Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

146matches today 11high confidence 30positive edges 16strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 146 of today's 146 fixtures across 33 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 30 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Dynamo Dresden v FC Schalke 04, where we publish FC Schalke 04 at 51% against the market's 46%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest edge over the market on the 1X2 pick

The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability
30positive edges ≥ 2%
16strong edges ≥ 5%
+4.8%avg positive edge
1.88avg best price on picks
146fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

All matches today

147 fixtures · 1 already played
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
Kenyan Premier League HomeboyzvGOR Mahia Kenyan Premier League 1 35.2% — — Low —
Poland Cup Siarka TarnobrzegvLech Poznan Poland Cup 2 78.6% 86% -7.1% Low 1.08
Poland Cup Sokół KleczewvPodhale Nowy Targ Poland Cup 2 43.9% 42% +1.5% Low 2.34
Montenegro First League Arsenal TivatvBokelj Montenegro First League 2 41.6% 42% -0.1% Low 2.23
Kenyan Premier League BandarivPosta Rangers FC Kenyan Premier League X 36.9% — — Low —
Kenyan Premier League KCBvMombasa Elite Kenyan Premier League 1 38.9% — — Low —
Kenyan Premier League APS Bometv3K Kenyan Premier League 1 44.0% — — Low —
Kenyan Premier League Murang'a SEALvNairobi United Kenyan Premier League 2 41.9% — — Low —
Albania Superliga VoravVllaznia Shkodër Albania Superliga 1 45.5% 41% +4.6% Low 2.22
DBU Pokalen BrabrandvAC Horsens DBU Pokalen 2 65.4% 64% +1.6% Low 1.50
Greece Cup Nestos ChrisoupolisvKalamata Greece Cup 2 54.2% 61% -6.5% Low 1.55
Greece Cup MarkovOlympiakos Piraeus Greece Cup 2 69.2% 80% -10.8% Low 1.17
Tanzania Premier League Fountain GatevSimba Tanzania Premier League 2 81.2% — — Low —
Uganda Premier League Mbarara CityvVipers Uganda Premier League 2 63.3% — — Low —
Uganda Premier League KitaravBUL Uganda Premier League 2 41.9% — — Low —
Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCvMaroons Uganda Premier League 1 56.9% — — Low —
Zambia Super League Roan UnitedvZESCO United Zambia Super League 2 40.7% — — Low —
Kenyan Premier League Mara SugarvAFC Leopards Kenyan Premier League X 37.1% — — Low —
Serbia Super Liga Radnicki 1923vŽelezničar Pančevo Serbia Super Liga 1 39.0% 40% -1.0% Low 2.40
Egypt Premier League National Bank of EgyptvAL Masry Egypt Premier League 1 39.0% 36% +3.3% Low 2.69
Greece Cup PanathinaikosvAris Thessalonikis Greece Cup 1 56.7% 54% +2.6% Low 1.75
Tanzania Premier League AzamvMbeya City Tanzania Premier League 1 59.4% — — Low —
Serbia Super Liga Radnicki NISvFK Partizan Serbia Super Liga 2 49.3% 51% -2.0% Low 1.84
1. SNL NaftavAluminij 1. SNL 1 39.1% 39% +0.3% Low 2.38
Meistriliiga VaprusvKuressaare Meistriliiga 1 40.2% 41% -0.3% Low 2.30
Peru Primera División ADTvUCV Moquegua Peru Primera División 1 53.7% 56% -2.2% Low 1.71
Montenegro First League PetrovacvMladost DG Montenegro First League 1 49.3% 47% +1.9% Low 1.95
Greece Cup LevadiakosvKifisia Greece Cup 2 43.4% — — Low —
Veikkausliiga AC OuluvVPS Veikkausliiga 1 44.5% 40% +4.6% Low 2.39
DBU Pokalen EsbjergvFC Nordsjaelland DBU Pokalen 2 64.8% 65% -0.1% Low 1.45
NM Cupen Tromsdalen UilvLyn NM Cupen 1 43.9% — — Low —
Uganda Premier League KCCAvLugazi Uganda Premier League 1 59.5% — — Low —
Poland Cup Puszcza NiepołomicevWisla Plock Poland Cup 2 45.6% 51% -5.2% Low 1.83
Poland Cup Znicz PruszkówvRuch Chorzów Poland Cup 2 43.9% 39% +4.8% Low 2.38
Slovakia Super Liga AS TrencinvSlovan Bratislava Slovakia Super Liga 2 56.7% 64% -7.1% Low 1.48
Slovakia Super Liga FK KošicevDunajska Streda Slovakia Super Liga 2 53.5% 48% +5.4% Low 1.98
Meistriliiga PaidevKalju Nomme Meistriliiga 1 47.1% 45% +2.1% Low 2.12
Egypt Premier League Zamalek SCvEl Mokawloon Egypt Premier League 1 46.5% 48% -1.1% Low 1.95
DFB Pokal FreiburgvWolfsburg DFB Pokal 1 48.4% 62% -14.1% Medium 1.54
DFB Pokal Dynamo DresdenvFC Schalke 04 DFB Pokal 2 50.9% 46% +5.2% Medium 2.13
DFB Pokal SC Paderborn 07vVfB Stuttgart DFB Pokal 2 66.7% 62% +4.8% High 1.56
DFB Pokal SSV JeddelohvHertha BSC DFB Pokal 2 85.5% 89% -3.8% Low 1.08
Austria Cup Wacker InnsbruckvWSG Wattens Austria Cup 2 47.8% 44% +4.2% Low 2.16
Austria Cup Schwarz-Weiß BregenzvRed Bull Salzburg Austria Cup 2 74.8% 75% -0.1% Low 1.26
NM Cupen Asanevhodd NM Cupen 2 75.9% — — Low —
NM Cupen EgersundvBryne NM Cupen 2 40.1% 28% +12.0% Low 3.46
NM Cupen Kristiansund BKvAalesund NM Cupen 2 45.8% 32% +13.4% Low 2.90
NM Cupen MoldevStromsgodset NM Cupen 1 59.3% 75% -16.1% Low 1.25
NM Cupen Pors GrenlandvKongsvinger NM Cupen 2 64.1% 58% +6.3% Low 1.62
NM Cupen RanheimvFredrikstad NM Cupen 2 52.9% 52% +0.5% Low 1.80
NM Cupen RosenborgvHam-Kam NM Cupen 1 69.0% 75% -6.5% Low 1.25
NM Cupen GrorudvBrann NM Cupen 2 69.2% 70% -1.0% Low 1.33
NM Cupen ODD BallklubbvSandefjord NM Cupen 2 39.7% 32% +7.8% Low 2.96
NM Cupen Sarpsborg 08 FFvValerenga NM Cupen 2 40.7% 31% +9.2% Low 3.00
NM Cupen LillestromvSogndal NM Cupen 1 62.3% 79% -16.9% Low 1.20
NM Cupen Sandnes ULFvBodo/Glimt NM Cupen 2 83.7% — — Low —
NM Cupen VikingvKFUM Oslo NM Cupen 2 55.1% — — Low —
Serie A AC MilanvBologna Serie A 1 56.0% 58% -2.1% High 1.69
Serie A VeneziavInter Serie A 2 68.5% 71% -2.5% High 1.37
Serie A Parma Calcio 1913vUdinese Serie A 2 37.1% 38% -0.7% High 2.60
Albania Superliga Skenderbeu KorcevLaci Albania Superliga 1 42.9% 41% +1.9% Low 2.20
Albania Superliga AF ElbasanivPartizani Albania Superliga 1 57.8% 55% +2.5% Low 1.67
Greece Cup LarisavOFI Greece Cup 2 44.2% 51% -6.5% Low 1.95
Poland Cup Tychy 71vPogoń Siedlce Poland Cup 1 41.2% 45% -4.1% Low 2.38
KNVB Beker Sparta RotterdamvFortuna Sittard KNVB Beker 1 46.3% 53% -6.7% Low 1.79
Allsvenskan IFK GoteborgvDjurgardens IF Allsvenskan 2 45.4% 47% -1.3% Low 2.06
Allsvenskan IF BrommapojkarnavBK Hacken Allsvenskan 2 56.1% 54% +2.4% Low 1.77
Allsvenskan HalmstadvMalmo FF Allsvenskan 2 54.1% 56% -2.1% Low 1.71
Allsvenskan Degerfors IFvVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan 2 37.0% 33% +3.9% Low 2.88
Italy Serie B PisavPalermo Italy Serie B 1 36.8% 40% -3.2% Low 2.40
NM Cupen TromsovHaugesund NM Cupen 1 53.8% 69% -15.6% Low 1.35
Poland Cup Polonia ŚrodavŚląsk Wrocław II Poland Cup 2 39.5% 35% +4.6% Low 2.65
Tanzania Premier League Coastal UnionvKagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League 1 53.1% — — Low —
Copa del Rey PoblensevAD Ceuta FC Copa del Rey 2 61.2% 65% -3.4% Low 1.45
Copa del Rey CoruxovZamora Copa del Rey 2 52.1% — — Low —
Copa del Rey Peña SportvHuesca Copa del Rey 2 36.1% — — Low —
Copa del Rey PortugaletevReal Unión Copa del Rey 2 57.1% — — Low —
Copa del Rey PamplonavEibar Copa del Rey 2 74.9% 81% -6.0% Low 1.17
Copa del Rey UtebovSabadell Copa del Rey 2 65.8% — — Low —
Copa del Rey TarancónvLevante Copa del Rey 2 80.0% 92% -12.3% Medium 1.04
Copa del Rey AnaitasunavAlaves Copa del Rey 2 79.2% 94% -14.3% Medium 1.03
Botola Pro Raja CasablancavHassania Agadir Botola Pro 1 47.5% — — Low —
Peru Primera División FC CajamarcavUTC Cajamarca Peru Primera División 1 53.2% 50% +3.0% Low 1.93
1. SNL Olimpija LjubljanavCelje 1. SNL 1 41.4% 38% +3.8% Low 2.53
Greece Cup PAOKvAEK Athens FC Greece Cup 2 36.5% 31% +5.1% Low 3.05
Italy Serie B Juve StabiavVerona Italy Serie B 1 36.0% 33% +2.7% Low 2.90
Italy Serie B CarraresevArezzo Italy Serie B 1 43.8% 42% +2.0% Low 2.33
DBU Pokalen RoskildevAarhus DBU Pokalen 2 63.0% 69% -6.1% Low 1.37
KNVB Beker PEC ZwollevFC OSS KNVB Beker 1 57.4% 70% -12.9% Low 1.33
KNVB Beker VVV VenlovVitesse KNVB Beker 1 45.3% 42% +2.8% Low 2.24
KNVB Beker MVVvExcelsior KNVB Beker 2 61.9% 66% -3.9% Low 1.43
KNVB Beker VvsbvEVV KNVB Beker 1 54.8% 62% -7.5% Low 1.50
KNVB Beker Quick BoysvEemdijk KNVB Beker 1 66.1% 81% -15.2% Low 1.19
KNVB Beker SC GenemuidenvDordrecht KNVB Beker 2 56.5% 69% -12.2% Low 1.36
KNVB Beker JOS WatergraafsmeervNAC Breda KNVB Beker 2 42.7% — — Low —
Copa del Rey NumanciavReal Oviedo Copa del Rey 2 47.4% — — Low —
Copa del Rey AmorebietavUD Logroñés Copa del Rey 2 55.6% — — Low —
Copa del Rey BadajozvTenerife Copa del Rey 2 45.2% — — Low —
Copa del Rey CovadongavReal Valladolid Copa del Rey 2 51.2% — — Low —
Copa del Rey AlcoyanovMallorca Copa del Rey 2 55.1% — — Low —
Copa del Rey Trival ValderasvLeganes Copa del Rey 1 41.4% — — Low —
Copa del Rey Calvo SotelovAlbacete Copa del Rey 1 39.5% — — Low —
Copa del Rey Mijas Las LagunasvReal Jaén Copa del Rey 1 38.2% — — Low —
Austria Cup Lask LinzvRied Austria Cup 1 48.8% 62% -12.8% Low 1.52
League Cup Manchester CityvBrighton League Cup 1 52.2% 57% -5.1% High 1.72
Poland Cup Lechia GdanskvJagiellonia Poland Cup 2 48.8% 57% -8.0% Low 1.66
Copa del Rey Gimnástica TorrelavegavUD Ourense Copa del Rey 2 50.4% — — Low —
Copa del Rey Deportiva MineravFC Cartagena Copa del Rey 2 54.2% — — Low —
Copa del Rey CiezavGranada Copa del Rey 2 51.0% — — Low —
Copa del Rey ReddisvBarakaldo Copa del Rey 2 59.6% — — Low —
Serie A GenoavJuventus Serie A 2 56.2% 56% -0.1% High 1.74
Serie A MonzavNapoli Serie A 2 51.3% 54% -2.7% High 1.82
Scotland Premiership CelticvDundee Utd Scotland Premiership 1 69.5% 74% -4.7% Low 1.28
Scotland Premiership ST MirrenvHibernian Scotland Premiership 2 42.2% 46% -3.5% Low 2.12
Scotland Premiership AberdeenvFalkirk Scotland Premiership 1 46.0% 46% -0.0% Low 2.11
Scotland Premiership DundeevKilmarnock Scotland Premiership 1 50.6% 48% +2.6% Low 1.98
Scotland Premiership ST JohnstonevMotherwell Scotland Premiership 1 42.5% 37% +5.2% Low 2.61
DFB Pokal Bayern Munichv1. FC Magdeburg DFB Pokal 1 72.6% 92% -19.4% Medium 1.06
DFB Pokal Hannover 96v1. FC Kaiserslautern DFB Pokal 2 41.6% 33% +8.6% Low 3.00
DFB Pokal Bayer Leverkusenv1. FC Nürnberg DFB Pokal 1 64.7% 82% -16.8% Medium 1.18
DFB Pokal Holstein KielvHoffenheim DFB Pokal 2 65.2% 64% +1.5% Medium 1.49
League Cup BournemouthvAston Villa League Cup 1 44.4% 42% +2.6% High 2.32
League Cup FulhamvCrystal Palace League Cup 1 49.3% 51% -2.0% High 1.93
League Cup SunderlandvBrentford League Cup 2 45.8% 46% -0.0% High 2.12
Scotland Premiership Heart Of MidlothianvRangers Scotland Premiership 2 45.9% 44% +1.5% Low 2.20
League Cup LiverpoolvChelsea League Cup 1 43.8% 43% +0.9% High 2.31
KNVB Beker Excelsior MaassluisvHeerenveen KNVB Beker 2 67.2% 75% -7.5% Low 1.25
Copa del Rey NavalcarnerovReal Betis Copa del Rey 2 57.9% — — Medium —
Copa del Rey Salamanca UDSvCelta Vigo Copa del Rey 2 61.7% — — Medium —
Copa del Rey XerezvCadiz Copa del Rey 2 51.8% — — Low —
Copa del Rey TavernesvValencia Copa del Rey 2 41.6% — — Medium —
Botola Pro FAR RabatvIttihad Tanger Botola Pro 1 36.9% — — Low —
Peru Primera División Alianza AtleticovDeportivo Garcilaso Peru Primera División 1 46.9% 52% -5.3% Low 1.80
Guatemala Liga Nacional Cobán ImperialvSuchitepéquez Guatemala Liga Nacional 1 78.0% — — Low —
Postponed Venezuela Primera División Carabobo FCvDeportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera División 1 58.7% — — Low —
Brazil Serie A FluminensevInternacional Brazil Serie A 1 50.4% 50% -0.1% Low 1.93
Brazil Serie A SantosvPalmeiras Brazil Serie A 2 41.2% 41% +0.2% Low 2.37
Brazil Serie A RB BragantinovChapecoense-sc Brazil Serie A 1 69.9% 74% -3.7% Low 1.31
Primera A Once CaldasvAlianza Valledupar Primera A 1 61.4% 64% -2.9% Low 1.47
Major League Soccer Toronto FCvDC United Major League Soccer 1 52.1% 49% +3.2% Low 2.00
Major League Soccer New York City FCvAtlanta United FC Major League Soccer 1 50.8% 54% -3.4% Low 1.81
Major League Soccer New England RevolutionvNew York Red Bulls Major League Soccer 1 48.6% 48% +0.3% Low 2.05
Major League Soccer Inter MiamivFC Cincinnati Major League Soccer 1 63.7% 65% -0.8% Low 1.50
Major League Soccer CharlottevCF Montreal Major League Soccer 1 64.4% 63% +1.0% Low 1.52
Chile Primera División U. CatolicavA. Italiano Chile Primera División 1 57.9% 60% -1.8% Low 1.62
Postponed Venezuela Primera División Metropolitanos FCvPortuguesa FC Venezuela Primera División 1 66.3% — — Low —
1-1 FT Primera A ChicovJunior Primera A 1 35.2% 36% -0.7% Low 2.62

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 84 fixtures on 29 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
Peru · Primera División 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
CiencianovAtletico Grau 1 Low 1.37 5.97 9.65
Club Deportivo Los ChankasvCusco 2 Low 3.42 3.70 2.29
Guatemala · Liga Nacional 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
MalacatecovAurora 1 Low
MunicipalvComunicaciones 1 Low
MixcovXelajú 1 Low
Argentina · Copa Argentina 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Atletico TucumanvPlatense 1 Low 3.24 3.09 2.72
Brazil · Serie A 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
BahiavSao Paulo 1 Low 2.14 3.73 3.78
RemovBotafogo 1 Low 2.97 3.73 2.53
USA · Major League Soccer 9 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FC DallasvColumbus Crew 1 Low 2.12 4.13 3.50
Chicago FirevOrlando City SC 1 Low 1.69 4.89 4.89
Minnesota United FCvSporting Kansas City 1 Low 1.51 5.38 6.67
Nashville SCvPhiladelphia Union 1 Low 1.96 4.17 4.01
AustinvReal Salt Lake 2 Low 2.76 3.93 2.60
St. Louis CityvPortland Timbers 1 Low 1.84 4.48 4.26
Seattle SoundersvHouston Dynamo 1 Low 1.90 4.18 4.29
San Jose EarthquakesvColorado Rapids 1 Low 2.25 3.95 3.31
Vancouver WhitecapsvSan Diego 1 Low 1.50 5.64 6.34
Colombia · Primera A 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Internacional de BogotavIndependiente Medellin 1 Low 2.97 3.47 2.67
Mexico · Liga MX 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Club AmericavClub Tijuana 1 Low 1.51 5.10 7.01
Kenya · Kenyan Premier League 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Mathare UnitedvTusker X Low
ShabanavMigori Youth X Low
PolicevUlinzi Stars X Low
Tanzania · Premier League 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Pamba JijivSingida Black Stars 2 Low
Tabora UnitedvGeita Gold 1 Low
NamungovPolisi Tanzania 1 Low
Poland · Cup 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Avia ŚwidnikvRadomiak Radom 1 Low — — —
Chrobry GłogówvPolonia Bytom 2 Low 2.56 3.76 2.91
Polonia WarszawavKorona Kielce 1 Low — — —
Arka GdyniavStal Rzeszów 2 Low — — —
Albania · Superliga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
TiranavDinamo Tirana 1 Low 2.73 3.41 2.93
Egnatia RrogozhinëvTeuta Durrës 1 Low 2.09 3.62 4.07
Denmark · DBU Pokalen 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Aarhus FremadvFC Copenhagen 2 Low 10.32 5.81 1.37
FC MidtjyllandvOdense 1 Low 1.67 4.57 5.44
Montenegro · First League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
SutjeskavJezero 1 Low
DečićvOtrant-Olympic 2 Low
Tunisia · Ligue 1 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
CS SfaxienvES Tunis 1 Low
Club AfricainvCA Bizertin 1 Low
Stade TunisienvES Zarzis 1 Low
Egypt · Premier League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Future FCvAl Ahly 2 Low 6.59 4.02 1.67
Pyramids FCvWadi Degla 1 Low 1.54 4.51 7.71
United Arab Emirates · Pro League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Postponed Al AinvAjman 1 Low 1.39 5.79 9.15
Saudi Arabia · Pro League 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Al Khaleej SaihatvAl-Hazm 1 Low 2.28 3.74 3.41
Al-NassrvAl Kholood 1 Low 1.29 7.16 11.66
Al RiyadhvAl-Qadisiyah FC 2 Low 8.90 5.97 1.39
Greece · Cup 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Volos NFCvAtromitos 1 Low 2.59 3.39 3.14
Finland · Veikkausliiga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Inter TurkuvHJK Helsinki 1 Low 2.44 3.66 3.15
KuPSvGnistan 1 Low 1.56 4.78 6.74
Slovenia · 1. SNL 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Brinje-GrosupljevBravo 2 Low 2.97 3.65 2.57
Austria · Cup 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Austria LustenauvSturm Graz 2 Low
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FrosinonevLecce 1 High 1.77 4.38 4.83
Sweden · Allsvenskan 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Hammarby FFvSirius 1 Low 1.61 4.78 5.94
Kalmar FFvGais 2 Low 2.55 3.55 3.07
Orgryte ISvMjallby AIF 1 Low 3.11 3.77 2.42
Netherlands · KNVB Beker 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Kozakken BoysvUtrecht 1 Low
RKAV VolendamvROHDA Raalte 2 Low
GVVV VeenendaalvNoordwijk 1 Low
Spain · Copa del Rey 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Atlético BalearesvEldense 2 Low
SS ReyesvCD Coria 2 Low
LebrijanavGetafe 1 Medium
Atletico CalatayudvOsasuna 2 Medium

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

MOL 1.33 ▼ -0.07
BAY 1.09 —
FC 1.99 ▲ +0.23
SSV 26.66 ▼ -1.20
TRO 1.44 ▼ -0.04

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual
Colombia · Primera A 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
ChicovJunior 1–1 1✗ Low →

Competitions

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Bundesligapredictions →
Serie Apredictions →
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