52
19:00	PlzenvLevski Sofia	1	Low	1.86	4.11	4.57
19:00	Omonia NicosiavBenfica	2	Low	8.00	5.30	1.46
19:00	CeljevRed Bull Salzburg	2	Low	5.07	4.30	1.75

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

15 18.57 ▲ +7.23

SPO 1.26 ▼ -0.08

YOU 1.16 ▼ -0.03

INT 1.25 ▼ -0.03

FC 1.78 ▲ +0.19

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Competitions

Premier League	predictions →
La Liga	predictions →
Bundesliga	predictions →
Serie A	predictions →
Ligue 1	predictions →
UEFA Champions League	predictions →
UEFA Europa League	predictions →
UEFA Europa Conference League	predictions →
All competitions →	predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions	→
Over/Under Predictions	→
BTTS Predictions	→
Correct Score Predictions	→
Double Chance Predictions	→
Draw Predictions	→
Goals Predictions	→
Accumulator Predictions	→
Handicap Predictions	→