Garuda Lions
Today

Football Predictions Today

Model-driven 1X2, over/under, BTTS and correct-score probabilities for every fixture we cover — built from expected-goals ratings and de-vigged market odds, never from tips.

32matches today 3high confidence 12positive edges 8strong edges updated · kickoffs in your local time

Our engine has priced 32 of today's 32 fixtures across 22 competitions and disagrees with the bookmakers enough to flag 12 value picks. An edge is a statement about price, not about the result: a pick with a large edge still loses most of the time when its probability is low. The widest gap today: Lens v Lyon, where the model rates Lens 49% against the market's 37%. Every number on this page comes from the same two inputs — xG-based team ratings and de-vigged bookmaker odds — so you can check our work on any methodology claim.

First kick-offs: Borussia Dortmund v Werder Bremen Raków Częstochowa v GKS Katowice Avellino v Sampdoria

Top model opportunities today

picks with an analysis page first, then largest model-vs-market edge on the 1X2 pick

The strongest pick that already has an analysis page leads, so a larger edge listed here may simply be waiting for its fixture to enter our publication window.

Model vs market — value signals today

edge = model probability minus de-vigged market probability
12positive edges ≥ 2%
8strong edges ≥ 5%
+7.9%avg positive edge
1.96avg best price on picks
32fixtures with a model pick

Today at a glance

Highest win probability Holywell v The New Saints The New Saints · 92% Highest BTTS probability Cambrian & Clydach v Ammanford AFC 79% both teams score Most goals expected Holywell v The New Saints 87% over 2.5 Top value pick Lens v Lyon +11.9% edge Biggest market move Briton Ferry v GAP Connah S Quay FC home 6.02 ▲ +0.61

All matches today

120 fixtures · 88 already played
TimeLeagueMatchPickProbMarketEdgeConfBest odds
Bundesliga Borussia DortmundvWerder Bremen Bundesliga 1 70.3% 71% -1.5% High 1.40
Ekstraklasa Raków CzęstochowavGKS Katowice Ekstraklasa 1 44.0% 46% -8.2% Low 2.09
Italy Serie B AvellinovSampdoria Italy Serie B 1 38.8% 35% +15.9% Low 2.81
2. Liga First ViennavSKN ST. Polten 2. Liga 1 49.2% 46% +11.9% Low 2.07
I Liga PodbeskidzievPogoń Siedlce I Liga 1 46.1% 51% -17.8% Low 1.90
Ligue 1 LensvLyon Ligue 1 1 40.5% 37% +11.9% High 2.66
Jupiler Pro League SK BeverenvLommel United Jupiler Pro League 1 51.6% 53% -6.8% Low 1.83
Premier Division Derry CityvSt Patrick's Athl. Premier Division 2 43.2% 41% +10.3% Low 2.32
Premier Division WaterfordvGalway United Premier Division 1 46.7% 45% +7.3% Low 2.12
Premier Division ShelbournevSligo Rovers Premier Division 1 70.5% 73% -9.9% Low 1.32
Wales Premier League Cardiff METvTrefelin Wales Premier League 1 70.4% 68% +11.2% Low 1.38
Wales Premier League LlandudnovAirbus UK Wales Premier League 1 41.3% 45% -12.7% Low 2.15
Wales Premier League PenybontvBarry Town Wales Premier League 1 51.9% 51% +2.8% Low 1.83
Wales Premier League Haverfordwest County AFCvCaernarfon Town Wales Premier League 2 57.4% 57% +3.5% Low 1.67
Wales Premier League Briton FerryvGAP Connah S Quay FC Wales Premier League 2 61.7% 61% +3.4% Low 1.53
Wales Premier League Cambrian & ClydachvAmmanford AFC Wales Premier League 1 65.4% 67% -5.5% Low 1.40
Wales Premier League HolywellvThe New Saints Wales Premier League 2 92.1% 91% +2.6% Low 1.03
Northern Ireland Premiership PortadownvGlentoran Northern Ireland Premiership 2 57.1% 59% -6.0% Low 1.59
La Liga MalagavEspanyol La Liga 2 35.2% 37% -9.0% High 2.75
Bolivia Primera División San Antonio Bulo BulovReal Tomayapo Bolivia Primera División 1 50.4% 52% -8.2% Low 1.80
England Championship West HamvQPR England Championship 1 64.4% 65% -2.5% Low 1.50
Algeria Ligue 1 MC AlgervTémouchent Algeria Ligue 1 1 74.4% 76% -5.8% Low 1.22
Primeira Liga SC BragavSporting CP Primeira Liga 2 39.0% 40% -4.7% Low 2.47
Uruguay Primera División Atletico TorquevDanubio Uruguay Primera División 1 51.3% 50% +6.7% Low 1.93
Liga Pro Delfin SCvMushuc Runa SC Liga Pro 1 40.3% 43% -10.2% Low 2.23
Liga Profesional Argentina Gimnasia L.P.vAtletico Tucuman Liga Profesional Argentina 1 47.0% 49% -9.1% Low 1.95
Honduras Liga Nacional Platense FCvJuticalpa Honduras Liga Nacional 1 46.7% 49% -10.0% Low 1.91
Liga Profesional Argentina Instituto CordobavBoca Juniors Liga Profesional Argentina 2 35.4% 36% -1.7% Low 2.77
Primera A Alianza ValleduparvÁguilas Doradas Primera A 1 37.3% 38% -1.0% Low 2.55
Liga de Expansión MX TapatíovCA La Paz Liga de Expansión MX 2 38.9% 41% -7.6% Low 2.35
Uruguay Primera División Deportivo MaldonadovLiverpool Montevideo Uruguay Primera División 1 39.9% 38% +7.2% Low 2.49
USL Championship LexingtonvFC Tulsa USL Championship 1 53.8% 54% -0.3% Low 1.74
1-0 FT Brazil Serie A PalmeirasvBahia Brazil Serie A 1 58.2% 59% -1.9% Low 1.67
4-0 FT Brazil Serie A FluminensevCoritiba Brazil Serie A 1 65.9% 64% +7.8% Low 1.52
1-1 FT Guatemala Liga Nacional Antigua GFCvMunicipal Guatemala Liga Nacional 2 37.5% 35% +10.2% Low 2.65
2-1 FT Liga de Expansión MX Alebrijes de OaxacavCorrecaminos Uat Liga de Expansión MX 2 49.2% 52% -12.2% Low 1.85
1-1 FT Primera A Fortaleza FCvMillonarios Primera A 2 42.2% — — Low —
2-1 FT Primera Division FASvAlianza Primera Division 1 55.1% 55% +0.6% Low 1.73
2-1 FT K League 1 Daejeon CitizenvJeonbuk Motors K League 1 1 43.4% 42% +5.8% Low 2.30
2-0 FT K League 1 Gangwon FCvBucheon FC 1995 K League 1 1 51.0% 53% -8.1% Low 1.83
3-0 FT K League 1 Incheon UnitedvPohang Steelers K League 1 1 40.9% 41% -2.4% Low 2.34
2-2 FT Persha Liga Metal KharkivvViktoriya Mykolaivka Persha Liga X 36.2% — — Low —
2-0 FT J1 League KashimavGamba Osaka J1 League 1 51.4% 54% -11.6% Low 1.94
4-2 FT J1 League Kashiwa ReysolvVissel Kobe J1 League 1 38.3% 40% -6.3% Low 2.45
1-2 FT Tanzania Premier League Fountain GatevJKT Tanzania Tanzania Premier League 2 35.8% 37% -5.5% Low 2.55
2-2 FT China Super League Sichuan JiuniuvHenan Jianye China Super League 2 38.4% 40% -7.7% Low 2.42
0-3 FT China Super League Qingdao JonoonvBeijing Guoan China Super League 2 67.9% 67% +2.6% Low 1.41
0-2 FT Premyer Liqa ArazvKapaz Premyer Liqa 1 41.0% 42% -3.9% Low 2.18
2-4 FT China Super League Hangzhou GreentownvSHANGHAI SIPG China Super League 1 40.4% 38% +10.2% Low 2.60
0-1 FT Kosovo Superliga LlapivBallkani Kosovo Superliga 2 45.0% 45% +1.0% Low 2.10
0-3 FT Ukraine Premier League Veres RivnevShakhtar Donetsk Ukraine Premier League 2 69.2% 73% -15.2% Low 1.30
1-3 FT Tanzania Premier League Mbeya CityvKagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League 1 56.8% 53% +14.0% Low 1.80
0-5 FT Saudi Arabia Pro League Al KholoodvAl-Qadisiyah FC Saudi Arabia Pro League 2 60.7% 61% -3.2% Low 1.55
4-1 FT 1. Lig SivassporvPendikspor 1. Lig 1 39.6% 39% +3.9% Low 2.46
0-2 FT 1. Lig Bodrum FKvKeçiörengücü 1. Lig 2 36.4% 38% -7.4% Low 2.46
3-0 FT Uganda Premier League Entebbe UPPCvPolice Uganda Premier League 1 41.6% 41% +4.3% Low 2.25
0-3 FT Stars League Qatar SCvAl-Rayyan SC Stars League 2 62.2% 62% +0.3% Low 1.52
0-4 FT Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-FatehvAl-Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League 2 65.1% 66% -1.7% Low 1.47
3-2 FT Liga I Corvinul HunedoaravFC Voluntari Liga I 1 57.7% 56% +6.3% Low 1.68
0-2 FT FNL Slavia Praha IIvVlašim FNL 1 42.3% 42% +1.9% Low 2.25
1-0 FT Veikkausliiga SJKvLahti Veikkausliiga 2 37.9% 39% -4.5% Low 2.49
0-0 FT Premyer Liqa Neftchi BakuvSabah FA Premyer Liqa 2 37.4% 38% -3.7% Low 2.45
3-0 FT Ekstraklasa Wieczysta KrakówvWisla Plock Ekstraklasa 1 43.9% 43% +3.0% Low 2.21
0-1 FT Czech Liga ZlinvSlavia Praha Czech Liga 2 74.4% 74% +3.6% Low 1.29
1-2 FT HNL HNK GoricavRudes HNL 1 55.7% 58% -7.4% Low 1.63
0-3 FT Cyprus 1. Division KarmiotissavOmonia Nicosia Cyprus 1. Division 2 73.1% 79% -22.7% Low 1.20
0-0 FT Premijer Liga VeležvSiroki Brijeg Premijer Liga 1 40.4% 43% -11.1% Low 2.12
1-2 FT Denmark 1. Division VejlevHvidovre Denmark 1. Division 1 53.0% 55% -7.8% Low 1.72
0-1 FT FNL TáborskovKarviná FNL 2 43.0% 43% -1.0% Low 2.17
2-2 FT FNL Vysočina JihlavavProstějov FNL 1 55.6% 55% +1.2% Low 1.70
2-3 FT FNL Ústí nad LabemvOpava FNL 1 50.0% 47% +13.9% Low 2.03
0-1 FT Kosovo Superliga DritavMalisheva Kosovo Superliga 2 36.9% 36% +2.7% Low 2.65
4-2 FT Nigeria Premier Football League Katsina UnitedvEnyimba Nigeria Premier Football League 1 54.8% 56% -3.1% Low 1.72
1-1 FT Tanzania Premier League Dodoma JijivSingida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League 2 45.0% 42% +10.5% Low 2.20
0-0 FT 2. Bundesliga FC Heidenheimv1. FC Kaiserslautern 2. Bundesliga 1 47.6% 51% -12.2% Low 1.95
1-0 FT 2. Bundesliga Eintracht BraunschweigvHolstein Kiel 2. Bundesliga 2 39.2% 39% -0.7% Low 2.49
0-1 FT 2. Liga SV KapfenbergvAustria Vienna (Am) 2. Liga 2 42.6% 42% +2.9% Low 2.27
1-1 FT 2. Liga SKU AmstettenvFC BW Linz 2. Liga 2 45.4% 43% +10.7% Low 2.23
1-0 FT Algeria Ligue 1 JS KabylievASO Chlef Algeria Ligue 1 1 64.2% 62% +7.6% Low 1.48
3-1 FT Süper Lig GalatasarayvKasımpaşa Süper Lig 1 66.1% 74% -33.1% Low 1.33
0-0 FT Denmark Superliga FC NordsjaellandvOdense Denmark Superliga 1 62.4% 62% -0.5% Low 1.54
0-2 FT Eliteserien BrannvViking Eliteserien 2 47.7% 49% -5.0% Low 1.96
1-0 FT Allsvenskan IFK GoteborgvVasteras SK FK Allsvenskan 1 52.3% 54% -6.1% Low 1.76
2-3 FT Stars League Al SaddvAl-Arabi SC Stars League 1 59.8% 60% +1.2% Low 1.65
3-3 FT 3. Liga Preußen MünstervRot-Weiß Essen 3. Liga 2 47.5% 48% -0.5% Low 2.00
1-2 FT Segunda Liga PenafielvAVS Segunda Liga 1 48.0% 49% -2.2% Low 1.98
1-1 FT 1. Lig ÜmraniyesporvSarıyer 1. Lig 1 35.1% 37% -7.7% Low 2.56
0-2 FT 1. Lig Vanspor FKvBandırmaspor 1. Lig 2 43.9% 40% +13.9% Low 2.30
2-0 FT Denmark 1. Division AB CopenhagenvAarhus Fremad Denmark 1. Division 1 42.9% 44% -5.2% Low 2.13
0-1 FT Uganda Premier League URAvKCCA Uganda Premier League 2 35.5% 36% -0.7% Low 2.55
1-3 FT Liga Profesional Argentina AldosivivSarmiento Junin Liga Profesional Argentina 1 38.4% 37% +6.1% Low 2.62
3-0 FT Challenge League Neuchatel Xamax FCvFC Winterthur Challenge League 2 48.0% 45% +10.6% Low 2.12
0-3 FT Challenge League RapperswilvStade Lausanne-Ouchy Challenge League 2 53.0% 52% +5.8% Low 1.85
1-1 FT Challenge League SC KriensvFC WIL 1900 Challenge League 1 41.6% 38% +14.7% Low 2.55
0-1 FT Primeira Liga MoreirensevGIL Vicente Primeira Liga 2 39.8% 42% -8.2% Low 2.31
2-0 FT Eredivisie PSV EindhovenvHeerenveen Eredivisie 1 69.1% 71% -5.9% Low 1.39
0-2 FT Liga I Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorghevDinamo Bucuresti Liga I 2 58.4% 60% -7.9% Low 1.58
3-0 FT Saudi Arabia Pro League Al-NassrvAl Diriyah Saudi Arabia Pro League 1 63.1% 68% -18.7% Low 1.42
2-2 FT Malta Premier League MostavBirzebbuga Malta Premier League 1 41.1% 31% +38.5% Low 3.00
2-0 FT Ligue 2 MontpelliervGrenoble Ligue 2 1 54.3% 59% -17.5% Low 1.65
1-0 FT Ligue 2 NancyvGuingamp Ligue 2 1 49.4% 49% +0.2% Low 1.96
1-1 FT Ligue 2 SochauxvBoulogne Ligue 2 1 42.8% 41% +8.8% Low 2.42
3-2 FT Ligue 2 PAUvLaval Ligue 2 1 44.3% 46% -5.7% Low 2.12
0-1 FT Ligue 2 DunkerquevAnnecy Ligue 2 1 39.1% 42% -13.1% Low 2.30
2-1 FT Eerste Divisie De GraafschapvJong Utrecht Eerste Divisie 1 52.5% 57% -20.2% Low 1.63
1-0 FT Eerste Divisie NAC BredavMVV Eerste Divisie 1 70.5% 72% -6.4% Low 1.31
3-0 FT Eerste Divisie HeraclesvWaalwijk Eerste Divisie 1 60.1% 64% -16.9% Low 1.48
0-3 FT Eerste Divisie DordrechtvEmmen Eerste Divisie 2 44.3% 43% +5.1% Low 2.23
1-1 FT Eerste Divisie RodavJong PSV U21 Eerste Divisie 1 53.3% 55% -8.0% Low 1.75
2-0 FT Eerste Divisie FC VolendamvVitesse Eerste Divisie 1 39.2% 39% -0.1% Low 2.43
0-1 FT Eerste Divisie Jong AZvDen Bosch Eerste Divisie 1 53.4% 49% +16.3% Low 1.96
3-0 FT Eerste Divisie Almere City FCvFC Eindhoven Eerste Divisie 1 68.0% 67% +2.5% Low 1.42
3-1 FT Eerste Divisie FC OSSvHelmond Sport Eerste Divisie 1 45.4% 43% +8.9% Low 2.25
0-3 FT Eerste Divisie Jong AjaxvVVV Venlo Eerste Divisie 2 48.8% 43% +21.8% Low 2.22
3-0 FT Challenger Pro League DendervClub Brugge II Challenger Pro League 1 61.4% 65% -14.3% Low 1.46
0-2 FT Challenger Pro League RSC Anderlecht IIvAS Eupen Challenger Pro League 2 53.1% 50% +14.4% Low 1.94
3-0 FT Liga Pro LibertadvLeones del Norte Liga Pro 1 40.7% 38% +10.9% Low 2.54
0-2 FT Tanzania Premier League Coastal UnionvAzam Tanzania Premier League 2 41.8% — — Low —
2-1 FT Challenge League Stade NyonnaisvFC Aarau Challenge League 2 63.0% 63% -0.1% Low 1.52
0-2 FT Challenge League Étoile CarougevYverdon Sport Challenge League 2 49.9% 49% +4.8% Low 2.02

Upcoming fixtures

First 60 of 334 fixtures on 10 October 2026 · odds are median de-vigged decimals
El Salvador · Primera Division 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Inca ArubavPlatense 1 Low
Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Union Santa FevDefensa Y Justicia 1 Low 2.36 3.37 3.58
Mexico · Liga MX 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
PueblavLeon 2 Low 3.05 3.53 2.58
Tigres UANLvToluca 2 Low 3.05 3.75 2.47
Peru · Primera División 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Deportivo GarcilasovSport Huancayo 1 Low 2.42 3.36 3.45
Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
TepatitlánvMonarcas 2 Low 6.10 4.95 1.58
Colombia · Primera A 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Once CaldasvLlaneros 1 Low 1.63 4.31 6.47
Japan · J1 League 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Cerezo OsakavYokohama F. Marinos 1 Low 2.38 3.82 3.14
Avispa FukuokavFagiano Okayama 2 Low 3.29 3.25 2.58
FC TokyovUrawa 1 Low 1.81 4.25 4.72
Kyoto SangavMachida Zelvia 2 Low 3.97 3.84 2.05
South Korea · K League 1 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FC SeoulvJeju United FC 1 Low 1.69 4.36 5.57
Gimcheon Sangmu FCvFC Anyang 1 Low 2.16 3.81 3.65
Romania · Liga II 8 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Chindia TargovistevConcordia 1 Low 1.98 3.87 4.21
MetaloglobusvPopești-Leordeni 1 Low 2.31 3.52 3.52
Metalul BuzăuvASA Targu Mures 1 Low 2.40 3.69 3.20
Viitorul ŞelimbărvUnirea Slobozia 1 Low 2.74 3.52 2.86
CS Dinamo BucureștivCSM Satu Mare 2 Low — — —
Gloria BistriţavCSM Ramnicu Valcea 1 Low 1.79 4.08 5.13
Cetatea SuceavavDumbrăviţa 1 Low 1.53 4.80 7.26
CSM ReşiţavSlatina 1 Low 2.48 3.53 3.20
Ukraine · Persha Liga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
InhuletsvAhrobiznes Volochysk 2 Low 3.14 3.46 2.55
Probiy HorodenkavSK Poltava 2 Low 5.50 4.18 1.73
Ukraine · Premier League 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
ChornomoretsvFC Kharkiv 2 Low 7.17 4.43 1.58
Kolos KovalivkavEpitsentr Dunayivtsi 1 Low 2.28 3.41 3.73
Obolon'-BrovarvKryvbas KR 2 Low 3.28 3.49 2.45
Kazakhstan · Premier League 4 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
IrtyshvKyzyl-Zhar 1 Low 2.12 3.67 3.92
FK Tobol KostanayvFC Astana 2 Low 3.19 3.86 2.34
Yelimay SemeyvAktobe 1 Low 2.33 3.81 3.24
Kairat AlmatyvZhetysu 1 Low 1.36 6.11 9.91
Portugal · Segunda Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
TondelavTorreense 1 Low 2.49 3.38 3.30
Turkey · Süper Lig 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Gençlerbirliği S.K.vAmed 2 Low 3.36 3.67 2.32
Turkey · 1. Lig 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
BolusporvAntalyaspor 2 Low 5.99 4.38 1.65
Latvia · Virsliga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
TukumsvRiga 2 Low 9.88 6.22 1.35
Germany · 2. Bundesliga 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
1. FC MagdeburgvHannover 96 1 Low 2.64 4.22 2.61
DarmstadtvEnergie Cottbus 2 Low 2.37 4.15 2.97
VfL OsnabrückvDynamo Dresden 2 Low 2.78 3.98 2.57
Denmark · 1. Division 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
HillerødvFC Fredericia 2 Low 5.74 4.73 1.63
EsbjergvAalborg 2 Low 3.07 3.89 2.40
Sweden · Superettan 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Landskrona BoISvSandviken 1 Low 1.98 4.04 4.05
Kenya · Kenyan Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Mathare UnitedvAPS Bomet 2 Low 2.99 3.19 2.84
Lithuania · A Lyga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
FK Zalgiris VilniusvSuduva Marijampole 1 Low 2.42 3.63 3.21
England · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
ArsenalvLeeds 1 High 1.46 5.17 8.29
Estonia · Meistriliiga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Kalju NommevLaagri 1 Low 1.67 4.53 5.52
VaprusvTrans Narva 1 Low 2.70 3.69 2.80
Georgia · Erovnuli Liga 2 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
Odishi 1919vGareji 1 Low
England · Championship 3 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
West BromvBirmingham 1 Low 2.53 3.49 3.14
SwanseavNorwich 1 Low 2.49 3.67 3.08
CharltonvBristol City 2 Low 3.35 3.49 2.41
England · League One 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
PlymouthvAFC Wimbledon 1 Low 1.60 4.63 6.22
Notts CountyvOxford United 2 Low 2.68 3.64 2.85
England · League Two 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
OldhamvAccrington ST 1 Low 1.77 4.14 5.16
Swindon TownvCrewe 2 Low 2.78 3.66 2.73
China · Super League 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Shanghai ShenhuavYunnan Yukun 1 Low 1.66 5.25 4.85
Chengdu Better CityvTianjin Teda 1 Low 2.00 4.02 3.99
Bulgaria · First League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
Botev VratsavSpartak Varna 1 Low 2.11 3.44 4.24
Armenia · Premier League 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
VanvGandzasar 1 Low
Moldova · Super Liga 1 match
Time Match Pick Conf.  
CSF BălțivSireți 2 Low
Germany · 3. Liga 2 matches
Time Match Pick Conf. 1 X 2  
SSV Jahn RegensburgvHavelse 1 Low 1.72 4.69 4.85
Würzburger KickersvHansa Rostock 2 Low 3.61 3.92 2.14

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Odds movement

Fair (de-vigged) home odds, first snapshot to latest.

HOL 43.54 ▲ +0.32
BOR 1.41 ▼ -0.07
SHE 1.37 ▼ -0.12
MC 1.32 ▼ -0.01
CAR 1.48 ▲ +0.05

5 of today's fixtures with more than one recorded snapshot.

The model

4/5

Calibrated within 0.05 in 4/5 leagues and beating a frequency baseline in 5/5, over 5,256 played matches.

See the full backtest — including where it falls short.

Why can you trust us?

  • xG-based modelteam ratings built from expected goals, not league tables
  • Market-awareevery probability is blended with de-vigged bookmaker odds
  • Backtestedvalidated on 5,256 played matches before launch
  • No invented numbersevery figure on a page comes from the model or the market

How it works

Recent results

predicted vs actual
Switzerland · Challenge League 2 matches
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Étoile CarougevYverdon Sport 0–2 2✓ Low →
Stade NyonnaisvFC Aarau 2–1 2✗ Low →
Tanzania · Premier League 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
Coastal UnionvAzam 0–2 2✓ Low →
Ecuador · Liga Pro 1 match
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
LibertadvLeones del Norte 3–0 1✓ Low →
Belgium · Challenger Pro League 2 matches
Date Match Result Pick Conf.  
RSC Anderlecht IIvAS Eupen 0–2 2✓ Low →
DendervClub Brugge II 3–0 1✓ Low →

Competitions

Premier Leaguepredictions →
La Ligapredictions →
Bundesligapredictions →
Serie Apredictions →
Ligue 1predictions →
UEFA Champions Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Leaguepredictions →
UEFA Europa Conference Leaguepredictions →
All competitions →predictions →

Prediction types

1X2 Predictions→
Over/Under Predictions→
BTTS Predictions→
Correct Score Predictions→
Double Chance Predictions→
Draw Predictions→
Goals Predictions→
Accumulator Predictions→
Handicap Predictions→
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