Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

1matches today 0high confidence 0positive edges 0strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 1 of today's 1 fixtures across 1 competitions. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: Saint Martin v El Salvador

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability
0positive edges ≥ 2%
0strong edges ≥ 5%
—avg positive edge
1.40avg best price on picks
1fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

All matches today

45 fixtures · 44 already played
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
CONCACAF Nations League Saint MartinvEl Salvador CONCACAF Nations League 2 51.3% 67% -16.1% Low 1.40
0-0 FT Primera A LlanerosvChico Primera A 1 53.3% 55% -1.9% Low 1.75
0-0 FT CONCACAF Nations League CuraçaovPanama CONCACAF Nations League 2 37.3% 39% -1.9% Low 2.47
1-0 FT Liga de Expansión MX MonarcasvLeones Negros UDG Liga de Expansión MX 1 51.9% 54% -2.1% Low 1.77
1-1 FT Persha Liga PrykarpattiavKolos Kovalivka II Persha Liga 1 54.1% 56% -1.8% Low 1.65
0-0 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ComorosvCongo Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 51.8% 51% +0.6% Low 1.86
0-1 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification MozambiquevEthiopia Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 53.8% 57% -3.6% Low 1.62
1-1 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification ZambiavBurundi Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 49.2% 57% -7.3% Low 1.67
0-0 FT Montenegro First League JezerovBuducnost Podgorica Montenegro First League 2 36.3% 37% -0.6% Low 2.50
1-0 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Burkina FasovMauritania Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 61.0% 59% +2.0% Low 1.59
4-2 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Cape Verde IslandsvLiberia Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 70.0% 76% -5.6% Low 1.28
2-0 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification GabonvLesotho Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 71.9% 76% -3.7% Low 1.30
3-1 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification NigeriavTanzania Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 76.8% 79% -2.7% Low 1.22
2-2 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification South AfricavKenya Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 69.6% 73% -3.2% Low 1.31
0-2 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification TunisiavLibya Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 62.4% 68% -5.7% Low 1.42
2-1 FT UEFA Nations League MoldovavKazakhstan UEFA Nations League 2 41.2% 32% +8.7% Low 3.02
2-1 FT Nigeria Premier Football League Shooting StarsvBendel Insurance Nigeria Premier Football League 1 64.7% 66% -1.2% Low 1.43
1-1 FT Algeria Ligue 1 JS SaouravKhenchela Algeria Ligue 1 1 52.6% 56% -3.1% Low 1.65
5-0 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification EgyptvMalawi Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 82.0% 86% -3.7% Low 1.13
3-2 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification MalivRwanda Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 67.6% 71% -3.6% Low 1.36
1-2 FT CONCACAF Nations League BermudavSt. Lucia CONCACAF Nations League 2 74.7% 78% -3.7% Low 1.20
4-2 FT CONCACAF Nations League Puerto RicovDominica CONCACAF Nations League 1 80.2% 78% +1.9% Low 1.20
1-2 FT Coupe de France DijonvOrleans Coupe de France 1 47.1% 57% -10.1% Low 1.70
1-3 FT Coupe de France St-Philbert Gd LieuvLa Roche VF Coupe de France 2 69.4% 72% -2.9% Low 1.32
2-2 FT Coupe de France La NeuvillettevValenciennes Coupe de France 2 60.4% — — Low —
3-1 FT Segunda División LeganesvBurgos Segunda División 2 37.0% 31% +6.0% Low 3.18
0-3 FT Northern Ireland Premiership Ballymena UnitedvLinfield Northern Ireland Premiership 2 55.4% 57% -1.9% Low 1.62
3-0 FT Northern Ireland Premiership Coleraine FCvPortadown Northern Ireland Premiership 1 74.2% 77% -3.2% Low 1.22
1-1 FT Northern Ireland Premiership Carrick RangersvCrusaders FC Northern Ireland Premiership 1 57.5% 60% -2.6% Low 1.62
2-1 FT Northern Ireland Premiership GlentoranvBangor Northern Ireland Premiership 1 61.6% 65% -3.9% Low 1.42
3-0 FT Northern Ireland Premiership LarnevDungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premiership 1 61.3% 63% -1.6% Low 1.50
2-1 FT Northern Ireland Premiership Limavady UnitedvCliftonville FC Northern Ireland Premiership 2 58.1% 58% +0.5% Low 1.63
0-0 FT UEFA Nations League SloveniavSwitzerland UEFA Nations League 2 56.8% 56% +1.1% Low 1.75
2-1 FT UEFA Nations League ScotlandvFYR Macedonia UEFA Nations League 1 75.0% 81% -5.6% Low 1.21
1-3 FT UEFA Nations League SerbiavGermany UEFA Nations League 2 74.0% 76% -2.2% Low 1.31
2-2 FT UEFA Nations League SlovakiavFaroe Islands UEFA Nations League 1 62.9% 70% -6.9% Low 1.39
0-1 FT UEFA Nations League LuxembourgvEstonia UEFA Nations League 1 34.4% 37% -3.0% Low 2.72
0-5 FT UEFA Nations League BulgariavIceland UEFA Nations League 2 59.0% 54% +4.8% Low 1.82
0-1 FT UEFA Nations League LiechtensteinvAzerbaijan UEFA Nations League 2 77.0% 79% -2.4% Low 1.23
2-0 FT UEFA Nations League AndorravGibraltar UEFA Nations League 1 54.6% 57% -2.0% Low 1.72
7-0 FT UEFA Nations League NetherlandsvGreece UEFA Nations League 1 59.3% 60% -1.1% Low 1.65
5-1 FT Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification MoroccovNiger Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 83.3% 87% -3.7% Low 1.09
0-5 FT Copa del Rey Salamanca UDSvCelta Vigo Copa del Rey 2 72.6% 76% -3.2% Low 1.36
3-2 FT CONCACAF Nations League GrenadavSt. Kitts and Nevis CONCACAF Nations League 2 55.3% 59% -3.3% Low 1.62
2-2 FT Uruguay Primera División Atletico TorquevRacing Montevideo Uruguay Primera División 1 48.9% 51% -1.6% Low 1.89

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 156 fixtures on 14 November 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
World · CONCACAF Nations League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
MontserratvNicaragua 2 Low 9.53 5.45 1.41
GuatemalavCanada 2 Low 5.42 4.83 1.64
Colombia · Primera A 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Internacional de BogotavSanta Fe 2 Low 3.58 3.58 2.26
Ukraine · Persha Liga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Viktoriya MykolaivkavYarud Mariupol' 1 Low — — —
SK PoltavavAhrobiznes Volochysk 1 Low 2.52 3.52 3.13
Ukraine · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Livyi BerehvBukovyna 1 Low 2.94 3.49 2.68
Kenya · Kenyan Premier League 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Nairobi UnitedvMara Sugar 1 Low 2.52 3.23 3.41
Ulinzi StarsvMigori Youth 1 Low 2.89 3.15 2.97
APS BometvBandari 1 Low 2.68 3.10 3.29
Latvia · Virsliga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Valmiera / BSSvTukums 2 Low 3.51 3.98 2.15
Greece · Super League 2 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Ellas SyrosvPanthrakikos 1 Low 2.00 3.75 4.31
PanserraikosvAnagennisi Karditsas 1 Low 1.65 4.01 6.90
LarisavNestos Chrisoupolis 1 Low 1.43 5.10 9.60
Asteras Tripolis IIvPAOK II 1 Low 2.17 3.53 3.91
Norway · 1. Division 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
KjelsåsvBjarg 1 Low
England · League Two 11 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Exeter CityvCheltenham 1 Low 2.04 3.77 4.10
Postponed RotherhamvCrawley Town 1 Low 2.22 3.81 3.49
Bristol RoversvChesterfield 2 Low 3.11 3.63 2.48
RochdalevYork 2 Low 4.40 4.23 1.87
Postponed WalsallvBarnet 2 Low 3.02 3.77 2.48
Port ValevAccrington ST 1 Low 2.14 3.52 4.01
ShrewsburyvOldham 1 Low 2.70 3.50 2.90
Swindon TownvGrimsby 2 Low 3.46 3.94 2.18
ColchestervGillingham 1 Low 2.25 3.58 3.62
CrewevNewport County 1 Low 2.25 3.58 3.64
Salford CityvNorthampton 1 Low 1.73 4.03 5.74
Spain · Segunda División 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Real ValladolidvCastellón 2 Low 3.13 3.82 2.39
Real Sociedad IIvSporting Gijon 1 Low 2.59 3.46 3.08
Czech Republic · FNL 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
HanáckávTřinec 1 Low 2.17 3.83 3.61
France · Coupe de France 9 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Le Puy FootvDiables Noirs 1 Low — — —
VersaillesvRodez 2 Low 3.40 3.63 2.32
TourcoingvReims 2 Low 26.40 13.73 1.12
BalagnevMontpellier 2 Low — — —
BoulayvSochaux 2 Low — — —
Rhone-CrussolvFréjus St-Raphaël 2 Low — — —
Vendée FontenayvClermont Foot 2 Low 11.97 7.62 1.27
Choisy au BacvCaen 2 Low — — —
ChalonvHauts Lyonnais 2 Low — — —
Uruguay · Primera División 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Central EspanolvBoston River 2 Low 2.88 3.57 2.69
World · UEFA Nations League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
KosovovIsrael 1 Low 1.94 3.85 4.46
England · League One 12 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Postponed LeicestervBradford 1 Low 2.01 3.91 4.07
WiganvBarnsley 1 Low 2.46 3.84 3.00
Sheffield WednesdayvPlymouth 1 Low 2.36 3.91 3.11
AFC WimbledonvBlackpool 2 Low 2.84 3.64 2.68
Milton Keynes DonsvBurton Albion 1 Low 1.77 4.24 4.98
PeterboroughvOxford United 2 Low 2.77 3.68 2.73
Postponed DoncastervLeyton Orient 2 Low 2.47 3.65 3.11
Postponed WycombevHuddersfield 2 Low 3.27 3.68 2.36
Postponed LutonvCambridge United 1 Low 1.78 4.24 4.90
Postponed StevenagevMansfield Town 1 Low 2.56 3.37 3.20
Postponed BromleyvNotts County 2 Low 3.21 3.59 2.44
Stockport CountyvReading 1 Low 1.97 4.05 4.06
Scotland · Championship 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
LivingstonvMorton 1 Low 1.38 5.76 10.00
PartickvInverness CT 1 Low 2.01 3.82 4.15
Ayr UtdvRaith Rovers 2 Low 3.29 3.44 2.47
StenhousemuirvQueen's Park 1 Low 1.99 3.78 4.29
Nigeria · Premier Football League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Doma UnitedvBarau FC 1 Low
Kano PillarsvRanchers Bees 1 Low
Ghana · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Heart of LionsvDreams 1 Low
Netherlands · Eerste Divisie 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
NAC BredavEmmen 1 Low 1.64 4.75 5.61

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

SAI 7.45 ▼ -3.79

1 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual
Uruguay · Primera División 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Atletico TorquevRacing Montevideo 2–2 1✗ Low →
World · CONCACAF Nations League 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
GrenadavSt. Kitts and Nevis 3–2 2✗ Low →
Spain · Copa del Rey 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Salamanca UDSvCelta Vigo 0–5 2✓ Low →
World · Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
MoroccovNiger 5–1 1✓ Low →
World · UEFA Nations League 2 matches
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
NetherlandsvGreece 7–0 1✓ Low →
AndorravGibraltar 2–0 1✓ Low →

Competitions

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Prediction types

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